Models Discussion About W Caribbean Low #3

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cycloneye
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Models Discussion About W Caribbean Low #3

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:00 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85220

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Thread #1

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 87&start=0

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Thread #2


The third thread about this theme is open now.

GFS 00z run is starting to be released.Let's see what this run shows about this.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Jun 08, 2006 12:58 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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CHRISTY

#2 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:01 pm

waiting....
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HurricaneHunter914
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#3 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:02 pm

Wow this thread is even more popular than the 93E Invest thread.
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#4 Postby boca » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:05 pm

I can't wait till theirs something concrete out there to track other than speculation of the models. When does the GFS come out and will teh GFS join the other models.
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#5 Postby hicksta » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:06 pm

Lets just wait and find out. Im not in a big hurry to lose my house.
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Re: Models Discussion About Possible BOC Low Thread #3

#6 Postby benny » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:06 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85220



GFS 00z run is starting to be released.Let's see what this run shows about this.


Not too much different through around 3-4 days. Shows dueling lows in the bay of campeche/sw gulf and the gulf of tehuantepec area.. don't think i have ever seen that before (in reality not the model world!)
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#7 Postby boca » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:08 pm

I think the model are grabing straws.
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Re: Models Discussion About Possible BOC Low Thread #3

#8 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:09 pm

benny wrote:
cycloneye wrote:http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85220



GFS 00z run is starting to be released.Let's see what this run shows about this.


Not too much different through around 3-4 days. Shows dueling lows in the bay of campeche/sw gulf and the gulf of tehuantepec area.. don't think i have ever seen that before (in reality not the model world!)


Did they have swords?
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#9 Postby boca » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:10 pm

:lol:
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CHRISTY

#10 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:13 pm

u know what my fear is guys that if we a major storm threaten land we will not be able to get on storm2k this place will probably :blowup:
Last edited by CHRISTY on Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:13 pm

00z GFS at 108 hours

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

At 108 hours this 00z run has a low at the Bay of Campeche.
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#12 Postby benny » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:14 pm

new model seems to be a little more nw than the 18z run through 4-5 days. however the upper air pattner isn't so hot:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_108l.gif :eek:
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#13 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:14 pm

Because of power outages or overcrowdedness. :lol:
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CHRISTY

#14 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:16 pm

seems alot weaker than previous runs....watch this turn out be another fantasy storm.
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#15 Postby ericinmia » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:17 pm

Here is the new 00z Nogaps run. Takes it just barely into the southern tip of Texas @ 108hr.

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#16 Postby benny » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:17 pm

well if the other models look like the 00z gfs this place will be buzzing by tomorrow morning.. it's bedtime for me! :ggreen: can anyone say texas? not like i believe it yet but...?!?
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#17 Postby boca » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:19 pm

This is getting old real quick but thats the models and I'll live with it.
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:22 pm

00z GFS at 138 Hours

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

00z GFS does not show anything that seems to be a cyclone,only a weak low. Look at 138 hours.
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#19 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:24 pm

Let me remind everyone that the GFDL many times is quite good at intensity several days out. Here was the GFDL forecast for Wilma when it was still an invest.

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#20 Postby boca » Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:24 pm

Luis wants down there by you at 138 hours, actually the Lesser Antilles.
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