91E invest at EPAC,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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- hurricanefloyd5
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- x-y-no
- Category 5
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Well, QuikScat at a few hours ago does show a weak closed surface circulation at about 12N 99.5W or so.
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dataimages21/cur/zooms/WMBds14.png
The environment is a bit complicated. That jet to the north could ventilate it or it could tear up the structure some. And it's still in the ITCZ.
We'll see. It certainly has some small chance to go.
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dataimages21/cur/zooms/WMBds14.png
The environment is a bit complicated. That jet to the north could ventilate it or it could tear up the structure some. And it's still in the ITCZ.
We'll see. It certainly has some small chance to go.
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- cycloneye
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x-y-no wrote:Organization is still pretty poor. That LLC that QuikScat saw is displaced a good 2 degrees NE of the MLC that one sees on visible sattelite.
Two degrees is a lot.It has plenty of organization to do before it turns into a TD.
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- hurricanefloyd5
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NEHO (NORTHEAST HURRICANE OFFICE)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
400 PM PDT THU MAY 25 2006
SATELLITE INTERCATES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1E IS FORMING
IN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED FEW HUNDRED MILES OF
SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO WE WILL MONITER IT FOR SLOW FORMTION.
ELSEWHERE NO TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS EXPECTED.
FORECASTER NEWELL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
400 PM PDT THU MAY 25 2006
SATELLITE INTERCATES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1E IS FORMING
IN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED FEW HUNDRED MILES OF
SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO WE WILL MONITER IT FOR SLOW FORMTION.
ELSEWHERE NO TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS EXPECTED.
FORECASTER NEWELL
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252223
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0400 PM PDT THU MAY 25 2006
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AND
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED THIS AFTERNOON... AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR NORTH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
It looks better this late afternoon.
ABPZ20 KNHC 252223
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0400 PM PDT THU MAY 25 2006
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AND
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED THIS AFTERNOON... AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR NORTH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
It looks better this late afternoon.
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- hurricanefloyd5
- Category 5
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Slowly consolidating, although it is being impacted by shear... if current organization keeps up, we may well have a depression on our hands.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
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