Moderate risk - May 25 - Ohio Valley/Great Lakes

[CrazyC83]

Crazy, you need multiple monitors!

It seems like it! I have to look at GRLevel3, SPC, this, AIM, any media outlets, Environment Canada, the list goes on...

[HurricaneBill]

Crazy, have there been any tornadoes in Canada in 2006 so far?

[CrazyC83]

Crazy, have there been any tornadoes in Canada in 2006 so far?

Not that I know of.

[CrazyC83]

Storm reports jumped from 55 to 68 in the last 10 minutes...

[CrazyC83]

New cells trying to form all the way down to Missouri. Also a separate system may require a watch in the High Plains of the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, NE New Mexico, eastern Colorado and SW Kansas...

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0975
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN IL...SRN MO...NRN AR...NE OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 252051Z - 252145Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

ALTHOUGH STRONGER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH DIGGING CLOSED LOW/SHORT
WAVE TROUGH IS WELL EAST OF REGION...MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/COOLING
EVIDENT ALONG SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF FEATURE IS BEGINNING TO
OVERSPREAD SURFACE FRONT...NOW BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE
OZARK PLATEAU REGION. HEATED MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS ALONG/
SOUTH OF FRONT HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE...WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
INDICATING MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 3000 TO 4000 J/KG. FURTHER WEAKENING
OF INHIBITION IN WEAK BUT CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME THROUGH
22-23Z SEEMS LIKELY TO SUPPORT AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED INTENSE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT BENEATH
MODERATE WEST NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS...MAINLY WITH POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...
POSSIBLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 05/25/2006


ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK

Cap could be breaking in the Mid-South! This could be big, folks!!!

[6SpeedTA95]

We need rain we're heading back into drought conditions

[CrazyC83]

Looks like several hook echos trying to form? There are no tornado warnings at this moment, but there is a hook right over Lake Erie, headed for the Ontario shoreline...

[conestogo_flood]

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 6:41 PM EDT THURSDAY 25 MAY 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

TORNADO WATCH FOR:
WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
SARNIA - LAMBTON.

CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVOURABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.

THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES..TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 6:41 PM EDT THURSDAY 25 MAY 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

TORNADO WATCH FOR:
WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
SARNIA - LAMBTON.

CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVOURABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.

THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES..TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.

That was just a continuation of the current watch. I'm surprised it hasn't been extended eastward.

[CrazyC83]

SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 396
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST OF
TULSA OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF POPLAR BLUFF
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW
394...WW 395...

DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH LITTLE REMAINING CIN ALONG
AND AHEAD OF FRONTAL ZONE FROM SRN MO WWD. RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS.
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HALES

[CrazyC83]

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 397
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 515 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 120 MILES EAST OF BOWLING
GREEN KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW
394...WW 395...WW 396...

DISCUSSION...EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS COUPLED WITH 50KT OF DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS. ALONG
WITH VERY LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED WITH MOST INTENSE
STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...HALES

[CrazyC83]

So far:

4 tornado reports

55 (0) wind reports

139 (10) hail reports

198 total reports

[CrazyC83]

Seems to be a solid hook echo near Xenia, Ohio...

[Miss Mary]

No damage in my community - Anderson Township on the east side of Cincinnati. We had storms roll thru, hail at one point and a 30 minute power outage but that was the extent. But over by Jeremy (Florence, Kentucky) they had power lines and tree limbs down. Traffic lights out all over his area, wreaking havoc with evening traffic. Jeremy - check in when you can!

Here's a local news link for the damage to the Greater Cincinnati (Northern KY, Southeast IN and Southern OH) area.

http://www.cincynow.com/news/2006/local ... amage.html

Mary

[CrazyC83]

It seemed that it was mostly a derecho event; there were only six tornado reports but a swarm of wind and hail.

[ohiostorm]

Storms will fizzled out before they got here. We had no watches or warnings. They stayed to the west. I'd like to see some decent storms soon. No tornadoes though!!

[therock1811]

No damage in my community - Anderson Township on the east side of Cincinnati. We had storms roll thru, hail at one point and a 30 minute power outage but that was the extent. But over by Jeremy (Florence, Kentucky) they had power lines and tree limbs down. Traffic lights out all over his area, wreaking havoc with evening traffic. Jeremy - check in when you can!

Here's a local news link for the damage to the Greater Cincinnati (Northern KY, Southeast IN and Southern OH) area.

http://www.cincynow.com/news/2006/local ... amage.html

Mary

Yes, Florence took a direct hit. I am okay though. We did receive damage to trees on my street. I will bring more details tomorrow.

[therock1811]

BTW my power was out until 3:30pm ET today.

[therock1811]

OK, this is how the entire night went down.

Around 3:45pm we had the tornado watch come out for Cincinnati. All remained quiet until about 6:45 when we had things really going downhill. Then about 15 minutes later all heck really broke loose as we started seeing sideways rain. Debris began flying through the air, at which point I knew we would lose power. At 7:12pm, that is what happened. Then we saw branches breaking, and then heard a crash! Turns out the storm FLIPPED OVER most of our poolside furniture! After about 15 minutes of this, the storm finally left, and I later ventured out to see some of the damage for myself. In about the next 20 minutes, I will head out and get pics of some of the damage left by the storms here, and will post them on my return. Let's just say this: If it was straightline winds, they had to be at LEAST 70 mph!