TC Monica #4: Fanni Beach (Darwin) Webcam available

#141 Postby **brunota2003** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:54 pm

fact789 wrote:90 kph=145 mph? am i right?

140 klicks is equal to 90 MPH if I remember that correct, klicks=kilometers per hour...my dad was in Kuwait and they call it clicks, or klicks... :lol:

CHRISTY · #142 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:54 pm

she's still going.....

CHRISTY · #143 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:55 pm

Hey i found this animation on MONICA trust its a must see...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/shemi/visirjava26.html

#144 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:56 pm

so what does 90 kph equal in mph?

#145 Postby **brunota2003** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:57 pm

i believe 55 MPH...
EDIT:
90 klicks is equal to 55 MPH
100 kph equals about 62 mph

#146 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:03 pm

fact789 wrote:90 kph=145 mph? am i right?

90 kph / 1.6 = 56 mph

Jim Cantore · #147 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:03 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Yep, it looks breezy, rainy, and rough seas. Not bad to get from an ex-monster!!!

looking nasty now

#148 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:05 pm

thanx brunota2003

CHRISTY · #149 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:13 pm

brunota2003 wrote:i believe 55 MPH...
EDIT:
90 klicks is equal to 55 MPH
100 kph equals about 62 mph

Try this...This chart has always help me.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

Rod Hagen · #150 Postby **Rod Hagen** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:20 pm

No, fact,

90kph = 55mph

Cheers

Rod

Rod Hagen · #151 Postby **Rod Hagen** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:21 pm

BOM have issued a new track map:

Heading more northerly, which increases the chances of it rebuilding.

Cheers

Rod

#152 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:25 pm

thats not a good turn, this storm just wants to hit darwin

Jim Cantore · #153 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:32 pm

AussieMark wrote:Hope this is not the site that will be re-enacted

we wont shes weakened plenty.

#154 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:39 pm

Mark when you get details on the damage reports there can you post them?

southerngale · #155 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:43 pm

CHRISTY, did you miss these posts? You posted after them, but didn't answer. :?:

Scorpion wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Hey guys I have still yet to wake up from that apparent Monica dream. I honestly cannot believe what we have seen in the past 2 days. Seeing T 8.0 from official and unofficial sources for 9 hours blows my mind. I have no doubt at all that Monica was the strongest cyclone in the Southern Hemisphere, and I would have to say that her minimum central pressure and maximum winds were close if not over world records. Even if the CIMSS estimates were overdone, to have 8.0 for 9 hours is a good indication of extreme intensity. No other storm has ever registered numbers like that. They estimated 195 mph sustained with 868 mb pressure. Her satellite appearance yesterday afternoon was almost unreal. Nevertheless, considering all of these factors and the fact that ambient pressures were slightly lower than normal in the area, I am going to put the following estimates for Monica.

Peak winds... 190 mph sustained (I am going to allow at least 5 kts overexaggeration by CIMSS, but say 190 because it held numbers at the top of the scale for an incredible 9 hours, and the fact that the JTWC usually slightly underestimate winds of intense cyclones.)

Minimum Central Pressure: 869 mb (This is the hardest estimate of them all. It is very tough to go out on a limb without accurate measurements ad say that her pressure was a world record, but I think there is a strong case to be made. The Navy at 1800 UTC yesterday estimated 155 kts and 879 mb, and also at 0000 UTC. Between those periods, Monica went through a quick burst of intensification, as noted by the remarkable satellite appearance and improvement of the CDO. Pressure responds very sensitively to changes in eyewall and CDO symmetry and overall appearance, and it is clear that between 1800 UTC and 0000 UTC, Monica showed this effect. So, coupled with the fact that CIMSS estimated under 870 mb for nearly 11 hours, it is hard to say that all of those estimates were too high. Therefore, I believe Monica probably did break the world record for pressure, and came close to tying the world record for sustained winds.)

Who are you quoting?

jason0509 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Hey guys I have still yet to wake up from that apparent Monica dream. I honestly cannot believe what we have seen in the past 2 days. Seeing T 8.0 from official and unofficial sources for 9 hours blows my mind. I have no doubt at all that Monica was the strongest cyclone in the Southern Hemisphere, and I would have to say that her minimum central pressure and maximum winds were close if not over world records. Even if the CIMSS estimates were overdone, to have 8.0 for 9 hours is a good indication of extreme intensity. No other storm has ever registered numbers like that. They estimated 195 mph sustained with 868 mb pressure. Her satellite appearance yesterday afternoon was almost unreal. Nevertheless, considering all of these factors and the fact that ambient pressures were slightly lower than normal in the area, I am going to put the following estimates for Monica.

Peak winds... 190 mph sustained (I am going to allow at least 5 kts overexaggeration by CIMSS, but say 190 because it held numbers at the top of the scale for an incredible 9 hours, and the fact that the JTWC usually slightly underestimate winds of intense cyclones.)

Minimum Central Pressure: 869 mb (This is the hardest estimate of them all. It is very tough to go out on a limb without accurate measurements ad say that her pressure was a world record, but I think there is a strong case to be made. The Navy at 1800 UTC yesterday estimated 155 kts and 879 mb, and also at 0000 UTC. Between those periods, Monica went through a quick burst of intensification, as noted by the remarkable satellite appearance and improvement of the CDO. Pressure responds very sensitively to changes in eyewall and CDO symmetry and overall appearance, and it is clear that between 1800 UTC and 0000 UTC, Monica showed this effect. So, coupled with the fact that CIMSS estimated under 870 mb for nearly 11 hours, it is hard to say that all of those estimates were too high. Therefore, I believe Monica probably did break the world record for pressure, and came close to tying the world record for sustained winds.)

Hi Christy. What website did you get that from? It sounds really fascinating and I'd like to visit the site too.

Ixolib · #156 Postby **Ixolib** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:45 pm

CHRISTY wrote:Hey i found this animation on MONICA trust its a must see...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/shemi/visirjava26.html

Yep - that's a good one. Still can't used to seeing it/them spinning "backwards" though...

Coredesat · #157 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 9:52 pm

That is a weird forecast track...that's not what the GFS and NOGAPS indicate.

Jim Cantore · #158 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 10:10 pm

strange, if the gfs plays out we'll be seeing some major flooding

HurricaneBill · #159 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 10:25 pm

A report from Maningrida has described the town as "flattened". Widespread damage and several injuries.

http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/cyclone-flattens-remote-town/2006/04/25/1145861323110.html

Jim Cantore · #160 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Mon Apr 24, 2006 10:26 pm

I'm watching that webcam from darwin, looks like its blowing 40-50mph

TC Monica #4: Fanni Beach (Darwin) Webcam available

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