Low at Western Gulf Thread #3

[tailgater]

Any chance the 1012 low hugging the Texas Coast near Corpus will move back out to sea? Anyone?

There is a Cold front moving south that could, it probably push it NE, might mean more rain for Houston area.

looks like it is currently drifting southward near Alice.

Yeah your right I just looked at Local radar South or west.
My bad.

[cycloneye]

Corpus Christi Radar Loop



The low is well inland and drifting southward.It would have to move eastward towards the water in order to have a chance to organize.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Corpus Christi Radar Loop



The low is well inland and drifting southward.It would have to move eastward towards the water in order to have a chance to organize.

It actually looks like it is moving SE right now. This thing could reach the Gulf overnight or tomorrow morning. Also, this thing looks like it may be strengthening over land! The radar is showing lots of new T-storm activity around the center and winds have reached 15-25mph sustained in areas around the low. Pressures are between 1012-1013mb around the center.

link to radar loop:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Rainband]

It's moving south

[brunota2003]

I dont see anything to really get excited about...a few heavy training storms and a semi impressive mid level circulation...otherwise IMHO it doesnt look like much is ~there~

[Rainband]

I dont see anything to really get excited about...a few heavy training storms and a semi impressive mid level circulation...otherwise IMHO it doesnt look like much is ~there~

agreed

[Thunder44]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

[Extremeweatherguy]

according to surface reports and the maps on the NHC satellite site...this thing is a low-level circulation (not mid-level).

[JonathanBelles]

yall are still talkn bout this

[Stormtrack]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

Yes and the SST in this area (26 C.) is a little low for anything to develop too.

[Stratosphere747]

according to surface reports and the maps on the NHC satellite site...this thing is a low-level circulation (not mid-level).

Which means??

[HURAKAN]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

Yes and the SST in this area (26 C.) is a little low for anything to develop too.

26ºC is about 78.8ºF, it would perfectly support a tropical cyclone.

[gatorcane]

The area where this "system" is located has only a nominal chance of development climatologically speaking for early June. Typically wind shear is too high across the northern and western GOM in early June. I would pay more attention to the Eastern GOM and Western Caribbean in particular for any possible development.

But hey after last year throw climatology out the window right!!!

[Stormtrack]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

Yes and the SST in this area (26 C.) is a little low for anything to develop too.

26ºC is about 78.8ºF, it would perfectly support a tropical cyclone.

80 F is the number i usually hear as the minimum for tropical development. It is close, I guess.

[Thunder44]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

Yes and the SST in this area (26 C.) is a little low for anything to develop too.

26ºC is about 78.8ºF, it would perfectly support a tropical cyclone.

80 F is the number i usually hear as the minimum for tropical development. It is close, I guess.

No, 80 degrees is right. It's not impossible, but anything lower than 80 degress is considered unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation

[Extremeweatherguy]

There's alot of wind shear in the Gulf now that would prevent this thing from developing anyway.

Yes and the SST in this area (26 C.) is a little low for anything to develop too.

The SSTs are a little low this time around, but starting Sunday, the western Gulf will see a period of clearer and warmer weather. I am pretty sure that by the next round of acivity (June 12th) that the western Gulf will be 80F+.

[beachbum_al]

The Blob that continues to get attention.

[fwbbreeze]

looking at an early morning visible loop there does appear to be some spinning in the BOC, however it could be due to outflow boundries....any thoughts??

fwbbreeze

[Ivanhater]

It doesnt have a chance, anyone catch the tropical update with steve lyons, he showed the shear forecast and it will be increasing to about 100mph...not a snowballs chance in hell

[skysummit]

The gulf looks to get extremely unfavorable in the next few days. I don't think anything will happen with it. (I posted this in the wrong thread earlier)