Hurricane Season doesn't Punch a time clock.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Rainband

Hurricane Season doesn't Punch a time clock.

#1 Postby Rainband » Sun May 14, 2006 10:40 am

I find it funny how some people think because June 1rst is the official start to the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane season, that come Midnight a Storm is going to pop up out of no where and scream towards the coast of The United States. We may get an early storm or two....we may not get one till august. No one knows when the first system will form. There are a lot of experts on this board and for that we are truly lucky :wink:

I have read so many posts lately saying this season is going to be this and this season is going to be that. The only thing we know for sure is, One the season starts on June 1rst and two it ends the end of November. The rest is yet to be told. My point is.....Listen to the experts and experienced amateurs. Take everyone else with a grain of salt. That's what I have done and it has worked thus far. The most important thing to do is.... Prepare early...it only takes ONE storm to turn your life up side down. It doesn't matter when we get our first system. All that matters is we are all prepared. Whether we have a late start to the season or an early one doesn't really matter. The key is preparation. We should all be prepared by June 1rst but like I said, even if we don't get an early system...don't let your guard down.

I know I hope I prepare for no reason at all and after last year..I am sure many feel the same way. I would rather be ready to leave for a false alarm any day. :D :wink: Then running around like a chicken with my head cut off at the last minute. :eek:
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#2 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 14, 2006 10:47 am

I agree 100% rainband! The best you can do is have your hurricane plan in place come june 1.hopefully 2006 will be kind to the U.S. :roll:
0 likes   

Theo

Re: Hurricane Season doesn't Punch a time clock.

#3 Postby Theo » Sun May 14, 2006 11:11 am

Rainband wrote:I find it funny how some people think because June 1rst is the official start to the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane season, that come Midnight a Storm is going to pop up out of no where and scream towards the coast of The United States. We may get an early storm or two....we may not get one till august. No one knows when the first system will form. There are a lot of experts on this board and for that we are truly lucky :wink:

I have read so many posts lately saying this season is going to be this and this season is going to be that. The only thing we know for sure is, One the season starts on June 1rst and two it ends the end of November. The rest is yet to be told. My point is.....Listen to the experts and experienced amateurs. Take everyone else with a grain of salt. That's what I have done and it has worked thus far. The most important thing to do is.... Prepare early...it only takes ONE storm to turn your life up side down. It doesn't matter when we get our first system. All that matters is we are all prepared. Whether we have a late start to the season or an early one doesn't really matter. The key is preparation. We should all be prepared by June 1rst but like I said, even if we don't get an early system...don't let your guard down.

I know I hope I prepare for no reason at all and after last year..I am sure many feel the same way. I would rather be ready to leave for a false alarm any day. :D :wink: Then running around like a chicken with my head cut off at the last minute. :eek:


I hear you. Preparation is a life saver. No doubt about it. Good post.
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#4 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun May 14, 2006 11:20 am

One thing that does happen on June 1st, however, is that the NHC starts issuing Tropical outlooks so that you have a better idea of what is going on in thne tropics. Also, as we have seen many times before, storms DO form in June (even early June), so just because it is rare, it is certainly more possible than a storm forming in May.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#5 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 14, 2006 11:23 am

agreed there
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#6 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 14, 2006 11:49 am

I agree with the thought that June 1 is simply an arbitrarily-set day. You are just as likely to see a storm on May 31 as on June 1, for instance.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#7 Postby gatorcane » Sun May 14, 2006 12:19 pm

Good points rainband. While the Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1st to Nov. 30th it is always hurricane season year around on storm2k! :)
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#8 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun May 14, 2006 12:41 pm

Its always hurricane season in the Atlantic it just depends if the conditions are right.
0 likes   

simplyme
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 93
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 7:42 am
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

#9 Postby simplyme » Mon May 15, 2006 9:04 am

It certainly doesn't use one to end the season either, as last year proved.

I have a feeling/hunch/nothing scientifically based that over the next few years we might very well see several hurricanes outside the traditional hurricane season.
0 likes   

User avatar
GrimReaper
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 409
Joined: Fri May 23, 2003 10:17 pm

#10 Postby GrimReaper » Mon May 15, 2006 9:32 am

8-) That was a really WISE post, and I agree too!! Let's everybody keep a level head about all this prediction thing!!
0 likes   

Camille_2_Katrina

#11 Postby Camille_2_Katrina » Mon May 15, 2006 9:49 am

The season kind of does punch a time clock...

August 1st to October 1st...
She does however come in a little early (sometimes real early)
and stay a little late...

Last year she got paid A LOT of overtime!

:lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2813
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

#12 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon May 15, 2006 5:43 pm

I agree with Rainband. You can NEVER LET YOUR GUARD DOWN. In 2003 for example Hurricane Juan, which went on to effect Central Nova Scotia and threaten East New England for a short time prior, just blew up out of nowhere. Sure there was a disorganized disturbance near Bermuda, but it didn't get it's act together until about 4 days before it made landfall, and took even more time (about 1 day prior to landfall) to pick it's exact target.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gorky
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 334
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:23 am
Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire, UK

#13 Postby Gorky » Mon May 15, 2006 6:15 pm

I think this board would explode these days if we had another 2004.... People would be going crazy if we didn't get any named storms till August. Just like the tornado season, the hurricane season can start early, finish early, start late, finish late, or never start at all! People really jsut neaed to let what happens happen. I personally am not getting at all excited until I see the first invest at least, and won't really start ramping up until we see the first TD. Chances are we won't see anything for a month or two yet and it's jsut a waste of energy getting hyped now. I'd rather save my energy for possible all nighters tracking bigger midseason storms :P
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#14 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon May 15, 2006 6:33 pm

Gorky wrote:I think this board would explode these days if we had another 2004.... People would be going crazy if we didn't get any named storms till August. Just like the tornado season, the hurricane season can start early, finish early, start late, finish late, or never start at all! People really jsut neaed to let what happens happen. I personally am not getting at all excited until I see the first invest at least, and won't really start ramping up until we see the first TD. Chances are we won't see anything for a month or two yet and it's jsut a waste of energy getting hyped now. I'd rather save my energy for possible all nighters tracking bigger midseason storms :P
I bet we see our first TD within 45 days, because even seasons with no storms until later, all seemed to have had at least one or two depressions before hand.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: fllawyer, Heretoserve and 39 guests