Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #8

[TampaFl]

Very interesting situation thats for sure... i think the tampa metro area could be affected by heavy rains and winds depending on the size of it. I am predicting just north of Tampa like 60 miles or so. I am about 30 miles north of tampa... will be watching this closely. looks as if Tampa is definitely in the "cone of possibilties"

I have it near Hernado/Pasco line for me, so close. Where do youlive? I live near New Port Richey

live in new port richey. The news channels here said its not a threat to our area. What B.S.! a little premature dont you think

What channel was that??? WTVT just said at least a big rain event if anything else, also Bay News Nine says we need to pay close attention as this may affect West Central Florida Monday.

[gatorcane]

Very interesting situation thats for sure... i think the tampa metro area could be affected by heavy rains and winds depending on the size of it. I am predicting just north of Tampa like 60 miles or so. I am about 30 miles north of tampa... will be watching this closely. looks as if Tampa is definitely in the "cone of possibilties"

I have it near Hernado/Pasco line for me, so close. Where do youlive? I live near New Port Richey

live in new port richey. The news channels here said its not a threat to our area. What B.S.! a little premature dont you think

yeah you guys are not used to seeing any tropical activity there - I think your forecaster is counting on the deflector shield that somehow steers them clear of you.

[TampaFl]

Very interesting situation thats for sure... i think the tampa metro area could be affected by heavy rains and winds depending on the size of it. I am predicting just north of Tampa like 60 miles or so. I am about 30 miles north of tampa... will be watching this closely. looks as if Tampa is definitely in the "cone of possibilties"

I have it near Hernado/Pasco line for me, so close. Where do youlive? I live near New Port Richey

live in new port richey. The news channels here said its not a threat to our area. What B.S.! a little premature dont you think

yeah you guys are not used to seeing any tropical activity there - I think your forecaster are counting on the deflector shield that somehow steers them clear of you.

Yea Boca it worked for Charley, but not Frances & Jeanne on 2004

[gatorcane]

where is linkweather? He is Josh Linker, the meteorologist from Baynews 9...

[Tampa_God]

Very interesting situation thats for sure... i think the tampa metro area could be affected by heavy rains and winds depending on the size of it. I am predicting just north of Tampa like 60 miles or so. I am about 30 miles north of tampa... will be watching this closely. looks as if Tampa is definitely in the "cone of possibilties"

I have it near Hernado/Pasco line for me, so close. Where do youlive? I live near New Port Richey

live in new port richey. The news channels here said its not a threat to our area. What B.S.! a little premature dont you think

They sometimes get ahead of theirself, but don't we also.

[mtm4319]

If anyone's keeping score, this is page 106 of the invest threads...

This may or may not have been posted before, but the QUIKSCAT indicates an LLC around 17.5 N, 85.5 W. One 25-knot barb is indicated.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds20.png

[gatorcane]

looks like some dry air is starting to get into our system....based on latest sat presnetations - this is a good thing

[TampaFl]

where is linkweather? He is Josh Linker, the meteorologist from Baynews 9...

He is on in the mornings now so he may not be available at this time.





Robert

[Ivanhater]

NAM shifted WAY west on the 00z run

[vbhoutex]

If anyone's keeping score, this is page 106 of the invest threads...

This may or may not have been posted before, but the QUIKSCAT indicates an LLC around 17.5 N, 85.5 W. One 25-knot barb is indicated.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds20.png

Thanks for the quikscat!! Definitely getting closer to depression status with that showing up. As NHC said in the last TWD "possible withing 12-24 hours". Looking more and more likely.\ to be sooner than later. Earlier today I wouldn't have given it near the chance I do now.

[CHRISTY]

i think a track like this is possible....what u guys think?

[dhweather]

106 pages about an invest? That's a bit much.

As for the possible intensity of this, SHOULD IT EVEN DEVELOP, I don't think
we'll see a major hurricane out of this system - it's early in the year.

With that said, a cat 2 can really mess your day up, it's not "minor" as compared
to "major"

I would encourage everone to calm down, and just watch nature take its course.

Hopefully anyone in the tropical regions has already gotten themselves ready with
their storm kits and evacuation pans so that can leave, should conditions warrant.

You can't do anything about a tropical system. You can react appropriately.

[Bgator]

i think a track like this is possible....what u guys think?

Yes i think its very possible...

[Evil Jeremy]

the models have been updated. one of them go off the grapjhic, and they show that, so there is a small laugh there, but rhe models, just as everyone here thought they would, have moved a little bit more south. i think that this system is going to end up in South Florida.

[Weatherfreak000]

Hate to break up the Florida train here, but I wonder why the Ukmet is seeing that.....


Oh well lol, you guys can have Al.

[CHRISTY]

the models have been updated. one of them go off the grapjhic, and they show that, so there is a small laugh there, but rhe models, just as everyone here thought they would, have moved a little bit more south. i think that this system is going to end up in South Florida.

yea jeremy i feel the same way.....we have to watch to see if this continues.

[Evil Jeremy]

i think it did that with wilma too!!! well, i guess us down here in South Florida should be on the lookout for ANOTHER hurricane!

[tailgater]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/SCA ... 10_-90.gif
Latest Quik scat, Have fun

[rockyman]

QuikScat confirms the NHC center...I guess they know what they are talking about after all!

[Weatherfreak000]

i think it did that with wilma too!!! well, i guess us down here in South Florida should be on the lookout for ANOTHER hurricane!

Hey now, I think the synoptic patterns are showing with almost no doubt this thing will nail Florida, however, given current guidance and the atmosphere are lining up for the short term the system will probably move move NNW.


And I think a hit on South Florida on terms of a Wilma like hit are looking unlikely. It would take a dramatic shift of direction for this to occur and I think when development begins it's likely to at least drift enough to the North to escape that fate.