TS Aletta,Sat. Images,Comments,Models,Advisories,Etc. Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#121 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 28, 2006 9:43 pm

TROPICAL STORM ALETTA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
800 PM PDT SUN MAY 28 2006

...ALETTA STILL MOVING VERY SLOWLY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

ALETTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED SLOW MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ALETTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...16.0 N...101.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#122 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 28, 2006 9:44 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Guys check this out...Let it loop!My guess is might become a hurricane?

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=centam_slp


That's the system behind Aletta, and yes, the GFS has it a pretty potent hurricane in about a week.


if this is behind aletta where's aletta?
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#123 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun May 28, 2006 10:42 pm

fact789 wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Guys check this out...Let it loop!My guess is might become a hurricane?

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=centam_slp


That's the system behind Aletta, and yes, the GFS has it a pretty potent hurricane in about a week.


if this is behind aletta where's aletta?


In hurricane heaven.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#124 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 28, 2006 11:10 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#125 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 28, 2006 11:22 pm

It has been a crazy track so far!!!
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#126 Postby CHRISTY » Sun May 28, 2006 11:31 pm

HURAKAN wrote:It has been a crazy track so far!!!


yea it sure has....but i think she starting to get on here way...
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#127 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun May 28, 2006 11:35 pm

That is nothing compared to some crazy tracks in the past, there was a whole thread on that buried somewhere.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#128 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 28, 2006 11:44 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:That is nothing compared to some crazy tracks in the past, there was a whole thread on that buried somewhere.


There is always something worse!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#129 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 28, 2006 11:49 pm

fact789 wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Guys check this out...Let it loop!My guess is might become a hurricane?

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=centam_slp


That's the system behind Aletta, and yes, the GFS has it a pretty potent hurricane in about a week.


if this is behind aletta where's aletta?


NOGAPS agrees that Bud could be on the way!!!

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2006052900
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

#130 Postby P.K. » Mon May 29, 2006 4:30 am

WTPZ41 KNHC 290851
TCDEP1
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
200 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AROUND 03Z INDICATED THE CENTER OF
ALETTA HAD REMAINED WELL-DEFINED AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUED TO
DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD. HOWEVER...SINCE THE LAST MICROWAVE
OVERPASS... INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION
AND POSSIBLY A SMALL CDO HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE
ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...45 KT FROM AFWA...AND THE
RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF THE CDO-LIKE CONVECTIVE FEATURE.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 360/02 KT...BASED ON MICROWAVE
POSITION ESTIMATES BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z. ALL OF THE NHC MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR
WEST-NORTHWEST SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS MID-LEVEL
RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF ALETTA SLOWLY DEVELOPS
EASTWARD. THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THIS EVOLVING
SCENARIO...AND THE ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MODELS LIES IN HOW
FAST THEY MOVE ALETTA WESTWARD AFTER 72 HOURS. THE UKMET APPEARS TO
BE TOO FAST IN THE LATTER PERIODS...WHICH HAS CONTAMINATED THE GUNA
AND GUNS CONSENSUS FORECASTS. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SLOWER THAN GUNA AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK.

THE MUCH ADVERTISED DECREASE IN THE VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS FINALLY APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
HAS IMPROVED TO THE WEST...AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE CDO-LIKE
FEATURE COULD BE THE ONSET OF MORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION...
MAINLY IN THE SHORT TERM. THE SHIPS MODEL DECREASES THE VERTICAL
SHEAR TO ABOUT 5 KT BY 24 HOURS...AND THEN GRADUALLY INCREASES THE
WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR TO 20-25 BY 48 HOURS AND BEYOND.
THEREFORE... THE INTENSIFICATION TREND WAS INCREASED A LITTLE BIT
ABOVE THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS THROUGH 48 HOURS...AND THEN IS CLOSE
TO THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECASTS AFTER THAT.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0900Z 16.2N 101.0W 40 KT
12HR VT 29/1800Z 16.4N 101.2W 45 KT
24HR VT 30/0600Z 16.4N 102.0W 50 KT
36HR VT 30/1800Z 16.4N 102.7W 55 KT
48HR VT 31/0600Z 16.4N 103.4W 55 KT
72HR VT 01/0600Z 16.3N 104.7W 50 KT
96HR VT 02/0600Z 16.0N 106.0W 50 KT
120HR VT 03/0600Z 16.0N 107.5W 45 KT
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#131 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 6:25 am

WTPZ31 KNHC 290831
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
200 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

...ALETTA BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF ACAPULCO MAY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES...140 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

ALETTA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED SLOW MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ALETTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN REGIONS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...16.2 N...101.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.

FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#132 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 6:29 am

Aletta looking somewhat better organized as she remains ofshore...

IR loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ft.html
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#133 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 29, 2006 6:43 am

TROPICAL STORM ALETTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
500 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

...ALETTA MEANDERING OFFSHORE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF ACAPULCO MAY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...165 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

ALETTA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS...AND A
CONTINUED SLOW MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ALETTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN REGIONS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...16.2 N...101.2 W. MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT.

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#134 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 29, 2006 6:50 am

Image

Image

WILL ALETTA INTENSITY? IT SEEMS LIKELY NOW THAT IT'S BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED.
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

#135 Postby P.K. » Mon May 29, 2006 7:36 am

29/1145 UTC 16.2N 101.3W T3.0/3.0 ALETTA -- East Pacific Ocean
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#136 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 8:33 am

IR image...
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145922
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#137 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 29, 2006 9:44 am

WTPZ31 KNHC 291443
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
800 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

...ALETTA WEAKENS AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY FOR A PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST OR ABOUT 120
MILES...190 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.

ALETTA IS DRIFTING WESTWARD...AND A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ALETTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN REGIONS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...16.0 N...101.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN


$$


A little more weaker.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

#138 Postby RattleMan » Mon May 29, 2006 10:08 am

ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
800 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

LOCATING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT THIS
MORNING...AND THE EARLY SATELLITE VISIBLE PICTURES PROVIDE LITTLE
ADDITIONAL ASSISTANCE. THE INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A DECREASE IN
OVERALL DEEP CONVECTION...HOWEVER SOME CLUSTERS HAVE RE-DEVELOPED
OVER THE LAST HOUR. A RECENT 1304Z QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS NO WINDS
OVER 30 KT...AND AN ANALYSIS OF THE AMBIGUITIES INDICATE THE LOW-
LEVEL CENTER IS SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO A GENEROUS 35 KT...
BASED UPON THE 1304 QUIKSCAT PASS AND DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM
BOTH TAFB AND AFWA. DESPITE THE CURRENT LACK OF ORGANIZATION...SOME
MODEST RE-STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE IF THE SHEAR DECREASES
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS.

THE INITIAL MOTION FOR THIS ADVISORY IS 270/02 KT. THE QUIKSCAT PASS
INCREASES CONFIDENCE THAT THE WESTWARD TURN AWAY FROM THE COAST HAS
BEGUN AND IT MAY BE POSSIBLE TO LOWER THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
THIS AFTERNOON. ALL THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BUILD A RIDGE TO
THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CYCLONE AS THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH LIFTS
OUT. MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT CONTINUING A
WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY OUTLIER...
NOGAPS...CONTINUES TO TAKE ALETTA ON A MORE NORTH-NORTHWEST TRACK
PARALLELING THE COASTLINE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS CLOSE TO
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY EXCEPT SLIGHTLY FASTER TO THE WEST.

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/1500Z 16.0N 101.4W 35 KT
12HR VT 30/0000Z 16.0N 102.0W 40 KT
24HR VT 30/1200Z 16.0N 102.6W 45 KT
36HR VT 31/0000Z 16.0N 103.5W 50 KT
48HR VT 31/1200Z 16.0N 104.5W 50 KT
72HR VT 01/1200Z 16.0N 106.0W 45 KT
96HR VT 02/1200Z 15.5N 108.0W 45 KT
120HR VT 03/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W 40 KT


$$
NNNN
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#139 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 10:43 am

NHC track from Hurricane Alley 09z .....

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#140 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 29, 2006 12:58 pm

TROPICAL STORM ALETTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 29 2006

...ALETTA MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN COAST...TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED
...

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA
MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST OR ABOUT 120
MILES...195 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.

ALETTA IS MOVING WEST AT 4 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALETTA IS DIMINISHING ALONG THE
COASTLINE.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...16.0 N...101.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST AT 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON ALETTA ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN


Public advisories has been discontinued but Aletta is still alive, barely!!!
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cleveland Kent Evans, Cpv17, kevin, Pelicane and 50 guests