Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

HurricaneHunter914 · #141 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue May 09, 2006 6:28 pm

Very Well-Defined

Jim Cantore · #142 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Tue May 09, 2006 6:34 pm

I think it will exceed the intensity forcast and become maybe 130mph

CHRISTY · #143 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 09, 2006 7:13 pm

guys click on this link and watch this monster grow! :eek:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/storm/archive/javanh11.html

#144 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue May 09, 2006 7:33 pm

Current Intensity Analysis

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED OBJECTIVE DVORAK TECHNIQUE
AODT - Version 6.4.2
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 MAY 2006 Time : 230000 UTC
Lat : 8:49:32 N Lon : 130:56:11 E

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.5 / 996.8mb/ 55.0kt

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +12.8mb

6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.5 3.6 3.7 4.5

Eye Temp : -66.4C Cloud Region Temp : -72.4C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF

Scorpion · #145 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue May 09, 2006 7:34 pm

The Phillipines deals with much stronger typhoons all the time. They should be ok this time. I am calling for perhaps a Cat 3 at landfall.

#146 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:16 pm

Intensity has been increased up to 55kts and pressure has dropped down to 984 mbs at the estimate 00:00z update.

:darrow:

00:00z Update,55kts,984 mbs

whereverwx · #147 Postby **whereverwx** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:19 pm

cycloneye wrote:00:00z Update=55kts,984 mbs

Intensity has been increased up to 55kts and pressure has dropped down to 984 mbs at the estimate 00:00z update.

The link doesn't work.

#148 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:20 pm

Calamity wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00:00z Update=55kts,984 mbs

Intensity has been increased up to 55kts and pressure has dropped down to 984 mbs at the estimate 00:00z update.

The link doesn't work.

it doesnt work

#149 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:21 pm

#150 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:21 pm

Ok check now.Sorry for that.

CHRISTY · #151 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:30 pm

Jim Cantore · #152 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:57 pm

This will be a typhoon in 12-18 hours

#153 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue May 09, 2006 8:59 pm

#154 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:02 pm

the GFDL goes :blowup:

bye bye

Scorpion · #155 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:05 pm

Hmm... looks like I might back off on my intensity ideas. ONE model takes it to typhoon status.

#156 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:32 pm

when is the next update?

CajunMama · #157 Postby **CajunMama** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:40 pm

Is this an image posting contest thread? :wink:

#158 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:41 pm

lol

#159 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:42 pm

Latest warning forecast #6.

Now forecast to be a typhoon after it crosses the Phillippines.

#160 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 09, 2006 9:43 pm

HONG KONG watch out

Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

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