GFS June 4 - 5 low crossing Cuba

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Stratusxpeye
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#21 Postby Stratusxpeye » Thu Jun 01, 2006 11:47 am

skysummit wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I disagree. Most people are on broadband. If you haven't caught on by now, its your loss. I have been on broadband for 5 years now.


Feel free to disagree. I've also been on broadband for 5 years now at home, but there are some who are still on the slower connections. Plus, S2K came up with that rule for a reason and I feel like we should all abide by their rules. This is a free forum with great information and by abiding by their rules shows respect and appreciation for what this site has to offer.


As I have been on broadband for well into nearly 9 years since one way cable modems the day it was avilable I agree. If small jpg images are used and could be linked to larger. At least jpgs big enough to see if you even want to click on them though.

I for one hate blind links where you don't know what the image is or looks like. Plus this makes everyone happy :) Anyway back on topic Anyone seen alberto lately? Or is he on vacation for awhile still?
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x-y-no
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#22 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jun 01, 2006 11:56 am

skysummit wrote:Is there anyway we could follow the rules about HUGE image posts?


The images I posted are under 35k each. I figured that was acceptable. Mods, please let me know if it's not.
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#23 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 01, 2006 11:59 am

x-y-no wrote:
skysummit wrote:Is there anyway we could follow the rules about HUGE image posts?


The images I posted are under 35k each. I figured that was acceptable. Mods, please let me know if it's not.


My post wasn't in response to your images. I was just talking about these loops that are being posted. If it doesn't bother anyone, and the mods say it's ok to post full loops, I'll shut up, but I thought they made the rules for a reason.
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#24 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:01 pm

The problem is, it is a great pain to make them thumbnails. Heck, I don't even know how. I used to just save the pics on an image hosting site and post them, but now I can't even do that.
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skysummit
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#25 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:06 pm

Scorpion wrote:The problem is, it is a great pain to make them thumbnails. Heck, I don't even know how. I used to just save the pics on an image hosting site and post them, but now I can't even do that.


You can use Imageshack. Instead of right clicking and saving the image, just right click and "copy image location". Then go to Imageshack and upload that pic. It'll give you a few urls to use. For this forum, use the thumbnail for forum 1. Also....imageshack has a plugin for most browsers that allows you to right click on an image and choose "upload to Imageshack".
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#26 Postby HURRICANELONNY » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:06 pm

What is turning near WPB:http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes :roll:
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#27 Postby tailgater » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:09 pm

I for one would like to stick with the rules, I'm on fiberedge and have trouble(time consuming) at times, like when I have 5 or 6 windows open.
Just trying to postpone buying new PC.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#28 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:13 pm

Cool lets see if this one can form the texas one came close.
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#29 Postby greels » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:27 pm

So.....are you folks saying that I can, perhaps, expect some bad weather here in the Turks and Caicos Islands in the next couple of days :roll: ?

Thanks,
Gretchen
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#30 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 01, 2006 12:29 pm

Possibly not to bad but some rain in maybe some wind. :wink:
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#31 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:05 pm

18Z GFS run 850mb vorticity and 10m-Wnd 06hr Pcpn.

GFS is pretty consistant with some type of low pressure forming under cuba and moving northeast out into the atlantic.

60 Hours
Image
Image

72 Hours
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Image

84 Hours
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Image

90 Hours
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102 Hours
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114 Hours
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Image

EDIT: Changed the GFS run time to 18Z as wxman pointed out it was not. That was my mistake. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:11 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#32 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:07 pm

If this appears on the 0Z, then I will analyze it more.
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#33 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:09 pm

So far it's been on the last 3 runs I believe.
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CHRISTY

#34 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:16 pm

Guys this may very well happen shear conditions in the caribbean are going to be pretty favorable,also i should point out conditions across the Gulf of mexico are set to become very unfavorable.

Here's the shear map.

Image
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#35 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:19 pm

CHRISTY wrote:Guys this may very well happen shear conditions in the caribbean are going to be pretty favorable,also i should point out conditions across the Gulf of mexico are set to become very unfavorable.

Here's the shear map.

Image


....but that's at 144 hours. At 144 hours, the GFS has the system right in the middle of that "Destructive Area" off the east coast.
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CHRISTY

#36 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:22 pm

if thats the case i dont see it happening to much shear...

here's the loop.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2006060112&field=850-200mb+Shear&hour=Animation
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#37 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:22 pm

Yea...it may just be another GFS Fantasy System.
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CHRISTY

#38 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:24 pm

skysummit wrote:Yea...it may just be another GFS Fantasy System.


yep fantasy...fantasy will turn into reality in a month or 2.
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#39 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:25 pm

CMC 12Z - 60 HOURS 850MB VORTICITY
Image

NOGAPS 12Z - 96 HOURS 850MB VORTICITY
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GFS 18Z Sea Level Pressure 84 Hours
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GFS 18Z Sea Level Pressure 108 Hours
Image
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Weatherfreak000

#40 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Jun 01, 2006 8:41 pm

I'll look forward to seeing the next model runs for consistency on this.
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