A new invest pops up at the Western Pacific.But so far the invests that haved poped up in the past few days haved not done anything.Let's see what this new one does.
Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4
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cycloneye
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Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4
91w invest
A new invest pops up at the Western Pacific.But so far the invests that haved poped up in the past few days haved not done anything.Let's see what this new one does.
A new invest pops up at the Western Pacific.But so far the invests that haved poped up in the past few days haved not done anything.Let's see what this new one does.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue May 09, 2006 4:07 pm, edited 7 times in total.
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SouthFloridawx
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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feederband
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MiamiensisWx
Actually, this may have a better chance than the other INVESTs that have popped up recently in the western Pacific. Although convection is somewhay lacking at the time, there is a well-defined circulation on imagery. This corresponds to a possible slow organization and consolidation later on. Don't be fooled by the lack of convection - the other INVESTs that have popped up had more and supposedly better organized convection but poofed. Also, unlike the other INVESTs that have cropped up in the past few days, this one is in an environment of lower shear than the others. In fact, only around 10KT of shear exists over it now. Look at the shear map here. See the low shear environment it is in?
With that said, coupled with the well-defined outflow that indicates a center may be developing and slowly consolidating, don't count this one out yet. This will be good practice for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific seasons coming up as well. Remember: looks can be VERY deceiving! With that said, I think slow development of this system is very possible. Who agrees?
With that said, coupled with the well-defined outflow that indicates a center may be developing and slowly consolidating, don't count this one out yet. This will be good practice for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific seasons coming up as well. Remember: looks can be VERY deceiving! With that said, I think slow development of this system is very possible. Who agrees?
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MiamiensisWx
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MiamiensisWx
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MiamiensisWx
HURAKAN wrote:Worth not even to look at it!!!
Be patient, my friend. Give it time. Actually, I think it has a better chance. See what I wrote above...
CapeVerdeWave wrote:Actually, this may have a better chance than the other INVESTs that have popped up recently in the western Pacific. Although convection is somewhay lacking at the time, there is a well-defined circulation on imagery. This corresponds to a possible slow organization and consolidation later on. Don't be fooled by the lack of convection - the other INVESTs that have popped up had more and supposedly better organized convection but poofed. Also, unlike the other INVESTs that have cropped up in the past few days, this one is in an environment of lower shear than the others. In fact, only around 10KT of shear exists over it now. Look at the shear map here. See the low shear environment it is in?
With that said, coupled with the well-defined outflow that indicates a center may be developing and slowly consolidating, don't count this one out yet. This will be good practice for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific seasons coming up as well. Remember: looks can be VERY deceiving! With that said, I think slow development of this system is very possible. Who agrees?
I expect some convection to possibly start forming soon and consolidating a bit.
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HurricaneBill
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Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I give it a zero zero percent chance of development. Why is the Navy making every cloud a invest? I mean it makes a invest pretty much worthless as long as they do this. I say put a invest on the Eastern Pacific low that might deserve it...Intill then they need to just stop!
I read that Super Typhoon Gordon in 1989 evolved from a single cumulonimbus cloud.
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MiamiensisWx
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MiamiensisWx
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MiamiensisWx
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CHRISTY
Honestly the image i posted early of the tropical wave to me i think might have a better chance.its in the other thread now.CapeVerdeWave wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:It may have a chance if it can develop some convetion.
I agree. I think we may see some convection development start soon.
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MiamiensisWx
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