Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #8

[Jim Cantore]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Just my take, My confidence on it is a little higher then last night

leave P'cola out of this

I hope it turns out that way

what?

I meant by it misses you

lol, ok... I was thinking, what did I do to you?

You guys in the last two years have gotten enough Hurricanes to not be due until 2132

[Extremeweatherguy]

09/2345 UTC 18.4N 83.5W T1.5/1.5 90L -- Atlantic Ocean

1.5 Spells TD at 11

Center located farther east also.

according to the recent 8pm TWD, the center is currently at 85.5W (NOT 83.5W).

[rockyman]

This may have been covered---but the TCFA map shows the system moving NNW at 8knots while the text shows NNW at 0 knots.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/images/al902006.gif

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/doc ... 902006.tcf

[Ivanhater]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Just my take, My confidence on it is a little higher then last night

leave P'cola out of this

I hope it turns out that way

what?

I meant by it misses you

lol, ok... I was thinking, what did I do to you?

You guys in the last two years have gotten enough Hurricanes to not be due until 2132

I hear ya on that

[skysummit]

09/2345 UTC 18.4N 83.5W T1.5/1.5 90L -- Atlantic Ocean

1.5 Spells TD at 11

Center located farther east also.

according to the recent 8pm TWD, the center is currently at 85.5W (NOT 83.5W).

Yup...people are getting it confused with the MLC. New thunderstorms are beginning to form around the original LLC.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Holy!

Look at where the NHC thinks this will be in 48 hours:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

It looks like this could end up being a central Gulf problem if this plays out!

[CrazyC83]

I still think the Big Bend area. Repeat of Allison (1995).

[CHRISTY]

Guys tonight on IR imagery this system is looking very impressive and it looks like to me like it continues to get better organized.

Here's an IR image of 90L....

[Ivanhater]

Holy!

Look at where the NHC thinks this will be in 48 hours:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

It looks like this could end up being a central Gulf problem if this plays out!

good news extreme, I want good news

[Extremeweatherguy]

Holy!

Look at where the NHC thinks this will be in 48 hours:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

It looks like this could end up being a central Gulf problem if this plays out!

good news extreme, I want good news

the good news is that it begins to stall at 72 hours and may be drift back east. IF the trof is as strong/south as forecasted...if not, then a likely landfall spot could be around N.O!!!

[Noles2006]

I'm going with Cedar Key as a moderate TS.

[Jim Cantore]

I'm going with Cedar Key as a moderate TS.

I was in Cedar Key the day before the season started, nice little place

[Ivanhater]

Holy!

Look at where the NHC thinks this will be in 48 hours:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

It looks like this could end up being a central Gulf problem if this plays out!

good news extreme, I want good news

the good news is that it begins to stall at 72 hours and may be drift back east. IF the trof is as strong/south as forecasted...if not, then a likely landfall spot could be around N.O!!!

ya, I noticed on the models and made a comment earlier, they show it slowing down before any turn

[bigmike]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Just my take, My confidence on it is a little higher then last night

leave P'cola out of this

I hope it turns out that way

what?

I meant by it misses you

lol, ok... I was thinking, what did I do to you?

You guys in the last two years have gotten enough Hurricanes to not be due until 2132

I hear ya on that

Please share with us valid meterological reasoning as to why this storm would go to nw fla?

[Noles2006]

and I think Cedar Key as a moderate TS would be welcomed by those in Cedar Key... not sure what their rainfall situation is, but I'd imagine that they need it!

[canegrl04]

"This system is looking very impressive"


Here comes hurricane Alberto

[Jim Cantore]

and I think Cedar Key as a moderate TS would be welcomed by those in Cedar Key... not sure what their rainfall situation is, but I'd imagine that they need it!

I was just in that area, they are in a drought and can use a nice soaking, without the surge and wind though hopefully

[Extremeweatherguy]

I doubt we will see a cedar key landfall, but increased moisture is likely.

[Noles2006]

Why do you doubt that, Extreme?

[caneman]

The drought is terrible all up and down West Central Florida. Bring on the rain!