Extremeweatherguy wrote: I don't know what you are talking about guys. I am looking at that visible and can clearly see the LLC is much further to the west. This is also aknowledged by the area of lowest pressure and wind reports.
Extreme...what you need to remember is the importance that mid-level vorticity plays in the spin up of sfc lows...and placing them in their FINAL positions. Pre-existing mid-level vortmaxs are extremely important in the formation of the sfc low and when it is weak...and when the convection has a tendency to get shunted to the east and NE...look for the sfc low to follow.
All you have to do to see this in action is go back to where this "feature" was located yesterday. It was over the Yuck and Belize. Now it is well east....moving towards the convection. Look at how the winds at 42056 have backed around.
The low is tracking towards the convection and upper level divergence. Not argueing where it is now...let's see where it ends up. Unless it gets persistent convection further west where it is now...it will form further east.