Question?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

Question?

#1 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon May 22, 2006 10:59 pm

I just had a thought go through my mind and it might go under one of those worst case scenario's but, here goes anyway.

In September during the peak of Hurricane season in the Atlantic. Would it be possible to have two Hurricanes striking the United States coast line at the same time. Now let me clarify that. One system would be heading northeast towards the Carolina coast and the other system would be hitting the gulf coast. Is this something that is possible?
0 likes   

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

#2 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:00 pm

Ohhhh yes it is.
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#3 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon May 22, 2006 11:01 pm

It sure is, and it wouldn't be pretty
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#4 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:03 pm

Absolutely it is possible for two hurricanes to strike at the same moment. In fact, there could be three storms - one in the Northeast, one in the western Gulf Coast and one in Florida - moving into different areas at once. (After that, the Fujiwhara effect begins to take shape) It would be FEMA's worst nightmare though...
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#5 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon May 22, 2006 11:06 pm

Miami, NYC, and Houston :eek:
0 likes   

Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:14 pm

I remember 04.. Bonnie {a moderate TS} and Cat 4 Charley both hit sides of the west coast of Fla about 24-36 hrs apart.

I know that's different lol.. but thought I'd throw that out there
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#7 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon May 22, 2006 11:16 pm

I wonder if two storms can hit Florida at the same time, Miami and Pensacola.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#8 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:16 pm

It's pretty rare. You have to have a trough funneling one cane into New England and the ridge behind it steers one into Texas. That's pretty hard to do and will require small wavelengths. Plus shear from that trough will probably prevent either from attaining major status. Three is impossible. Hurricanes can really do a number on the atmosphere. The subsidence and shear from one cane will not support another one near it. New England and Texas is the only plausible scenario.

However, I do recall reading it has happened before.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#9 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon May 22, 2006 11:19 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:It's pretty rare. You have to have a trough funneling one cane into New England and the ridge behind it steers one into Texas. That's pretty hard to do and will require small wavelengths. Plus shear from that trough will probably prevent either from attaining major status. Three is impossible. Hurricanes can really do a number on the atmosphere. The subsidence and shear from one cane will not support another one near it. New England and Texas is the only plausible scenario.

However, I do recall reading it has happened before.


That's what i was wondering...
0 likes   

Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:20 pm

<<<mentioned the Bonnie, Charley scenario from 2004
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#11 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon May 22, 2006 11:24 pm

Josephine96 wrote:<<<mentioned the Bonnie, Charley scenario from 2004

That's also pretty rare but it can happen. The trough steered both right into FL 24 hr apart. Since Bonnie was weak, and their tracks paralleled each other, it wasn't too much of a problem.
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

#12 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue May 23, 2006 12:32 am

Here's an incident that happened in 1992 which is even rarer. On the night of August 23-24, 1992 Former EPAC Hurricane Lester moved into SE AZ as a fairly substantial Tropical Storm (wind gusts in the 60-80 mph range) some 4 hours before Hurricane Andrew moved into SE FL the weather maps that night looked really interesting (BTW Lester was the first named storm of 1992 to hit the lower 48 since it beat Andrew in). In a Poster session at the recent AMS conference in Monterey, it was brought up that same trough that picked up Lester also was the one that picked up Andrew and sent that storm into LA.

Steve
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 33 guests