Models Discussion about Possible BOC low thread #2
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HurricaneHunter914
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GFDL do good with storm tracks but their strength forecasting needs work.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
boca_chris wrote:I'd be interested in seeing how this one plays out. There is nothing in the BOC right now but clear skies...
Well there is almost always nice weather before a tropical system... all that junk over central america and the nw caribbean will come that way... then a little piece of mid-latitude energy may enhance it. It will be an interesting time situation for sure.
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CHRISTY
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HurricaneHunter914
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I think it's time we lock this thread and start #3
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
CHRISTY wrote:boca_chris wrote:I'd be interested in seeing how this one plays out. There is nothing in the BOC right now but clear skies...
and one more thing DRY AIR!
Next to the loop current.. the most over-used weakening mechanism is dry air (ie i you don't know what happened then dry air must have done it). If you want to look at significant dry air.. you need to look in the low/mid levels.. not mid/upper levels... try a precipitable water loop from SAB/NESDIS. All this development also is a few days in the future.. plenty of time to change!
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