Jeff Masters says this year's season will have a slow start.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Models continue to hint at possible western Gulf development during mid June. Here is my idea of the three most likely tracks if something does develop (based on models):

[shaggy]

i am a bit concerned about the lack of dry air in tha Atlantic this year.Seems if my memory serves me i can remember the huge area of dry air associated the the azores high being a limiting factor but this year it seems not existant and moisture looms heavy.Could mean more favorable and earlier cape verde season?

[SouthFloridawx]

Models continue to hint at possible western Gulf development during mid June. Here is my idea of the three most likely tracks if something does develop (based on models):

Which models do you speak of?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Models continue to hint at possible western Gulf development during mid June. Here is my idea of the three most likely tracks if something does develop (based on models):

Which models do you speak of?

mainly just the GFS (It is the only one that goes out that far). It has showed path scenarios similar to the ones above for the last few days now. Also, Joe Bastardi from Accuweather is concerned about the western Gulf during that period too. During mid June, those are common paths for western Gulf storms (which are typically rare in June).