Question about High Pressure?

[SouthFloridawx]

Ok I got a question here. If above normal temps are forecasted for the next couple of weeks in the Eastern ConUS, does that mean that there is a ridge sitting in the atlantic pumping warm air in from south?

An example of this would be the 144 Hour forecast from gfs.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr

I know there is probably more involved in that but, I am wondering if this is an idicator rather than a reason for the above normal temps.

EDIT: If the ridge is stronger in the Atlantic does that mean even warmer temps? I would imagine that if the ridge is very strong out there it would limit the cold fronts from moving south and southeast into it.

[terstorm1012]

It's my understanding that the heat predicted for my area over the next week, week and a half is from an extension of the midwestern ridge. then the ridge moves east out to sea.

correction welcome if not.

[CHRISTY]

Ok I got a question here. If above normal temps are forecasted for the next couple of weeks in the Eastern ConUS, does that mean that there is a ridge sitting in the atlantic pumping warm air in from south?

An example of this would be the 144 Hour forecast from gfs.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr

I know there is probably more involved in that but, I am wondering if this is an idicator rather than a reason for the above normal temps.

EDIT: If the ridge is stronger in the Atlantic does that mean even warmer temps? I would imagine that if the ridge is very strong out there it would limit the cold fronts from moving south and southeast into it.

Thats looks like a bigtime ridge on that GFS!

[wxmann_91]

Above normal temperatures are forecasted for most of the CONUS and nearly all LR mets predict a very hot June 2006, perhaps even record breaking. The area most affected by the heat would be the Midwest and Plains, as a result of a Heat Ridge just sitting over the area. This is more like a July and August pattern rather than a June pattern.

[CHRISTY]

Above normal temperatures are forecasted for most of the CONUS and nearly all LR mets predict a very hot June 2006, perhaps even record breaking. The area most affected by the heat would be the Midwest and Plains, as a result of a Heat Ridge just sitting over the area. This is more like a July and August pattern rather than a June pattern.

question wxmann_91?so what does this mean are you saying the ridge in june might be stronger then usual?

[wxmann_91]

Above normal temperatures are forecasted for most of the CONUS and nearly all LR mets predict a very hot June 2006, perhaps even record breaking. The area most affected by the heat would be the Midwest and Plains, as a result of a Heat Ridge just sitting over the area. This is more like a July and August pattern rather than a June pattern.

question wxmann_91?so what does this mean are you saying the ridge in june might be stronger then usual?

Yes.

[CHRISTY]

Above normal temperatures are forecasted for most of the CONUS and nearly all LR mets predict a very hot June 2006, perhaps even record breaking. The area most affected by the heat would be the Midwest and Plains, as a result of a Heat Ridge just sitting over the area. This is more like a July and August pattern rather than a June pattern.

question wxmann_91?so what does this mean are you saying the ridge in june might be stronger then usual?

Yes.

so wait then why are all these different companys forcasting hurricane activity so far north?But this really cant be good news for FLORIDA right?
My opinion is 2006 might look like 2004 track wise whats your opinion?

[wxmann_91]

What do you mean by "so far north"? As I've mentioned before, IMO the general pattern might favor an east coast trough, with the East Coast excluding Florida and Texas being the primed targets. Not guarenteed though canes can't hit anywhere else, nor my prediction being right.

[terstorm1012]

Above normal temperatures are forecasted for most of the CONUS and nearly all LR mets predict a very hot June 2006, perhaps even record breaking. The area most affected by the heat would be the Midwest and Plains, as a result of a Heat Ridge just sitting over the area. This is more like a July and August pattern rather than a June pattern.

This would be the "ridge of death" forecast by quite a few, no?


Yes, we're forecast to possibly be in the low 90s here next week. It's barely cracking 70 now and we had frost yesterday. Egads this weather is odd!

[CHRISTY]

What do you mean by "so far north"? As I've mentioned before, IMO the general pattern might favor an east coast trough, with the East Coast excluding Florida and Texas being the primed targets. Not guarenteed though canes can't hit anywhere else, nor my prediction being right.

what i mean is places like NORTH CAROLINA & NEWYORK!When we have troughs of the eastcoast doesnt this mean a better chance of storms turning up north away from florida?you would think this is good news then for florida right?