TS Alberto Recon Reports

#161 Postby **P.K.** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:08 pm

1005hPa in this reading.

URNT11 KNHC 101854
97779 18544 70206 86010 02100 18018 25248 /0005
40915
RMK AF301 01AAA INVEST OB 09

thunderchief · #162 Postby **thunderchief** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:08 pm

im not sure the center is NW yet, but it should go there eventually.

WindRunner · #163 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:08 pm

1826 2131N 08519W 00201 5057 201 012 252 240 013 00154 0000000000

Quick crash course here, what you need to know only. First column is time, those that are followed by a dot are +30sec. Next two are positions.
Tenth column (or third from right) is the max wind, in this case the 013. That is knots. To convert, kts*1.15=mph.

That's the basics, and I'm still brushing up from last season on the rest of these.

Cape Verde · #164 Postby **Cape Verde** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:09 pm

LOL, there are about 100 different opinions of where the center is!

WindRunner · #165 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:10 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 101903
AF301 01AAA INVEST HDOB 21 KNHC
1856 2028N 08558W 00210 5060 190 017 254 240 017 00158 0000000000
1856. 2027N 08558W 00210 5059 192 018 254 238 018 00159 0000000000
1857 2026N 08558W 00211 5059 194 017 256 236 018 00160 0000000000
1857. 2024N 08558W 00211 5059 193 016 254 240 017 00160 0000000000
1858 2023N 08558W 00210 5058 192 017 256 238 018 00160 0000000000
1858. 2021N 08558W 00211 5058 195 016 256 238 016 00161 0000000000
1859 2020N 08558W 00209 5058 195 017 256 232 017 00159 0000000000
1859. 2018N 08558W 00212 5058 196 016 256 236 017 00162 0000000000
1900 2017N 08558W 00211 5058 192 016 256 240 016 00161 0000000000
1900. 2016N 08558W 00209 5057 191 017 256 240 017 00160 0000000000
1901 2014N 08558W 00211 5057 190 017 256 240 017 00162 0000000000
1901. 2013N 08558W 00210 5057 190 017 256 240 017 00161 0000000000
1902 2011N 08558W 00211 5057 189 017 256 240 017 00162 0000000000
1902. 2010N 08558W 00210 5056 191 017 256 238 017 00162 0000000000
1903 2009N 08558W 00210 5057 191 017 256 236 018 00162 0000000000
1903. 2007N 08558W 00210 5057 189 018 256 238 018 00161 0000000000
1904 2006N 08558W 00211 5057 191 018 256 236 018 00162 0000000000
1904. 2004N 08558W 00210 5057 191 017 256 238 018 00161 0000000000
1905 2003N 08558W 00210 5056 191 017 256 236 017 00162 0000000000
1905. 2002N 08558W 00213 5056 192 016 256 236 017 00166 0000000000

Next set in, steady winds.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #166 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:10 pm

Anything to the west of 85 west looks to be dieing or dead. Pretty sure its reforming we the convection/MLC is north of Cuba.

Bgator · #167 Postby **Bgator** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:10 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I think the center has reformed near the northern coast of Cuba at 22.5 north/84.2/84.5 west...Also it appears to be heading northeastward...

I agree with you, if the center in near cozumel, this storm is nothing, there is barley any convection there, just a spin, the Cuban spin is more reasonable as all the convection is there, also this has seemed to flare down since this morning is this normal, will it reflare up tonight?

#168 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:10 pm

i also think that it has reformed over Cuba. also, looking at this loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html you can see another center coming off of TD1 almost above the Yucatan!

#169 Postby **P.K.** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:11 pm

WindRunner wrote:Quick crash course here, what you need to know only. First column is time, those that are followed by a dot are +30sec. Next two are positions.
Tenth column (or third from right) is the max wind, in this case the 013.

The 7th column is the 30 second reading, the 10th column is the max 10 second reading in that 30 second period.

mtm4319 · #170 Postby **mtm4319** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:12 pm

mtm4319 wrote:

(Edit: Added possible new center.)

#171 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:12 pm

Bgator wrote:I agree with you, if the center in near cozumel, this storm is nothing, there is barley any convection there, just a spin, the Cuban spin is more reasonable as all the convection is there, also this has seemed to flare down since this morning is this normal, will it reflare up tonight?

its probally because of the eye replacement.

#172 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:12 pm

Cape Verde wrote:LOL, there are about 100 different opinions of where the center is!

Being multiple centers rotating around that means the system is poorly organized and that is why many are routing for their prefered center.

#173 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:12 pm

QUESTION:

If the convection is on the eastern side where you should find the strongest winds, then, why are they going first to the dry side?

WindRunner · #174 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:13 pm

P.K. wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Quick crash course here, what you need to know only. First column is time, those that are followed by a dot are +30sec. Next two are positions.
Tenth column (or third from right) is the max wind, in this case the 013.

The 7th column is the 30 second reading, the 10th column is the max 10 second reading in that 30 second period.

Really? I thought it was max gust . . . guess 10 second reading makes more sense though. Thanks.

Cape Verde · #175 Postby **Cape Verde** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:14 pm

cycloneye wrote: Being multiple centers rotating around that means the system is poorly organized and that is why many are routing for their prefered center.

Yes, this system reminds me a lot of my desk at the office. :wink:

#176 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:14 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
Bgator wrote:I agree with you, if the center in near cozumel, this storm is nothing, there is barley any convection there, just a spin, the Cuban spin is more reasonable as all the convection is there, also this has seemed to flare down since this morning is this normal, will it reflare up tonight?

its probally because of the eye replacement.

what eye replacement? there isnt even an eye there to replace...

thunderchief · #177 Postby **thunderchief** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:15 pm

HURAKAN, they are trying to find a center of circulation, and there are south winds, west of cuba, and HH usually will avoid flying over land masses.

#178 Postby **TreasureIslandFLGal** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:16 pm

When did the NHC ever say that? They are still sampling the area. There are many vortices right now spinning around a large low pressure area.
You've posted the same thing like 8 times already on a number of threads. What do you want, everyone to say yes Extremeweatherguy you are absolutely correct! You have been saying "watch out TX!!!" for days now.
Calm down already. The situation is unfolding and a very young storm is developing. It's only the first one of the season. Relax or you're gonna give yourself a heart attack... and the rest of us a migraine. :roll:

#179 Postby **Air Force Met** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:16 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Is everybody missing my post? I am not posting my opinion. The NHC is saying that the center is now at 22.6N/86.3W.

That's not the NHC...that is Air Force Sat. estimates!

That is also the center of the shear line...there is no defined center in that location.

#180 Postby **P.K.** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:17 pm

WindRunner wrote:Really? I thought it was max gust . . . guess 10 second reading makes more sense though. Thanks.

It is basically that yes. I pay more attention to the 30 second reading column than the ten second one though.

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