The ITZC IS Getting up there now acording to the lastest Disc the Itzc placement is in bold Below.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN JUN 04 2006
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1645 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS PUSHED ALONG TO 35W S OF 14N MOVING W 15-20
KT. WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING IS NOTED N OF THE ITCZ THOUGH ANY
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS.
COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THE WAVE WILL INCREASE IN CONVECTION
ESPECIALLY IN THE ITCZ OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ADJUSTED TO 56W S OF 15N MOVING W 15-20 KT.
WAVE SEEMS TO BE MOVING MUCH FASTER WITH A SURGE IN TRADEWINDS
BEHIND IT. POSITIONING IS BASED ON A NORTHWARD BULGE OF THE
ITCZ AND GFS MODEL FIELDS. THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
SEE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS/TSTMS ON MON SOMEWHAT SIMILAR TO THE
LAST WAVE THAT ROLLED THROUGH THE AREA ON FRI. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 10N W OF 52W OVER WATER WITH TSTMS
APPROACHING TRINIDAD.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 72W/73W S OF 13N MOVING W 15-20 KT 10 TO
15 KT. WAVE DOESN'T SEEM TO BE HAVING MUCH INFLUENCE OVER WATER
THOUGH THERE ARE A FEW TSTMS WELL INLAND OVER COLOMBIA
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE.
ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 7N12W 5N17W 6N33W 4N45W 9N60W. SCATTERED
WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 7N BETWEEN 40W-52W. ISOLATED
MODERATE FROM 4N-7.5N BETWEEN 25W-32W AND N OF 2N BETWEEN
6W-13W.
ITCZ Finally Moving north!!!!
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NONAME
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ITCZ Finally Moving north!!!!
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Aquawind
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Yep, The Azores High has moved west and Low pressure is over the Azores along with NW Africa.. So I do expect it to have moved further north over western Africa as well before this dekadal is over. It is still getting pushed southward further west but overall it has come north a tad. This is all about normal as far as Hurricane season is concerned. The SSTs out east in the MDR should be warming northward as well..
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/QUNA00.jpg
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/QUNA00.jpg
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA.shtml
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SouthFloridawx
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HurricaneHunter914
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HurricaneHunter914
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Aquawind
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Well they did reposition the wave in the area and it is a large area of convection..but SSt's are limited there and it's early for that area.. Maybe later down the road if it makes it to the Carribean imo.. Nothing imeadiate..
2:05pm TWD
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW IS ALONG 35W/36W SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS ALONG 39W/40W AT 05/0600 UTC...BUT
IT HAS BEEN RE-POSITIONED BASED ON THE LOW CLOUD MOVEMENTS IN
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ITCZ ARE FOUND FROM 2N
TO 7N BETWEEN 26W AND 42W.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1816.shtml?
2:05pm TWD
A TROPICAL WAVE NOW IS ALONG 35W/36W SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS ALONG 39W/40W AT 05/0600 UTC...BUT
IT HAS BEEN RE-POSITIONED BASED ON THE LOW CLOUD MOVEMENTS IN
THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ITCZ ARE FOUND FROM 2N
TO 7N BETWEEN 26W AND 42W.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1816.shtml?
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jaxfladude
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HurricaneHunter914
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
Big blow up in convection with the ITCZ.
See this thread.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 64&start=0
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