Slow May?

[conestogo_flood]

I've only been severe thunderstorm tracking North America wide now since last year, but how come nothing is occuring in the way of severe-severe weather. There is hardly any tornado reports when in 2003 and below, the first week of may had like 200? Also, here in southern Ontario, severe storms usually start late March. We've only had 3 events since March began, and nothing since April 14. What is going on?

[wx247]

What following the weather in the states teaches you is that there is no normal per se. We can tally up averages and get close to what is "normal" but each and every year is different. The pattern we are in right now is not condusive to widespread outbreaks especially across the plains. Watch for the pattern to change and then I do believe that we will see much more active weather.

[wxmann_91]

The pattern is unfavorable for severe attm - large ridge in the west and a trough in the east.

[CrazyC83]

It may not be "severe" in that sense, but parts of New England are under water...

[Extremeweatherguy]

Texas has had a few severe events since the beginning of may. Most of the state saw another event today too with many hail, wind and tornado reports. Also, just a few weeks ago I recieved a storm with quarter to tennis ball sized hail.

[conestogo_flood]

This is getting slow. Halfway through May, and only 104 tornado reports. Not that that is a bad thing though.

[conestogo_flood]

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT TUE MAY 16 2006

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

AMPLIFIED SPLIT FLOW PATTERN NOW IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH AMERICA SEEMS
LIKELY TO PRECLUDE A SIGNIFICANT RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE INTO THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S...AND MAINTAIN LIMITED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION INTO/THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND. MEDIUM
RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT A TRANSITION TOWARD A
MORE ZONAL REGIME WILL OCCUR EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS
OCCURS...EASTWARD ACCELERATION OF A YET TO DEVELOP EASTERN PACIFIC
CLOSED LOW MAY SUPPORT INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A REGIONALIZED
SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK...AS IT PROGRESSES INLAND AND EAST OF THE
ROCKIES. HOWEVER...LARGE VARIABILITY EXISTS AMONG MODEL DATA ON
JUST HOW THIS OCCURS...AND UNCERTAINTIES ARE TOO LARGE TO
CONFIDENTLY DELINEATE A SEVERE WEATHER AREA.

..KERR.. 05/16/2006

[Bunkertor]

How can i get pictures in a message ?

[dean]

cold air is still trapped down farther south than what it is usual for May (just like last year). temps in the Midwest have been cool for this time of year, and most of the severe weather right now is down in central Texas and over in to the southeast US (which is more like a January and Feb. scenario).

[conestogo_flood]

I feel bad for the people who payed $3,000 for those tornado tours.