Models Discussion About W Caribbean Low #3

wzrgirl1 · #81 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:32 am

AnnularCane wrote::cry: There is nothing brewing yet....RIGHT?

not yet

#82 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:32 am

CHRISTY wrote:remember their are going to be many false alarms to come iam not this is one but something to keep in mind.

Yes there will be, but the conditions right now in the gulf are not uncommon for this time of year, and yet storms still form down there. Sure there's lots of dry air right now, but you cannot say it won't change in the next 4 - 5 days. We don't see anything down there right now because it's not supposed to happen right now. I'm not saying anything will come out of this, but it does seem to have the best chance when comparing to the last few systems. Shear will be on the decrease and conditions will improve given time.

wzrgirl1 · #83 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:34 am

I think we are all a little bit ancy..........we need to be patient....could be a slow start to a very busy season

#84 Postby **drezee** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:35 am

WE HAVE A MODEL RUN!!!!

038
WHXX01 KWBC 081433
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL902006) ON 20060608 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060608 1200 060609 0000 060609 1200 060610 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.3N 88.1W 17.9N 88.0W 18.5N 87.8W 19.4N 88.3W
BAMM 17.3N 88.1W 18.2N 88.2W 18.6N 88.5W 19.2N 89.5W
A98E 17.3N 88.1W 18.4N 88.2W 19.3N 88.2W 20.5N 87.6W
LBAR 17.3N 88.1W 18.4N 88.2W 19.9N 88.5W 21.6N 89.0W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 30KTS 34KTS
DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 25KTS 26KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060610 1200 060611 1200 060612 1200 060613 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.8N 89.2W 24.1N 90.4W 27.0N 90.1W 28.5N 87.8W
BAMM 20.1N 90.8W 22.2N 93.3W 23.8N 95.3W 24.1N 97.1W
A98E 21.5N 87.7W 23.2N 87.9W 25.0N 87.5W 26.6N 85.8W
LBAR 23.4N 89.5W 26.5N 88.3W 27.4N 84.1W 27.1N 80.4W
SHIP 37KTS 41KTS 41KTS 42KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 34KTS 35KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 88.1W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 15.8N LONM12 = 88.0W DIRM12 = 10DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 14.2N LONM24 = 88.8W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 15KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....

Scorpion · #85 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:38 am

Wow, interesting. Takes it to a TS.

#86 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:38 am

Nothing on NRL yet though.

#87 Postby **tgenius** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:39 am

Is that a real invest or just a fake? :lol:

SWFLA_CANE · #88 Postby **SWFLA_CANE** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:39 am

May be a stupid question...why does it say on the bottom of the message "The above has been a test message"?

#89 Postby **drezee** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:40 am

This is old but it should reload soon:

Scorpion · #90 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:40 am

SWFLA_CANE wrote:May be a stupid question...why does it say on the bottom of the message "The above has been a test message"?

It always says that.

SWFLA_CANE · #91 Postby **SWFLA_CANE** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:41 am

Thanks

#92 Postby **drezee** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:41 am

Scorpion wrote:
SWFLA_CANE wrote:May be a stupid question...why does it say on the bottom of the message "The above has been a test message"?

It always says that.

For an Invest, Yes

Stratusxpeye · #93 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:43 am

That shows it as a test message. Are you sure this model run is accurate and correc tto our current system and not a test or "fake" system?

#94 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:43 am

Oh hell...now watch how fast the member list grows!

wzrgirl1 · #95 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:45 am

I am confused. Which blob is an invest? The one just east of florida or the one down in the west carribbean?

#96 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:46 am

Here it is.....NRL!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

stormtruth · #97 Postby **stormtruth** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:46 am

Test message. June storm? So confuzin... :?:

CHRISTY · #98 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:49 am

skysummit wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:remember their are going to be many false alarms to come iam not this is one but something to keep in mind.

Yes there will be, but the conditions right now in the gulf are not uncommon for this time of year, and yet storms still form down there. Sure there's lots of dry air right now, but you cannot say it won't change in the next 4 - 5 days. We don't see anything down there right now because it's not supposed to happen right now. I'm not saying anything will come out of this, but it does seem to have the best chance when comparing to the last few systems. Shear will be on the decrease and conditions will improve given time.

skysummit i agree with you on what your saying but all iam saying is upper level winds need to become more favorable before we see any development.

#99 Postby **AnnularCane** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:51 am

AnnularCane wrote::cry: There is nothing brewing yet....RIGHT?

This is weird, because I don't believe I posted this! Unless maybe I am losing it?

CHRISTY · #100 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:52 am

Ok guys this may very well become interesting in the coming days.OUR FIRST INVEST OF THE 2006 HURRICANE SEASON!!!!

Models Discussion About W Caribbean Low #3

Re: Let the games begin

Re: Let the games begin

Who is online