Potential EPAC activity on the horizon?

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cycloneye
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Potential EPAC activity on the horizon?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 20, 2006 3:58 pm

12z GFS at 120 hours

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

12z GFS at 144 hours

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:


12z GFS at 168 hours

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

These above runs of the GFS are not those 16 day ones that are like looking for a needle in the dessert.These are between 5-7 days only and show some development at the EPAC.
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StormScanWx
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#2 Postby StormScanWx » Sat May 20, 2006 4:42 pm

I wonder if this will, in fact, be Aletta.
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#3 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 20, 2006 5:49 pm

well it is hurricane season, so I think it is certainly possible
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#4 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat May 20, 2006 7:15 pm

Looking for a needle in the dessert? I had to chuckle at that one. :-)
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#5 Postby Brandon007 » Sat May 20, 2006 8:31 pm

now that scale even at the highest only represents a 9% chance correct?
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 21, 2006 6:56 am

00z GFS at 144 hours

:uarrow: :uarrow:

The 00z run of GFS shows the low pressure close to the Mexican coast.
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#7 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun May 21, 2006 11:52 am

The GFS has been pretty consistent with the development of this. I'd actually give it 1 in 3 chance of occurring.
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#8 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun May 21, 2006 12:23 pm

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs ... 06/92.html
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