GOM is very active right now......

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dixiebreeze
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GOM is very active right now......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon May 15, 2006 10:33 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/rb-l.jpg

Not a whole lot in the 8:05 TWD, however, but it does look interesting.
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#2 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Mon May 15, 2006 10:39 am

MCC
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Mon May 15, 2006 10:42 am

MCC


:?:

I'm guessing something relating to convection complex?
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon May 15, 2006 10:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby terstorm1012 » Mon May 15, 2006 10:46 am

isn't this activity in the GOM the tail end of the storm system that's currently dumping huge amounts of rain on me and areas north and east of me?
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#5 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 10:51 am

Image
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#6 Postby BayouVenteux » Mon May 15, 2006 11:03 am

MCS courtesy of a late spring cool front pushing into the GoM...off a tail lobe of the big low that's been spinning over the Great Lakes the last several days. Bringing "Chamber of Commerce" weather to much of the western and northern Gulf Coast the next few days. Summer's coming, so enjoy it while it lasts! :D
Last edited by BayouVenteux on Mon May 15, 2006 11:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby drezee » Mon May 15, 2006 11:04 am

pretty
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#8 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 12:18 pm

Image
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#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon May 15, 2006 12:20 pm

That's right now??? Wow, that looks like a tropical storm!
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#10 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon May 15, 2006 12:21 pm

that monster is headed right for Florida!!!!
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#11 Postby Patrick99 » Mon May 15, 2006 12:25 pm

Good god, look at that. We've seen tropical storms not take up that much Gulf area.

I doubt that makes it to Florida. I never remember big mesoscale systems in the Gulf making it over here.....they usually pulse down substantially or dissipate, much to my chagrin.

Persistent convection along tail end of a front in the Gulf....in a couple of weeks, we'll be looking for possible tropical development out of these things.
Last edited by Patrick99 on Mon May 15, 2006 12:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon May 15, 2006 12:27 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:that monster is headed right for Florida!!!!


that means lots of rain right?
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#13 Postby vbhoutex » Mon May 15, 2006 12:27 pm

At this point all it is is a MCC, as Doc stated above. MCC's can develop into something if all the conditions are correct, but it takes time and this complex just came our over water last night. No need to get excited, at least not yet. I don't even know what the current conditions are in that area as I haven't had time to check, but my guess is that they are somewhat hostile. maybe someone who has more time than I do can give us an update on the conditions in the West GOM in relation to possible TC development potential??
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#14 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 15, 2006 12:42 pm

Well as far as shear goes if u ask me nothing is coming out of this but good rain for FLORIDA.Conditions are Highly Unfavorable.Here's a shear map! :roll:

Image
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#15 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon May 15, 2006 12:47 pm

fact789 wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:that monster is headed right for Florida!!!!


that means lots of rain right?


Hope you're right about the rain :D
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#16 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon May 15, 2006 1:16 pm

we want rain, but not that much!
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#17 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon May 15, 2006 2:31 pm

There isn't a whole lot of shear where it is right now...if it moved northwest towards Texas or southwest towards NE Mexico, it could develop easily into TS Alberto...it kinda looks like Allison right now.
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#18 Postby Damar91 » Mon May 15, 2006 2:34 pm

This thing looks like it's headed due east though. I doubt it will get any stronger. Hopefully will bring us some much needed rain!
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#19 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon May 15, 2006 2:58 pm

I cant see development with the amount of shear there
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#20 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon May 15, 2006 3:07 pm

I think development is possible if it can sit over the water long enough and slowly move north. Being as it is mid May, however, I would only give this thing a 2% chance of developing (If it were July though...then I would say it probably would have a 70% chance).
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