SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific #2

[MiamiensisWx]

Let's wait and see how the pattern plays out this year...

[MiamiensisWx]

Here's an interesting graphic.

[CHRISTY]

GUYS LOOK AT THE DIFFERENCE IT VERY SCARY.....

THE GULF IN APRIL 2005....



THE GULF IN APRIL IN 2006....

[GeneratorPower]

I wonder how deep it goes. Last year the warmest water was about 600ft deep, which is quite deep. But these anomolies don't mean much if it's only on the top 20 ft or so. Anyone have depth figures?

[Camille_2_Katrina]

you gotta be kidding me!

those maps of 2 April 2005 compared to April 2006 are unbelievable!

[CHRISTY]

you gotta be kidding me!

those maps of 2 April 2005 compared to April 2006 are unbelievable!

NO TRUST ME THE DATES ARE APRIL 28 IN BOTH YEARS...

[Camille_2_Katrina]

so now what do we do?

should i move from the MS coast over to Tampa or Jacksonville? (kidding)

looks like we could have Late August Water Temps by Late July....

[Ivan14]

That is very scary indeed .

[CHRISTY]

so now what do we do?

should i move from the MS coast over to Tampa or Jacksonville? (kidding)

looks like we could have Late August Water Temps by Late July....

honestly the best thing u can do is just have a hurricane plan for u and your family come june 1.

[CHRISTY]

THIS IS APRIL IN 2004...NOT EVEN CLOSE TO HOW WATERS ARE RIGHT NOW!

[Camille_2_Katrina]

we've had a game plan going since 1969 (Camille)

we keep plenty of supplies and then at the last minute
we all RUN FOR OUR LIVES ! ! !

[CHRISTY]

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

so now what do we do?

should i move from the MS coast over to Tampa or Jacksonville? (kidding)

looks like we could have Late August Water Temps by Late July....

Or perhaps earlier than that...late August type temperatures by late june or early july if the constant dry and warm pattern continues across the SE
US and Gulf Coast.

It would be interesting to know the depth of that much warmer water on the graphics Christy provided links to....it is certainly warmer over a large area of the gulf of mexico...unless we see a significant front or shift to a wetter pattern across the SE/Gulf Coast, it is likely that we will see some warm temperature anomalies through the spring and summer.

In addition to SSTs in the GOM, we also need to look to steering factors
that will pan out through the summer. Those factors determine whether a storm enters the GOM, where depending on water temperatures and shear conditions it may rapidly intensify, but no long-range predictions of intensity can be made at this time. I will be awaiting the steering current and places most likely to be hit forecast from Doctor Gray and his successor later this month.

[skysummit]

That was a nice post Christy. Thanks for the comparison. I knew we were warmer this year. I just didn't know it was that drastic!

[MiamiensisWx]

Good graphics, CHRISTY.

[CHRISTY]

so now what do we do?

should i move from the MS coast over to Tampa or Jacksonville? (kidding)

looks like we could have Late August Water Temps by Late July....

Or perhaps earlier than that...late August type temperatures by late june or early july if the constant dry and warm pattern continues across the SE
US and Gulf Coast.

It would be interesting to know the depth of that much warmer water on the graphics Christy provided links to....it is certainly warmer over a large area of the gulf of mexico...unless we see a significant front or shift to a wetter pattern across the SE/Gulf Coast, it is likely that we will see some warm temperature anomalies through the spring and summer.

In addition to SSTs in the GOM, we also need to look to steering factors
that will pan out through the summer. Those factors determine whether a storm enters the GOM, where depending on water temperatures and shear conditions it may rapidly intensify, but no long-range predictions of intensity can be made at this time. I will be awaiting the steering current and places most likely to be hit forecast from Doctor Gray and his successor later this month.

yea thats going to be a huge day....maybe then we might know what kind of pattern might be shaping up.if you ask me in 2006 the EASTCOAST is gonna be under the gun this year.

[Weatherfreak000]

Yes I agree good posts,


but can anyone post a recent comparison for maybe back a few years of SST's? Just to see how we're stacking up now.

[GeneratorPower]

Please read the previous posts. 2004 and 2005 are already posted.

[Weatherfreak000]

Yes, for the GULF OF MEXICO.

I was referring to the ENTIRE ATLANTIC.



Also now that I see this I believe we may see a very highly active BOC season possibly even one of the worst yet. It's looking a little bad for Mexico

[CHRISTY]

Well here is the GULF OF MEXICO IN AUGUST IN 2002.



HERE'S THE GULF OF MEXICO IN APRIL 2003....



HERE IS THE GULF IN AUGUST 2005...



HERE IS THE GULF IN SEPTEMBER 2005...



I will say this SEA SURFACE TEMPS are way ahead of schedule this year in the GULF OF MEXICO and THE CARRIBEAN.so if u would compare 2006 temps look similar to 2005...THE PROBLEM IS THEY ARE WAY AHEAD OF SCHEDULE!!