Severe weather threat 5-9-06

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6SpeedTA95
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#21 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:06 pm

SamSagnella wrote:What I'm really looking forward to is the MCS that will probably come through here later tonight as 6Speed mentioned. Though I'm a little concerned that it will be damaging when it gets here as we still have ~3750 J/kg of instability as of the 00z OUN sounding.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/06051000_OBS/


I'd expect that cape to fall off by 2500ish or 2000ish by the time the MCS rolls through. However thats still a moderate amount of instability.
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#22 Postby Bunkertor » Tue May 09, 2006 8:07 pm

I see ! Hm, i hope so. Yesterday at noon ( CET ) there were so Tornado warnings still in effect...

We indeed were very surprised, as the Tornado lashed the harbour. Even my girlfriend got stuck in a tram...

What means " will probably of the MCS variety " ?
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#23 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:08 pm

Storm over Muldrow is reorganizing, folks in FT Smith need to pay attention.
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#24 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:08 pm

SamSagnella wrote:for sure, but still more than enough to maintain severe levels.


Yes very easy to maintain severe limits. LI's are still pretty high too so the MCS will probably pack a punch.
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#25 Postby SamSagnella » Tue May 09, 2006 8:08 pm

any streaming video?
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#26 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:10 pm

SamSagnella wrote:any streaming video?

Haven't looked. You might check channel 8, ABC out of tulsa.
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#27 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:13 pm

I haven't found ANYTHING out of the Fort Smith area in terms of coverage.
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#28 Postby Bunkertor » Tue May 09, 2006 8:17 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:
SamSagnella wrote:any streaming video?

Haven't looked. You might check channel 8, ABC out of tulsa.


Could you post a link ?
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#29 Postby SamSagnella » Tue May 09, 2006 8:18 pm

here's the link but i can't find anything about live streaming video
http://www.ktul.com/
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#30 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:20 pm

Here's some 3D Pics of the storm about to move into FT Smith. Sorry its not as detailed as it could be I'm still learning the program.

Image
Image
Image
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#31 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:20 pm

Back to Moderate Risk for tonight. I wouldn't be surprised to see a High Risk for tomorrow, although it remains a difficult forecast. It could go either way - total bust or massive outbreak/derecho.
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#32 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:21 pm

Those 3D views are amazing!
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#33 Postby SamSagnella » Tue May 09, 2006 8:24 pm

yeah GRLevel2AE is really awesome - glad they decided to make it publicly available.
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#34 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:26 pm

I got the demo version of GRLevel3 for the month of May; I may buy it later this summer if I get enough extra money stored up. It's amazing even though I have to use a map (in order to pinpoint) to get my area covered (I am just inside the reaches of the northernmost radar screens).
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#35 Postby Bunkertor » Tue May 09, 2006 8:26 pm

Great. Thanks !

I found this but don´t know if it´s really new.

http://home.accuweather.com/index.asp?p ... s_pennlive

If someone is interested. Queen Mary 2 s just docking out and leaving Hansestadt Hamburg

http://www.corporate-planning.com/d/pag ... amburg.php

I never miss a chance to promote my hometown :-)
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#36 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:34 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I got the demo version of GRLevel3 for the month of May; I may buy it later this summer if I get enough extra money stored up. It's amazing even though I have to use a map (in order to pinpoint) to get my area covered (I am just inside the reaches of the northernmost radar screens).


How has that been?
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#37 Postby Gorky » Tue May 09, 2006 8:45 pm

GRLevel3 is a nice investment. I tried out the demo from the March 12th event though to the early april Events, and once it ran out, I purchased it straight away. However, now I'm a bit more clued up, I kinda wish I went for GRLevel2. It doesn't have all the fancy TVS and meso symbols, and the non Analyst Edition misses VIL, storm rain totals etc, but being higher resolution is nice. I'll probably solve that issue by getting level 2 also though ;) I can get the best of both worlds by running both programs simultaneously
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#38 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:47 pm

GR2Analyst is the only one that does 3D right? THe regular GR2 doesn't...at least not according to their site.
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#39 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 09, 2006 8:48 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:I got the demo version of GRLevel3 for the month of May; I may buy it later this summer if I get enough extra money stored up. It's amazing even though I have to use a map (in order to pinpoint) to get my area covered (I am just inside the reaches of the northernmost radar screens).


How has that been?


It's been pretty good, although I can't smoothen it as my computer isn't hyper-powerful. I like being able to see the shear and hail size...
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#40 Postby Gorky » Tue May 09, 2006 8:54 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:GR2Analyst is the only one that does 3D right? THe regular GR2 doesn't...at least not according to their site.


The basic one allows 2d vertical slices through storms, but the full 3d is only in GRL2AE
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