LAwxrgal wrote:Honestly I'm wondering about complacency in my area and other places. People don't realize that we're not really protected from storm surge. I have family members (from near Baton Rouge) who DIDN'T leave from Katrina and don't plan to leave for the next storm either because they didn't receive much damage. We just completed VERY EXPENSIVE repairs to our house, and am afraid we'll have to go through this all over again or move.
Anyone else here sick of hurricanes? Phew.
The BR metro area did feel light-to-moderate tropical storm force winds with Katrina, but didn't experience the conditions you did to the south and -- especially -- east of the metro area.
Baton Rouge has experienced the fringe effects of several hurricanes making landfall in South Louisiana over the last 40 years, but actually hasn't been directly exposed to sustained hurricane-force winds since Betsy in '65.
Worth noting is the fact that in 1965, there really was no "metro" in Baton Rouge. The areas that experienced the strongest winds (estimated by some to have been sustained in the 90-100 mph range with some gusts +100) were the lightly populated rural areas of East Baton Rouge Parish to the south of the city, which in those days ended around the Essen Lane area. Those former cow pastures and woodlands are now strip malls and chi-chi subdivisions where "McMansions" have been tossed up with wreckless code-skirting abandon in the last 15-20 years. In fact, they now spread well into the top 1/3 of Ascension Parish to the southeast of BR.
Long story short: not if, but when the major storm that matches Betsy's strength finally makes a DIRECT house call on the area, the damage/dollar impact -- though by no means catastrophic -- will be exponentially greater than in '65.
But...people around the area -- many of them too young to vividly remember Betsy, if at all -- generally seem to believe that Baton Rouge is immune to those kinds of conditions, whether due to the perception that it's a safe distance inland or simply because it's lucky. As for the distance concept, ask anyone in Hattiesburg, MS or Jasper, TX if hurricane winds are worth worrying about. As for luck? Well, the luck ran out to our east with Katrina. The luck ran out to our west with Rita.
How long can it roll on?