A reminder that the next advisorie will be at 10 PM CDT or 11 PM EDT.No intermidiete advisorie will be issued at 7 PM CDT as Cuba refused to issue Tropical Storm Warnings.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
Cuba said no to that recommendation.The above was from the 10 AM CDT advisorie this morning.
TD#1 Advisories
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cycloneye
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Stratusxpeye
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cycloneye wrote:A reminder that the next advisorie will be at 10 PM CDT or 11 PM EDT.No intermidiete advisorie will be issued at 7 PM CDT as Cuba refused to issue Tropical Storm Warnings.
Figured they would
Not th e brightest souls. What has some of thier rain totals been? They look like thay have been inidated with down pours.
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Andrew92
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Stratusxpeye wrote:cycloneye wrote:A reminder that the next advisorie will be at 10 PM CDT or 11 PM EDT.No intermidiete advisorie will be issued at 7 PM CDT as Cuba refused to issue Tropical Storm Warnings.
Figured they would
Well that's to be expected knowing who governs that country.
-Andrew92
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hurricanedude
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HURAKAN
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- Posts: 46086
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- Location: Key West, FL
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canegrl04 wrote:I think Castro wants some sympathy from the world after damage so he can blame it on us
Fidel doesn't accept sympathy from anyone. He always wants to demonstrate to the world that he is in power and under his command, everything will go as he says, even if he has to go against nature. Remember that even in the worse hurricanes like Flora and Dennis, he didn't accept any help, but when a disaster occurs around the world, he is the first offering help even if he has to take it from the Cuban citizens. It's just to demonstrate to the world who is in power!!!
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cheezyWXguy
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hurricanedude wrote:nothing really to warrant a warning...a weak TD no signs of strengthening, Flash Fl ood watch and warnings yes, but no sustained TS winds....so Cuba Gvt called it right...believe it or not
there have already been reports of up to 45kt winds and recon found 38kt+ winds while flying in the TD...i think it may already be alberto, if not dangerously close
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HurricaneGirl
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HurricaneGirl wrote:Hopefully some of these wildfires will go out in Florida.. this rain could really help the situation. Hopefully the storm will be accelerating and not dump copious amounts of tropical rainfall, just enough to put a "damper" on things, so to speak.
No doubt! It would be great to see a widespread rain event to help ease the fire problem here in Florida. Hopefully it won't do anything more than that.
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Lowpressure
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StormScanWx
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Lowpressure wrote:El Nino wrote:Quite stupid to blame Fidel after what did your president in New-Orleans ...
VERY GOOD POINT!!
El Nino wrote:Quite stupid to blame Fidel after what did your president in New-Orleans ...
I am not trying to be rude, but those two posts are very POLITICAL, and S2K doesn't need that.
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cycloneye
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Ok enough for politics here especially at this important advisorie thread.Waiting for the 10 PM one which will be posted shortly.
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Brent
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1000 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 440 MILES...710 KM...SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND
THIS TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THIS COULD CAUSE DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
WESTERN FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...23.4 N...86.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1000 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 440 MILES...710 KM...SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND
THIS TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THIS COULD CAUSE DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
WESTERN FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...23.4 N...86.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
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StormScanWx
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Brent
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0300Z SUN JUN 11 2006
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.2W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.2W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 86.1W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 86.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N 77.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 39.5N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 48.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 86.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
FORECASTER AVILA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0300Z SUN JUN 11 2006
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.2W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 86.2W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 86.1W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 86.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N 77.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 39.5N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 48.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 86.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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