Closed low forming east of Port Mansfield Thread #2
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Closed low forming east of Port Mansfield Thread #2
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Link to original thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=84979
Link to original thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=84979
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- cycloneye
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Not yet.
When it reaches 199 replies or the full ten pages then this new one will be open.

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
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Go ahead folks. 

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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- Extremeweatherguy
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From the other thread...
I agree. Good points on that. It is also giving us the chance to analyze the situation and synoptics with each new system and make hints and/or conclusions on whether it will or won't develop and, if it does, how much.
skysummit wrote:Ok...so this is what??? the 3rd blob of convection in nearly the same area in the past 3 weeks? Sooner or later one of these will develop. This is just giving us a little pre-season practice.
I agree. Good points on that. It is also giving us the chance to analyze the situation and synoptics with each new system and make hints and/or conclusions on whether it will or won't develop and, if it does, how much.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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It is also showing us that each successive system is getting stronger.CapeVerdeWave wrote:From the other thread...skysummit wrote:Ok...so this is what??? the 3rd blob of convection in nearly the same area in the past 3 weeks? Sooner or later one of these will develop. This is just giving us a little pre-season practice.
I agree. Good points on that. It is also giving us the chance to analyze the situation and synoptics with each new system and make hints and/or conclusions on whether it will or won't develop and, if it does, how much.
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- HouTXmetro
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guys on this loop u can see the upper level low near the area causeing this convection to flare up.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
Last edited by CHRISTY on Tue May 30, 2006 6:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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HouTXmetro wrote:NWS has just issued a flood watch for coastal and some inland counties along the mid to upper TX coast. I guess they expect alot of this rain to move onshore.
Based on the movement and moisture flow of the system, I think southwest Louisiana may receive increasing moisture from this system, especially starting around now tonight.
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- skysummit
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Well, the pressure at Buoy 42020 is now the lowest it's been in the past 24 hours. It's down to 1011.2mb with a NE wind at 19mph. Buoy 42002 has matched its lowest pressure in the past 24 hours with 1011.7mb and a West wind at 11mph.
This is probably just a bunch of mumble jumble for now, but I'm bored.
This is probably just a bunch of mumble jumble for now, but I'm bored.
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- HouTXmetro
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CapeVerdeWave wrote:HouTXmetro wrote:NWS has just issued a flood watch for coastal and some inland counties along the mid to upper TX coast. I guess they expect alot of this rain to move onshore.
Based on the movement and moisture flow of the system, I think southwest Louisiana may receive increasing moisture from this system, especially starting around now tonight.
Well they have been asking for the rain.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
skysummit wrote:Well, the pressure at Buoy 42020 is now the lowest it's been in the past 24 hours. It's down to 1011.2mb with a NE wind at 19mph. Buoy 42002 has matched its lowest pressure in the past 24 hours with 1011.7mb and a West wind at 11mph.
This is probably just a bunch of mumble jumble for now, but I'm bored.
The upperlevel low near by is causeing this flareup in the gulf...this is my opinion.

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CHRISTY wrote:guys on this loop u can see the upper level low near the area causeing this covection to flare up.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
Looks a bit anemic, which is typical for popup convection associated with systems like this in this type of setup. It is associated with a trough and shear/some dry air is around it... not exactly ideal development. Also, if I remember correctly, the factors were more favorable for the formation of Allison. Therefore, I wouldn't exactly call this Allison's cousin or a repeat of Allison.
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- skysummit
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CHRISTY wrote:skysummit wrote:Well, the pressure at Buoy 42020 is now the lowest it's been in the past 24 hours. It's down to 1011.2mb with a NE wind at 19mph. Buoy 42002 has matched its lowest pressure in the past 24 hours with 1011.7mb and a West wind at 11mph.
This is probably just a bunch of mumble jumble for now, but I'm bored.
The upperlevel low near by is causeing this flareup in the gulf...this is my opinion.
I know...you just mentioned that a few posts up. ULL or not, it'll still be fun to monitor the buoy pressures for the next 24 - 48 hours just for practice.
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skysummit wrote:I know...you just mentioned that a few posts up. ULL or not, it'll still be fun to monitor the buoy pressures for the next 24 - 48 hours just for practice.
True. These type of systems can appear to be tricky at times; however, a better look at the setup and variables can be revealing in the case of these quirky systems.
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CapeVerdeWave wrote:CHRISTY wrote:guys on this loop u can see the upper level low near the area causeing this covection to flare up.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
Looks a bit anemic, which is typical for popup convection associated with systems like this in this type of setup. It is associated with a trough and shear/some dry air is around it... not exactly ideal development. Also, if I remember correctly, the factors were more favorable for the formation of Allison. Therefore, I wouldn't exactly call this Allison's cousin or a repeat of Allison.
This thing has lost almost all the deep thunderstorm activity it had a couple of hours ago.PS!Remember people persistence is the key here...
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