Tropical Storm Alberto

[rockyman]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

Not official...but NRL has chanced to NONAME1

[cycloneye]

It's a big sign ussually when they put NONAME is a TD but let's wait for a text or first advisorie to make it official.If that occurs this will be the main thread of discussion for TD#1.

Backup site of NRL has it to as a TD.

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

[rockyman]

Thanks, Luis! I'm rarely first at anything these days...so I jumped the gun a little

[Thunder44]

Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site. But I believe it will be upgraded to a TD or TS by 11am anyway.

[rockyman]

[cycloneye]

Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site.

Not anymore.

[Dustin]

it is for me, the storm does not look very organized since it is getting sheared, and most of it is over cuba...

[Thunder44]

Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site.

Not anymore.

Just saw it.

[wxwatcher91]

let's see what the model plots come out with... that's usually another sign

[mtm4319]

6Z GFS, no major changes... still Cedar Key and still weak.


(click to go to model run)

[Stratusxpeye]

Cedar key is really tiny and does not take well to any storm surge at all. I keep hearing ppl say it'll turn sooner than later though so i would place it somewhere from tampa to cedar key or extreme eastern panhandle. That is if everything stays pretty much the same.

[bucman1]

Problem is all the heavy convection is to the east and se.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Cedar key is really tiny and does not take well to any storm surge at all. I keep hearing ppl say it'll turn sooner than later though so i would place it somewhere from tampa to cedar key or extreme eastern panhandle. That is if everything stays pretty much the same.

ceder key is a very very small fishing village!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[bucman1]

Any time frame on when the tropical system will threaten the west coast of FLA-I'm heading back to Tampa Tuesday morning?

[wzrgirl1]

Any time frame on when the tropical system will threaten the west coast of FLA-I'm heading back to Tampa Tuesday morning?

I don't think the system is moving much right now........your best bet would be to wait and see what recon finds as to the wind speeds, direction,etc.

[bucman1]

Thank you for your insight-keep me updated as I am in Indianapolis on business-Just want to keep the family updated.

[djones65]

At 0900 UTC 10 June 2006 a ship with call sign KSO49 I believe reported east winds (90 degrees) at 35 knots and a pressure of 1001 mb. The ship was located 75 miles north of the suspected system center near 22N and 85.8W (roughly).
At 0600 UTC 10 June 2006 a ship with call sign C6LU4 about 80 miles east of the center reported south winds (180 degrees) at 42 knots with a 1012 mb pressure.
Of course these synoptic reports need to be verified, but if true it looks like we have Alberto on our hands instead of a depression. However, the system is definitely sheared with the visible imagery showing a center about 25 miles west of the main convective cover.
Here's the link for the ship reports:
http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_se ... t=A&time=8

[Scorpion]

1001 mb? Pretty low for a TD.

[djones65]

Most models take the system towards northern Florida late Monday night and early Tuesday. But the models are still "all over the place," and I don't think anyone has a lot of confidence in them yet. So waiting until the center becomes better defined and the models become more clustered would be the wisest choice.

[TampaFl]

ISle Of Youth Radar, Cuba

Definate banding & getting better organized.


http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02I.Juventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif



Robert