TWO/TWD updates 90L
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cycloneye
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HURAKAN wrote:TWO just minutes away!!! Let see if we get surprised!!!
Sandy,what do you mean by surprised?
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HURAKAN
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Nws Tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on June 09, 2006
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Surface observations indicate that pressures are falling in the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and a circulation has formed between
Honduras and western Cuba. However...satellite images indicate that
the thunderstorm activity remains poorly organized at this time.
Environmental conditions are becoming more favorable for
development and a tropical depression could form at any time. This
system is expected to move slowly northward...bringing additional
heavy rains primarily to the Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba
during the next day or two. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon...if
necessary. All interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of
this system.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Saturday.
Forecaster Avila
Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on June 09, 2006
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Surface observations indicate that pressures are falling in the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and a circulation has formed between
Honduras and western Cuba. However...satellite images indicate that
the thunderstorm activity remains poorly organized at this time.
Environmental conditions are becoming more favorable for
development and a tropical depression could form at any time. This
system is expected to move slowly northward...bringing additional
heavy rains primarily to the Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba
during the next day or two. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon...if
necessary. All interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of
this system.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Saturday.
Forecaster Avila
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gatorcane
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its not moving NNW it's moving N and the center is farther east. Florida is in for some serious tropical rains over the next several days looks like.
When will that all important turn to the NE take place?
When will that all important turn to the NE take place?
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
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HURAKAN wrote:That's what I was expecting!!!
Yes,and the words that stick out are,At any time.
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wx247
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Oops... I didn't realize that we had a thread for two's on this system. Wow... that is kind of confusing. Sorry for posting it in the other thread.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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george_r_1961
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Ok heres my 2 cents. It looks a LOT better now than it did this morning and pressures are continuing to fall. So I do agree that the formation of our first TD is imminent. Now a word about the ridge: If it builds in fast enough we may see a stronger system...say a 60 mph TS..head for NE Mexico or the lower Texas coast. Should the ridge not build in we may see a weaker system..maybe a 45 mph TS..head for the FL panhandle. This is due to somewhat cooler SST's over the NE GOM and shear. In closing, the environment around this system can change rapidly and unexpectedly. Nothing to get too excited about yet but u folks along the gulf coast should be in a heightened state of awareness this weekend.
Ok heres my 2 cents. It looks a LOT better now than it did this morning and pressures are continuing to fall. So I do agree that the formation of our first TD is imminent. Now a word about the ridge: If it builds in fast enough we may see a stronger system...say a 60 mph TS..head for NE Mexico or the lower Texas coast. Should the ridge not build in we may see a weaker system..maybe a 45 mph TS..head for the FL panhandle. This is due to somewhat cooler SST's over the NE GOM and shear. In closing, the environment around this system can change rapidly and unexpectedly. Nothing to get too excited about yet but u folks along the gulf coast should be in a heightened state of awareness this weekend.
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cycloneye
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The 8 PM Tropical Weather Discussion will be posted at this thread shortly.Let's see if TPC has it as a Special Feature.
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cycloneye
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SPECIAL FEATURE...
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
1005 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N85.5W. THIS SYSTEM IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE AREA AROUND 3 MB. CONDITIONS
APPEAR TO BECOME MORE CONDUCTIVE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME. MOST OF THE
COMPUTER MODELS AGREE IN DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM. IT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...BRINGING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
PRIMARILY TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF CUBA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES HAS
BEEN REPORTED IN CENTRAL CUBA.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
1005 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N85.5W. THIS SYSTEM IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE AREA AROUND 3 MB. CONDITIONS
APPEAR TO BECOME MORE CONDUCTIVE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME. MOST OF THE
COMPUTER MODELS AGREE IN DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM. IT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...BRINGING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
PRIMARILY TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF CUBA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES HAS
BEEN REPORTED IN CENTRAL CUBA.
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SouthFloridawx
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cycloneye
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boca_chris wrote:no depression???
Please,Please
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