Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #441 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat May 13, 2006 8:59 pm

Yeah, the internal structure of Chanchu is very shady. It is definately not something I'd expect a category two typhoon to look like. I think JMA is on the ball, and has always been on the ball, with this system.

CHRISTY · #442 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:09 pm

I Believe we will have an EYE very soon with CHANCHU! You clearly see the eye trying to appear on this visible.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #443 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:09 pm

I say 80 knots at the moment. Strengthing to 95 to 100 by 12 to 18 hours...Then maxing around 115 knots by 24 to 30 hours.

whereverwx · #444 Postby **whereverwx** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:12 pm

CHRISTY wrote:VERY IMPRESSIVE!

http://152.80.49.216/archdat/tc06/WPAC/ ... HANCHU.jpg

Defiantly impressive, and still improving.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #445 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:13 pm

We'll see how that cold front to the north affects Chanchu. Shear and dry air should increase as Chanchu approaches Hong Kong. I believe JTWC's forecast is going to be a large bust. Chanchu should begin extratropical transition as it nears Hong Kong.

CHRISTY · #446 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:19 pm

WELCOME TO CHANCHU 'S EYE! :crazyeyes:

Link

cheezyWXguy · #447 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:22 pm

it should become a cat3 in the next 8 to 12 hrs if the satellite contnues to improve as much as it is right now

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #448 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:22 pm

Outflow channels have developed out of all channels.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... msshr.html

CHRISTY · #449 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:27 pm

This thing is takeing off! :crazyeyes:

#450 Postby **lester** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:27 pm

CHRISTY wrote:WELCOME TO CHANCHU 'S EYE!

Link

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #451 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:30 pm

The inner core is wraping its self like Katrina was doing about 6 hours after it made it back into the Gulf. Also when it was heading at florida the eye was wraping into its self(If it where to have stayed off shore might of been much bigger) This bugger is going to do something big...Will it weaken before Hong kong sure. But if I was them I would be getting ready to get out of there.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #452 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:31 pm

Chanchu is as defined as Don King's hair. This lack of organization should help it in the long run. It's evident that the Philippines really disturbed the organizational process.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #453 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:32 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The inner core is wraping its self like Katrina was doing about 6 hours after it made it back into the Gulf. Also when it was heading at florida the eye was wraping into its self(If it where to have stayed off shore might of been much bigger) This bugger is going to do something big...Will it weaken before Hong kong sure. But if I was them I would be getting ready to get out of there.

With all due respect... comparing Chanchu to Katrina is like comparing yourself to Babe Ruth.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #454 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:33 pm

We will see...

CHRISTY · #455 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:36 pm

cheezyWXguy · #456 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:37 pm

wow...from the giant eye it looked like it was going to have before, it looks very small now

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #457 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:39 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:We will see...

No forecast out there has anything remotely comparable to Katrina. Even the JTWC, which initialized too high, so the forecast is a bit suspect, isn't to the level of Katrina. Take that, and add the fact that shear will be increasing (thanks to the cold front) and dry air will be increasing... I think your Katrina comparison is a bit over the top.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #458 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:40 pm

I don't think this will be a katrina but its acting a little like it. 115 knots 24 to 30 hours.

CHRISTY · #459 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:43 pm

It does weaken some before landfall but it is stll gonna be a big problem for HONGKONG...

#460 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 13, 2006 9:44 pm

Definitly Mike is right here.No comparison to Katrina,Wilma,Andrew and other very strong major canes.

Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

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