Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[hicksta]

Thats very possible, But as of now the center is at the far bottom left of the convection if i am correct. We will have to wait and see.

You may be jumping the gun there a little early bro. Theres no need to even worry yet. First she has to make it across the yuc. THEN we can have a good idea of where the storm will be heading. If its the western gulf or the eastern or the northern. We will have to wait and see. But as of now all the models are scatterd. Lets just play the waiting game for a day or two. Then we can have a good idea of where the storm may be heading. But nature can never be fully predicted so all we can do is wait and see

Hicksta consider the possiblity of another low forming more NE than the current weak ill-defined low - underneath the huge convection complex south of cuba or in the NW Caribbean

In that case the Yucatan would not be involved

[HurricaneHunter914]

I beleive so. Look how it says,"Eastern North Pacific" at the top.

[HURAKAN]

Everything looks interesting. Certainly we could get at least a TD from this. Alberto has a shot in coming from this system.

[hicksta]

Seems accuweather is going along with the gfs. If this storm can remain intact of the yuc then i belive we may be looking at a weak cat 2 or cat 1 hurricane once it makes landfall somewhere along the gulf

[Extremeweatherguy]

It is going to be funny when this little "weak" low that many AFD's are referring to (except Mobile) blows up into a Cat. 1 or 2 Hurricane next week. Hopefully it will not do that though.

[White Cap]

boca_chris interesting! Very exciting but I don't think anything will happen. I don't mind being wrong though.

This weather forum is so much better than all other weather forums!

Long live storm2k forums! I am going to donate soon because this is the only weather forum that deserves money.

Yes, I agree completely! I have been visiting hurricane/storm forums since 1998 and this one by far is the best. I am so glad I found this one and will tell others too! Thanks for being here!!!

[Derek Ortt]

cat 2 or cat 1? Now that's jumping the gun somewhat


we should see some development out of this, but I would not be trumpeting a hurricane yet

[CHRISTY]

convection has really been flaring up all afternoon....i still say this system once it moves away from the ucatan it will make a bend to the NE towards the panhandle.everyone needs to watch this system because it might move very eractically.

[Extremeweatherguy]

supposedly, pressures as low as 1005mb have been recorded off the coast of Belize.

[Scorpion]

New Orleans should be on alert when this moves into the BOC. Even a strong TS would cause problems there.

[hicksta]

The forcast for shear in the gulf is favorable for devolpment along with the sst's. As long as the center stays intact i belive it may devolp to be atleast a TS.

[gulfcoastdave]

Well Well , time for me to come out of the attic since CANE season is here.

People , nothing has yet formed and people are all ready stating where this LOW will hit and so on. I would like to see when and if the Low develops before we all start stating where it will hit and how strong.

The weekend will soon be here and we all will see how things pan out on this system.


I hope we have a quiet and safe season........but I doubt it will be quiet

[Thunder44]

Wow TWC didn't even mention this,though im not really surprised.

there tropical update is at 50 min pass every hour.

Yes I saw the tropical update about an hour ago and they didn't even mention the chance for development.

They aren't really hyping it, but they did mention it would area to watch over the weekend.

[southerngale]

boca_chris interesting! Very exciting but I don't think anything will happen. I don't mind being wrong though.

This weather forum is so much better than all other weather forums!

Long live storm2k forums! I am going to donate soon because this is the only weather forum that deserves money.

STORM2K IS THE BEST!

I can agree with that perfectly!

I will make sure I recommend all my friends and family only to storm2k forums and not of the any other weather forums like Zack's weather forums.

Those forums are horrible

We don't bash other forums on Storm2k. Please don't do it again.

[Extremeweatherguy]

accuweather's pro site also says that they think this thing has a good chance of development by the end of the weekend. They said that if it moves more NW (rather than N) it may develop faster. By Sunday it should either be in the BOC or the southern Gulf near the Yucatan.

[White Cap]

New Orleans should be on alert when this moves into the BOC. Even a strong TS would cause problems there.

Yes, unfortunately. Even a heavy thunderstorm could be problematic at this point!

[Scorpion]

FYI, the waters in the GOM have become quite warm enough to support a hurricane. The shear is supposed to get favorable...so who knows what could happen.

[max]

Wow I refresh the page and I can hardly keep up. This is better and quicker than the storm2k chatroom lol.

Who would of thought a forum quicker than a chatroom. Haha! Excellent!

[HURAKAN]

Just to make a comment, out of the 4 times Alberto has been used, half of the time it has formed in this area. Not a surprise since it's the first letter and this is the area that is usually the most favorable for development.

[whereverwx]

Check out this loop:

http://img63.imageshack.us/img63/6963/developing3ds.gif