One year ago today

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Jim Cantore

One year ago today

#1 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:00 pm

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...CENTER OF ARLENE MOVES INLAND JUST WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND ALL
COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED...EXCEPT FOR A
PORTION OF THE COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD
TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
ONLY FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO PANAMA CITY.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE LARGE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.

ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER
OF ARLENE FARTHER INLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND OVER WATER.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CONTINUES
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. SURGE AND WAVES SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COASTAL WATER LEVELS
ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE
LANDFALL.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STORM
TRACK...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N... 87.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

$$
NNNN
Last edited by Jim Cantore on Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Opal storm

#2 Postby Opal storm » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:05 pm

One year ago?Seems like yesterday.
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:07 pm

Opal storm wrote:One year ago?Seems like yesterday.


With Zeta finishing just 6 months ago, it makes sense that it seems like yesterday!!!
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#4 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:10 pm

Never forget how I heard about it. I actually didn't hear about it until the 9th. I was on a school field trip to a local mini gulf/arcade place for the end of the year. I was in the cafe getting a Hot Dog and the weather channel was on the TV and all I could think was oh "Shoot" here we go again.
Last edited by Jim Cantore on Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CHRISTY

#5 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:10 pm

Incredible image of ARLENE look.

Image
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#6 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:19 pm

Arlene was a ball of spaghetti with 70 mph winds and that is all I can say. Though I'm still wondering but did she make landfall in Florida or Alabama.
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Jim Cantore

#7 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:24 pm

Florida, just west of Pensacola Beach
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Jim Cantore

#8 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:31 pm

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#9 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Jun 07, 2006 10:18 pm

I was in Orange Beach when she made landfall. I have to hunt the pics down that I took. I have them on disk.
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#10 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 10:57 pm

I can change the title to "today"
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#11 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:00 pm

Yup it is now 12:00 a.m midnight.
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Scorpion

#12 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:32 pm

Seems likes yesterday. I was on board my cruise wondering what the heck was going on with the weather. Very windy and the seas were picking up. I just knew something had to be forming. The next few days were history, as I experienced a tropical storm first hand at sea. It was so cool 8-) .
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#13 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:35 pm

just be glad it wasn't hurricane Ivan's 96 foot wave
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#14 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:23 am

Happy 1st birthday, Arlene! :P
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#15 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:10 am

Not only that we have our first ATLANTIC Invest today! :eek: Aswell Arlene formed in an area really close to where Invest 90L has formed. Is it a sign?
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#16 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:32 am

Scorpion wrote:Seems likes yesterday. I was on board my cruise wondering what the heck was going on with the weather. Very windy and the seas were picking up. I just knew something had to be forming. The next few days were history, as I experienced a tropical storm first hand at sea. It was so cool 8-) .



I've done that! Difference is, I was in a 30 foot sailboat. :eek:

More scary than cool ... not to mention exausting ...
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#17 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 2:11 pm

Hope with a new invest around the same date that this doesn't mean that 2006 will be as active as 2005 was :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#18 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 08, 2006 2:21 pm

A TD or TS at sea is probably managable, but I could not even imaging going through something like Wilma, Katrina or Rita at sea.
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#19 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:57 pm

The SST's in the Caribbean can definitly support a Katrina, Wilma, or Rita unfortunatly though.
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#20 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:04 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:A TD or TS at sea is probably managable, but I could not even imaging going through something like Wilma, Katrina or Rita at sea.


God, no ...

Remember, one of the Windjammer Cruise ships (large motor-assisted sail craft) was lost in Mitch, along with a lot of smaller boats.

No, sailing in a TS was scary enough. Had it grown into a hurricane, chances are I wouldn't be here. I was lucky.
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