GOM BLOB ALERT 5-29-06
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
- stormtruth
- Category 2
- Posts: 651
- Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:15 pm
Houstonia wrote:Johnny wrote:The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.
Which brings us up to that timely statement:
It doesn't take a hurricane to cause disaster in the Houston/Galveston area.
Houston is probably one of the most unsafe cities in the world. The city is overpopulated and prone to flooding and/or hurricane disasters.
0 likes
stormtruth wrote:Houstonia wrote:Johnny wrote:The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.
Which brings us up to that timely statement:
It doesn't take a hurricane to cause disaster in the Houston/Galveston area.
Houston is probably one of the most unsafe cities in the world. The city is overpopulated and prone to flooding and/or hurricane disasters.
Not sure I agree with that statement entirely.
0 likes
-
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 62
- Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:34 pm
- Location: Elgin, Texas
- Contact:
ROCK wrote:stormtruth wrote:Houstonia wrote:Johnny wrote:The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.
Which brings us up to that timely statement:
It doesn't take a hurricane to cause disaster in the Houston/Galveston area.
Houston is probably one of the most unsafe cities in the world. The city is overpopulated and prone to flooding and/or hurricane disasters.
Allison?????
Not sure I agree with that statement entirely.
0 likes
I drove down from Austin this afternoon, and there was a stretch of at least 20-25 miles between Houston and Beaumont that were flooded. I was wondering what had caused all that. We got caught in a thunderstorm between La Grange and the I-10 that lasted about 20 minutes (at 50-60mph) where you could barely see out the windshield. That was pretty powerful.
For all those stating "too much shear", don't forget that early and late season Gulf of Mexico storms are almost always butt-up against a strong shear zone. That's the nature of the beast at those times of year and one of those things that I don't think many people understand. /won't be the last time someone says that this year
Steve
For all those stating "too much shear", don't forget that early and late season Gulf of Mexico storms are almost always butt-up against a strong shear zone. That's the nature of the beast at those times of year and one of those things that I don't think many people understand. /won't be the last time someone says that this year
Steve
0 likes
The way it rained here today you would have thought we had a Tropical storm here. Here at my house in Port Arthur we got a little over 2.5" of rain. Fannett and parts of Beaumont got about 14" of rain. I am looking at radar out of Hou/Gal right now and it looks like its going to start over again, off the Gulf. 

0 likes
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
sounds like my incident in february where we got 13" of rain, but we had 3-3.5 ft of water in the street. I had gone to school at 6:45 and it didnt start raining until mid 1st period (8:00) and it was pouring (at least 3 inches/hr) at lunch (that was the best day a year
) but it was still drizzling until 3-4pm. I had to walk home in Hip high water with a heavy current. It was funny that 3-4 police cars and 6+ cars were stuck on the highest part of the county(where i live.) In alll the years i've been here it had never flooded not even duning a hurricane, and then we get 13" of rain!
It was all gone in a by the next morning.





0 likes
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Yesterday someone said shear should start relaxin in 36-48 hours and if the convection could maintain itself the blob might have a chance. 24 hours later convection has refired over the BOC, we know the waters are warm enough.
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Just heard on another thread that Joe Bastardi thinks something might form later on in associtation with this system... Something about feedback, if anyone would like to expound and has read his discussion please elaborate.
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
- WhiteShirt
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 121
- Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 10:34 pm
- Location: upper Texas coast
- Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2813
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Anytime convection has been sitting over the GOM this time of year for Days, that is cause for atleast a little concern. Not saying I think will develope but if it does I'll be right on top of it. With the soaking rains we have been getting we can't afford even a TD in the Beaumont area right now.
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
- Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
- vbhoutex
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 29114
- Age: 73
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
- Location: Cypress, TX
- Contact:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:According to Joe Bastardi, even if this system does not develop; there could be a similar situation in 10-15 days that may develop. he thinks that with each upcoming system there will be a better and better chance of development.
That would be somewhat logical as we move further and further into the season.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Chris90 and 43 guests