Greater tornado threat than yesterday too. Although I don't see a big outbreak, I could certainly see some isolated strong tornadoes. Considerable wind and hail threat too.
Area of concern stretches from central Ontario down to the Tennessee Valley, and from Illinois to the Carolina coast. Greatest risk is probably over Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, SE Michigan and SW Ontario.
Moderate risk - May 25 - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Moderate risk - May 25 - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Thu May 25, 2006 3:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 393
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
INDIANA
FAR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
WESTERN OHIO
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TOLEDO OHIO TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF EVANSVILLE INDIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE QUICKLY THIS
AFTERNOON OVER SRN IL INTO IND AND SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE EVENING
OVER MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA. AIR MASS IS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE AND
STRONGLY SHEARED...ENHANCING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS
REGION. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...EVANS
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 393
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
INDIANA
FAR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
WESTERN OHIO
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TOLEDO OHIO TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF EVANSVILLE INDIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE QUICKLY THIS
AFTERNOON OVER SRN IL INTO IND AND SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE EVENING
OVER MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA. AIR MASS IS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE AND
STRONGLY SHEARED...ENHANCING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS
REGION. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...EVANS
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
913
WWCN11 CWTO 251925
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 3:25 PM EDT THURSDAY 25 MAY 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...
TORNADO WATCH FOR:
=NEW= WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON.
CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVOURABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.
THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES..TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
A WARM FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF ONTARIO WITH
WARM AND HUMID AIR NOW SITTING OVER THE SARNIA TO WINDSOR AREA.
CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVOURABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD OF LARGE HAIL DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF TORNADO DEVELOPMENT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
END/RUDDICK
WWCN11 CWTO 251925
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 3:25 PM EDT THURSDAY 25 MAY 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...
TORNADO WATCH FOR:
=NEW= WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON.
CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVOURABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.
THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES..TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
A WARM FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF ONTARIO WITH
WARM AND HUMID AIR NOW SITTING OVER THE SARNIA TO WINDSOR AREA.
CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVOURABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD OF LARGE HAIL DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF TORNADO DEVELOPMENT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
END/RUDDICK
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Gorky wrote:The storm south of Farmersburg in Sullivan County IN has shown some nice rotation for 4 scans now on lowest tilts. Probably a good candidate for the first Tor Warning of the day.
WFUS53 KIND 251927
TORIND
INC021-055-119-153-252015-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0056.060525T1927Z-060525T2015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
327 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
NORTHEASTERN SULLIVAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA
SOUTHERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA
* UNTIL 415 PM EDT
* AT 324 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
JASONVILLE...OR ABOUT 22 MILES SOUTH OF TERRE HAUTE...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CLAY CITY AROUND 340 PM EDT...
WORTHINGTON AROUND 350 PM EDT...
SPENCER AROUND 415 PM EDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3924 8735 3906 8730 3913 8674 3938 8673
$$
JEH
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE ERIE
LAKE HURON
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAGINAW
MICHIGAN TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSON MICHIGAN. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING ACROSS
SRN LOWER MI THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW
NOW OVER WI. HEATING WILL SUPPORT AXIS OF MARGINAL TO MODERATE
MLCAPE INTO THIS AREA...SUPPORTING PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...BACKED SURFACE WINDS WILL
INCREASE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND SUPPORT A THREAT OF A FEW TORNADOES
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23020.
...EVANS
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE ERIE
LAKE HURON
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAGINAW
MICHIGAN TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSON MICHIGAN. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING ACROSS
SRN LOWER MI THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW
NOW OVER WI. HEATING WILL SUPPORT AXIS OF MARGINAL TO MODERATE
MLCAPE INTO THIS AREA...SUPPORTING PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...BACKED SURFACE WINDS WILL
INCREASE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND SUPPORT A THREAT OF A FEW TORNADOES
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23020.
...EVANS
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST INDIANA
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 345 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CLEVELAND OHIO TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN A VARIETY OF CONVECTIVE
MODES...INCLUDING LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES...EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD WATCH AREA FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.
AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE WHILE SHEAR STRENGTHENS ALONG
NOSE OF 50+ KT WLY MID LEVEL JET. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...EVANS
New watches for central Kentucky, northern Michigan and more of southern Ontario are likely coming soon as well.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST INDIANA
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 345 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CLEVELAND OHIO TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN A VARIETY OF CONVECTIVE
MODES...INCLUDING LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES...EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD WATCH AREA FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.
AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE WHILE SHEAR STRENGTHENS ALONG
NOSE OF 50+ KT WLY MID LEVEL JET. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...EVANS
New watches for central Kentucky, northern Michigan and more of southern Ontario are likely coming soon as well.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0973
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IL/SRN IND
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 393...
VALID 251950Z - 252115Z
...THREAT FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS SRN
INDIANA...
A BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS HAS FORMED FROM SERN IL ACROSS SRN
PORTIONS OF INDIANA...WITH VERY STRONG ROTATIONAL COUPLETS NOTED
FROM INDIANAPOLIS AND LOUISVILLE KY RADARS. ADDITIONAL STRONG CELLS
ARE DEVELOPING SOUTH AND EAST OF INDIANAPOLIS WITH 2 INCH HAIL
REPORTED RECENTLY JUST SOUTH OF MUNCIE INDIANA IN HENRY COUNTY.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE ENVIRONMENT HAS
BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH LATEST MLCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG.
WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S AND STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
/PER VWP DATA/...THERE IS AN INCREASING CONCERN FOR TORNADOES.
..TAYLOR.. 05/25/2006
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...
37948603 37958886 39618792 40168676 39978513 39528485
Those watches (except 394) should be upgraded to PDS in my opinion...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IL/SRN IND
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 393...
VALID 251950Z - 252115Z
...THREAT FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS SRN
INDIANA...
A BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS HAS FORMED FROM SERN IL ACROSS SRN
PORTIONS OF INDIANA...WITH VERY STRONG ROTATIONAL COUPLETS NOTED
FROM INDIANAPOLIS AND LOUISVILLE KY RADARS. ADDITIONAL STRONG CELLS
ARE DEVELOPING SOUTH AND EAST OF INDIANAPOLIS WITH 2 INCH HAIL
REPORTED RECENTLY JUST SOUTH OF MUNCIE INDIANA IN HENRY COUNTY.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE ENVIRONMENT HAS
BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH LATEST MLCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG.
WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S AND STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
/PER VWP DATA/...THERE IS AN INCREASING CONCERN FOR TORNADOES.
..TAYLOR.. 05/25/2006
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...
37948603 37958886 39618792 40168676 39978513 39528485
Those watches (except 394) should be upgraded to PDS in my opinion...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST - just my prediction.
With the dynamics increasing, I have decided to do a rare special update on my prediction, increasing the threat one level. The area is basically the same, but the threat increases. Now we could see some strong to perhaps isolated violent tornadoes and damaging straight line winds as well, especially in the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. This is starting to remind me of April 2nd...
With the dynamics increasing, I have decided to do a rare special update on my prediction, increasing the threat one level. The area is basically the same, but the threat increases. Now we could see some strong to perhaps isolated violent tornadoes and damaging straight line winds as well, especially in the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. This is starting to remind me of April 2nd...
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MiamiensisWx
Look at the rotational cell in southwest Indiana... very classic looks with a strong hook! Definately a tornado there...
Indianapolis NWS radar
TORNADO WARNING
INC027-083-252045-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0057.060525T2006Z-060525T2045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
306 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DAVIESS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN KNOX COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VINCENNES
* UNTIL 345 PM CDT
* AT 305 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DECKER...OR
ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTH OF VINCENNES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MONROE CITY AROUND 325 PM CDT...
WHEATLAND AROUND 330 PM CDT...
WASHINGTON AROUND 340 PM CDT...
MONTGOMERY AROUND 345 PM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3867 8764 3849 8764 3856 8700 3881 8702
$$
JEH
TORNADO WARNING
INC055-105-109-119-252100-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0058.060525T2018Z-060525T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
418 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA
NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BLOOMINGTON
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA
* UNTIL 500 PM EDT
* AT 414 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
ELLETTSVILLE...OR ABOUT 11 MILES WEST OF BLOOMINGTON...MOVING EAST
AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BLOOMINGTON AROUND 425 PM EDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3933 8698 3914 8701 3916 8646 3936 8652
$$
JEH
Indianapolis NWS radar
TORNADO WARNING
INC027-083-252045-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0057.060525T2006Z-060525T2045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
306 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DAVIESS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN KNOX COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VINCENNES
* UNTIL 345 PM CDT
* AT 305 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DECKER...OR
ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTH OF VINCENNES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MONROE CITY AROUND 325 PM CDT...
WHEATLAND AROUND 330 PM CDT...
WASHINGTON AROUND 340 PM CDT...
MONTGOMERY AROUND 345 PM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3867 8764 3849 8764 3856 8700 3881 8702
$$
JEH
TORNADO WARNING
INC055-105-109-119-252100-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0058.060525T2018Z-060525T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
418 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA
NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BLOOMINGTON
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA
* UNTIL 500 PM EDT
* AT 414 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
ELLETTSVILLE...OR ABOUT 11 MILES WEST OF BLOOMINGTON...MOVING EAST
AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BLOOMINGTON AROUND 425 PM EDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3933 8698 3914 8701 3916 8646 3936 8652
$$
JEH
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MiamiensisWx
The southwest Indiana cell sparking the warnings for tornadoes is looking REALLY good together...
Up-close loop
Up-close loop
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
CapeVerdeWave wrote:Look at the rotational cell in southwest Indiana... very classic looks with a strong hook! Definately a tornado there...
Indianapolis NWS radar
TORNADO WARNING
INC027-083-252045-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0057.060525T2006Z-060525T2045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
306 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DAVIESS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN KNOX COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VINCENNES
* UNTIL 345 PM CDT
* AT 305 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DECKER...OR
ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTH OF VINCENNES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MONROE CITY AROUND 325 PM CDT...
WHEATLAND AROUND 330 PM CDT...
WASHINGTON AROUND 340 PM CDT...
MONTGOMERY AROUND 345 PM CDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3867 8764 3849 8764 3856 8700 3881 8702
$$
JEH
TORNADO WARNING
INC055-105-109-119-252100-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0058.060525T2018Z-060525T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
418 PM EDT THU MAY 25 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA
NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BLOOMINGTON
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA
* UNTIL 500 PM EDT
* AT 414 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
ELLETTSVILLE...OR ABOUT 11 MILES WEST OF BLOOMINGTON...MOVING EAST
AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BLOOMINGTON AROUND 425 PM EDT...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3933 8698 3914 8701 3916 8646 3936 8652
$$
JEH
Shear is only 20 though so it is likely a weak tornado, but with the potential to develop rapidly based on its classic formation...
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MiamiensisWx
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