Tropical Formation in the Caribbean later this week?
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/ir4-l.jpg
Definitly time to lock this thread, you can't even see it on IR, that flare up over Cuba may do something but the Atlantic has become quiet again.
Definitly time to lock this thread, you can't even see it on IR, that flare up over Cuba may do something but the Atlantic has become quiet again.
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- SouthFloridawx
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CARIBBEAN SEA AND ATLANTIC OCEAN W OF 60W...
A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH STRETCHES ACROSS THE E U.S. AND W ATLC WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL SWLY JET RACING FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO W OF BERMUDA.
AS OF 09 UTC...AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA ALONG 32N68W
26N74W TO A BROAD WEAK 1008 MB LOW OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N79W SWD
TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 13N83W. THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE
FRONT HAS BECOME LESS DEFINED AS MOISTURE HAS BECOME DIFFUSE.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS WITHIN 300 NM E OF THE FRONT N
OF THE SFC LOW. A STRONG CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS OVER E CUBA FROM
19N-22N BETWEEN 74W-76W. FARTHER EAST...A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR PUERTO RICO. UPPER RIDGING EXTENDS
NEWARD FROM THE UPPER HIGH TO 32N57W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ON THE SW PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER
N COLOMBIA AND ADJACENT WATERS. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS THEN
ADVECTED NEWARD BY THE SWLY UPPER JET AND CONVERGES WITH THE FRONT
IN THE W ATLC. VERY DRY STABLE AIR IS WIDESPREAD TO THE E OF THE
UPPER HIGH. TRADEWINDS ARE WEAK IN THE W CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70W AND
THE FRONT WITH MODERATE TRADES E OF 70W. NLY WINDS NEAR 15 KT ARE
BEHIND THE FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NWD
LIKELY DISSIPATING BY THIS WEEKEND. RAINFALL WILL BE MOST
CONCENTRATED IN THE W ATLC WITH STILL A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NW
CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE FRONT BECOMES NEARLY
STATIONARY IN THE AREA. REMNANT MOISTURE WILL BUILD BACK WWARD
ACROSS THE S GULF...CUBA AND S FLORIDA LATE SUN. TRADE WINDS WILL
LIKELY INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS A LARGE SFC RIDGE STRETCHES WWARD
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC.
A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH STRETCHES ACROSS THE E U.S. AND W ATLC WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL SWLY JET RACING FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO W OF BERMUDA.
AS OF 09 UTC...AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA ALONG 32N68W
26N74W TO A BROAD WEAK 1008 MB LOW OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N79W SWD
TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 13N83W. THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE
FRONT HAS BECOME LESS DEFINED AS MOISTURE HAS BECOME DIFFUSE.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS WITHIN 300 NM E OF THE FRONT N
OF THE SFC LOW. A STRONG CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS OVER E CUBA FROM
19N-22N BETWEEN 74W-76W. FARTHER EAST...A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR PUERTO RICO. UPPER RIDGING EXTENDS
NEWARD FROM THE UPPER HIGH TO 32N57W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ON THE SW PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER
N COLOMBIA AND ADJACENT WATERS. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS THEN
ADVECTED NEWARD BY THE SWLY UPPER JET AND CONVERGES WITH THE FRONT
IN THE W ATLC. VERY DRY STABLE AIR IS WIDESPREAD TO THE E OF THE
UPPER HIGH. TRADEWINDS ARE WEAK IN THE W CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70W AND
THE FRONT WITH MODERATE TRADES E OF 70W. NLY WINDS NEAR 15 KT ARE
BEHIND THE FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NWD
LIKELY DISSIPATING BY THIS WEEKEND. RAINFALL WILL BE MOST
CONCENTRATED IN THE W ATLC WITH STILL A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NW
CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE FRONT BECOMES NEARLY
STATIONARY IN THE AREA. REMNANT MOISTURE WILL BUILD BACK WWARD
ACROSS THE S GULF...CUBA AND S FLORIDA LATE SUN. TRADE WINDS WILL
LIKELY INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS A LARGE SFC RIDGE STRETCHES WWARD
FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC.
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- cycloneye
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Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/ir4-l.jpg
Definitly time to lock this thread, you can't even see it on IR, that flare up over Cuba may do something but the Atlantic has become quiet again.
Unless it reaches the 10 page limit I dont see why it has to be locked.If no more replies are posted the thread will by itself go down the page and dissapear from page 1.

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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If you look at the WV http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html there is still plenty of disturbed weather in the W. Carib.. Zero percent chance of developing? Not zero look at the area Monday.
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no advance wrote:If you look at the WV http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html there is still plenty of disturbed weather in the W. Carib.. Zero percent chance of developing? Not zero look at the area Monday.
Do you think something might happen come Monday down there?
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- Location: merritt is.
Yes there is plenty of moisture in the area but the chances of something developing are very low....I expect activity to pick up in the coming weeks towards mid june and early july.
PS!I will say this conditions are becoming more and more favorable shear wise across the atlantic as you can see on this map.

PS!I will say this conditions are becoming more and more favorable shear wise across the atlantic as you can see on this map.

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