Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

Epsilon_Fan · #141 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:18 pm

I was out of town and I come back to a TD... let's see what happens, it looks kinda disorganized now

Coredesat · #142 Postby **Coredesat** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:40 am

Looks to be in the process of going poof.

Ivan14 · #143 Postby **Ivan14** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:48 am

IMHO it is not going poof. Convection is refiring closer to the center. However it doesn't look to healthy.

Extremeweatherguy · #144 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:49 am

Team Ragnarok wrote:

Looks to be in the process of going poof.

Actually I think it is looking better organized. The convection is starting to wrap around the 'true' center. I think this will be Alberto by morning.

#145 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:51 am

Interesting loops below. If it wasn't so late I sure would think TD#1 was moving WNW and getting better organized but maybe I'm just tired.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Extremeweatherguy · #146 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:52 am

Stormcenter wrote:Interesting loops below. If it wasn't so late I sure would think TD#1 was moving WNW and getting better organized but maybe I'm just tired.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

I would say that you are right. I think this is getting better organized and heading either WNW or NW.

Noles2006 · #147 Postby **Noles2006** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:56 am

Stormcenter wrote:Interesting loops below. If it wasn't so late I sure would think TD#1 was moving WNW and getting better organized but maybe I'm just tired.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Yeah, I think you're tired. Looks to still be moving NNW and very disorganized.

#148 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:58 am

Noles2006 wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:Interesting loops below. If it wasn't so late I sure would think TD#1 was moving WNW and getting better organized but maybe I'm just tired.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Yeah, I think you're tired. Looks to still be moving NNW and very disorganized.

Okay I'll go to bed then and see what we wake to later this morning.

Normandy · #149 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:59 am

^ I dont think hes tired

stormtruth · #150 Postby **stormtruth** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:02 am

I also say its starting to get better organized with more convection around the center where it needs it if it going to intensify.

#151 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:04 am

Here is another Sat. loop showing the building convection.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Noles2006 · #152 Postby **Noles2006** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:04 am

Okay, maybe a little better organized.... but it still looks like turd.

Normandy · #153 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:14 am

I think its funny how the LLC im seeing is just skooting right underneath the shear...wonder what itll do once it gulps that dry air to its west :lol:

Audrey2Katrina · #154 Postby **Audrey2Katrina** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:22 am

Looks to me like that "center" is NE of the Yucatan, and perhaps a little better than what looked like a glorified squall cluster earlier, it still looks very disorganized. All the flareup seems to be on the E and NE, and the promise of anything much developing W doesn't look too good. JMO; but I feel while we may have Alberto by tomorrow, it'll be a weak and floundering Alberto...and that's just fine w/me. Think some of those Fla. folks will be getting a lot of that much needed rain.

A2K

#155 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:24 am

Looks better organized than it did 6 hours ago. You can clearly see what looks like the center on the loop below.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html

Normandy · #156 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:26 am

^ Ill agree on the center, but i wouldn't say its better organized....in reality its now just a naked swirl with thunderstorms well off to the east.

EDIT
Also noticed something...
Look at the loop and notice how tstorms are firing right behind the spin....sort of "following" it while being sheared.

Bgator · #157 Postby **Bgator** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:28 am

Ok, i can see a spin on cuba radarm i realize it stinks, but i really see one and it may be MLL, but u can see as pin on cuba radar....

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/00Pinar%20del%20Rio/lbjMAXw01a.gif

It is west of tip of cuba moving NNE, please are my eyes deceiving me! :eek:

#158 Postby **sponger** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:28 am

We could definately use the rain here in NE Florida! It is dry as a bone.

#159 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:29 am

Normandy wrote:^ Ill agree on the center, but i wouldn't say its better organized....in reality its now just a naked swirl with thunderstorms well off to the east.

Now also check this satellite loop. You can clearly see new convection "trying" to wrap around the center area.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... itype=irbw

Normandy · #160 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:31 am

^ Yea just noticed

meh, seems to me like this isnt totally tropical looking.

Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

Who is online