Atlantic ITCZ

[meteorologyman]

Here is big wave off of Africa at 10N

http://www.weather.com/maps/geography/o ... large.html

[Regit]

Here is big wave off of Africa at 10N

http://www.weather.com/maps/geography/o ... large.html

Oooh! A blob.... Definitely a Cat 5. If not, the season's over.


(For the newbies, that was a joke)

[Weatherfreak000]

ITCZ looking nice and North now.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

The ITCZ has been looking this nice, even better, all Spring. Nothing will form until about the latter half of August though

[tgenius]

How can you tell the ITCZ is north compared to how it was before?

[Weatherfreak000]

It's just that sections of it are beginning to penetrate very far North. And I expect this will continue very well. Infact, i'd go as far as to say we can have waves getting into the carribean around July, just like 2005.

[AussieMark]

During the period from May 21-31, 2006, the African portion of the Intertropical Convergence Zone was located near 13.6 degrees north latitude when averaged from 15W-35E over the ten day period. This compares to the normal location of 14.2N, and a position during the previous dekad of 13.5N. Areas to the west of Nigeria as well as to the east, are experiencing close to normal ITCZ position values when comparing it to the climatological mean. The current position has taken a jump to the north along the western half of Africa and has dipped to the south along the eastern half of Africa when comparing it to last dekads analysis. This ITCZ movement corresponds well with the accumulated dekadal rainfall. Examining figure 3 which depicts the ITCZ vs normal for the area of 20-35 degrees east, it is seen that after beginning the season well south of normal, the ITCZ rapidly moved northward last dekad and has now dipped back down to the south near normal.

[SouthFloridawx]

During the period from May 21-31, 2006, the African portion of the Intertropical Convergence Zone was located near 13.6 degrees north latitude when averaged from 15W-35E over the ten day period. This compares to the normal location of 14.2N, and a position during the previous dekad of 13.5N. Areas to the west of Nigeria as well as to the east, are experiencing close to normal ITCZ position values when comparing it to the climatological mean. The current position has taken a jump to the north along the western half of Africa and has dipped to the south along the eastern half of Africa when comparing it to last dekads analysis. This ITCZ movement corresponds well with the accumulated dekadal rainfall. Examining figure 3 which depicts the ITCZ vs normal for the area of 20-35 degrees east, it is seen that after beginning the season well south of normal, the ITCZ rapidly moved northward last dekad and has now dipped back down to the south near normal.

Mark where is that excerpt from? Sounds like a good summary.

[AussieMark]

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/f ... itcz.shtml

[Aquawind]

You guys are slow.. I already posted that on the prior page...

[AussieMark]

[Aquawind]

Relax Mark you kick butt! These long threads cause alot of post to be skipped.

[cycloneye]

:lol: Relax Mark you kick butt! These long threads cause alot of post to be skipped.

And that is one reason to lock the long threads when they reach the full ten pages.

[Aquawind]

It's a tad south of last year but pretty much right on schedule..

During the period from June 1 - 10 2006, the African portion of the ITCZ was located near 14.48 degrees north latitude when averaged from 15W-35E and over the ten day period. This compares with a position last dekad of around 13.6N, a position last year of around 15.6N, and a 1988-2005 climatological mean of 14.86N. Therefore, the current ITCZ is located ~0.9 degrees north of it position last dekad, but ~1.1 degrees south of last year, and ~0.3 degrees south of normal. See figure 1. In the western areas (10W-10E), the ITCZ moved approximately 0.8 degrees north during the current dekad, and is currently located near 15.6N compared with a normal location of 15.9N. In the east (from 20E-35E), the ITCZ moved around 0.8 degrees to the north during the past dekad, and is located near 13.4N compared with the normal location of 13.5N.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/f ... itcz.shtml

[cycloneye]

Yes Paul,almost normal position right now and that will be more important when August and September arrive.

[Audrey2Katrina]

ITCZ looking nice and North now.

It looks nicer when it's south to me

That said, I do think we'll have a much more active CV season than we had last year.

A2K

[JamesFromMaine2]

we didn't even have a CV season last year! lol

[Audrey2Katrina]

we didn't even have a CV season last year! lol

That's funny, I was certain Hurricane Irene was a Cape Verde Storm..??

[JamesFromMaine2]

we didn't even have a CV season last year! lol

That's funny, I was certain Hurricane Irene was a Cape Verde Storm..??

I don't remember maybe! lol

[Audrey2Katrina]

Trust me... it was.

That said, it will certainly be more active this year.

A2K