Nice S. Caribbean flare-up 6/1/06 -- 6/4/06......
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- stormtruth
- Category 2
- Posts: 651
- Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:15 pm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
They dissipate it on the 72 hr. forecast.
They dissipate it on the 72 hr. forecast.
0 likes
- Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Interesting, look next to the Nicaraguan coast!!!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
0 likes
- Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
wow. May be this is a sign that the NHC is interested.HURAKAN wrote:Interesting, look next to the Nicaraguan coast!!!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
0 likes
- Stratusxpeye
- Category 2
- Posts: 686
- Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2005 10:40 am
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Contact:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:wow. May be this is a sign that the NHC is interested.HURAKAN wrote:Interesting, look next to the Nicaraguan coast!!!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
Interesting. And the high placed off to the west there. Waiting period has begun.
0 likes
- dixiebreeze
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5140
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
- Location: crystal river, fla.
dixiebreeze wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:No the nhc is not interested. I don't think they looks that far off...They are more day to day in there jobs. Its most likely another deportment.
I'M interested.
As am I...very interesting...I notice that they have it on a NW drift meaning possible land interaction before it can get started...if it can get started. Anyone have a good shear map for the area through 72 hours?
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146207
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY IN THE E PACIFIC REGION ACROSS
PANAMA ALONG 80W/81W S OF 12N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE COULD
HAVE HELPED KICK OFF THE LARGE AREA OF TSTMS OBSERVED IN THE SW
CARIBBEAN S OF 11N. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW
COULD BE SPAWNED BY THIS WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND SATELLITE
IMAGES ALREADY SHOW A STRONG ROTATION OFFSHORE OF NW COLOMBIA.
2 PM Discussion about that area.TPC is interested in the area as you can see above.
PANAMA ALONG 80W/81W S OF 12N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE COULD
HAVE HELPED KICK OFF THE LARGE AREA OF TSTMS OBSERVED IN THE SW
CARIBBEAN S OF 11N. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW
COULD BE SPAWNED BY THIS WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND SATELLITE
IMAGES ALREADY SHOW A STRONG ROTATION OFFSHORE OF NW COLOMBIA.
2 PM Discussion about that area.TPC is interested in the area as you can see above.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY IN THE E PACIFIC REGION ACROSS
PANAMA ALONG 80W/81W S OF 12N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE COULD
HAVE HELPED KICK OFF THE LARGE AREA OF TSTMS OBSERVED IN THE SW
CARIBBEAN S OF 11N. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW
COULD BE SPAWNED BY THIS WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND SATELLITE
IMAGES ALREADY SHOW A STRONG ROTATION OFFSHORE OF NW COLOMBIA.
2 PM Discussion about that area.TPC is interested in the area as you can see above.
Then the first Bear Watch is officially on!
0 likes
cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY IN THE E PACIFIC REGION ACROSS
PANAMA ALONG 80W/81W S OF 12N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE COULD
HAVE HELPED KICK OFF THE LARGE AREA OF TSTMS OBSERVED IN THE SW
CARIBBEAN S OF 11N. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW
COULD BE SPAWNED BY THIS WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND SATELLITE
IMAGES ALREADY SHOW A STRONG ROTATION OFFSHORE OF NW COLOMBIA.
2 PM Discussion about that area.TPC is interested in the area as you can see above.
Yeah, but they aren't talking about development. Alot of lows develop and thunderstorms flare up around there and wind up doing nothing. If anything is going to develop out of this wave it's most likely going to be in the Pacific.
0 likes
The TAFB is showing the low moving NW toward Belize...not toward the Pacific.
Low level steering is SE to NW:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html
Looks to me like the protective ridge over the NE Gulf is gone has weakened, which could steer a storm into the central or western Gulf.
Lots of spin developing in the lower levels:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html
Shear is semi-low and decreasing:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
Low level steering is SE to NW:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html
Looks to me like the protective ridge over the NE Gulf is gone has weakened, which could steer a storm into the central or western Gulf.
Lots of spin developing in the lower levels:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html
Shear is semi-low and decreasing:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
0 likes
rockyman wrote:The TAFB is showing the low moving NW toward Belize...not toward the Pacific.
Low level steering is SE to NW:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html
Looks to me like the protective ridge over the NE Gulf is gone has weakened, which could steer a storm into the central or western Gulf.
Lots of spin developing in the lower levels:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html
Shear is semi-low and decreasing:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
The wave itself will be heading into the Pacific. The low is only forecasted to develop in the SW Carribean and heading that direction, mostly per GFS.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Chris90 and 51 guests