Tropical Storm Alberto

[Aquawind]

Have you seen my mommie?

[isobar0512]

If there is not a chance of a landfall further west, why do we have bands of clouds from the outflow approaching the AL/MS coast?

[NBCintern]

:crying: Have you seen my mommie?

Yeah, I have seen her...hehehehe

try the local Walmart, that is where most of them go.....

Kidding of course....

[Evil Jeremy]

the flood watches should be issued soon. as with the Tropical Storm Watches.

[Aquawind]

Flood watches here already.. Rain is picking up here big time.. Gonna be a wet afternoon..

[CrazyC83]

If there is not a chance of a landfall further west, why do we have bands of clouds from the outflow approaching the AL/MS coast?

Unrelated trough.

[JPmia]

:crying: Have you seen my mommie?

lol, this will be pretty much like a normal rainy day in Florida when this thing comes ashore...no big deal. For us in South FL...look outside now...that's about all we will get out of this...I thought they would issue TS watches/warnings for West FL coast. looks like they will do it at 5pm.

[NBCintern]

If this thing heads farther north, then wouldn't this TS get sheared like it is now when it heads NE???? I mean the shear looks impressive....

[JPmia]

you can already see that happening right now convection is being pushed away from the center...im sure it fire up again and try to wrap around.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[jusforsean]

yeah, i dont usually have 10 on, i like channel 7 for its vivid entertainment ****tracking the tropics**** dant da dant every 5 mins, but all in all for a realistic approach channel 4 with brian is usually your best bet i think, but all in all i stay on here for info.

[skysummit]

Very latest...

[Portastorm]

So is the idea from the 5 am NHC advisory of a potentially split system with one part hitting Florida and a low level center migrating into the western GOM still viable?

[Nimbus]

If this thing heads farther north, then wouldn't this TS get sheared like it is now when it heads NE???? I mean the shear looks impressive..

I'm having trouble seeing the predicted trof getting far enough south to pick up Alberto. Shear in the northern gulf associated with the trof has been forecast to increase. Guess I've just been staring at WV loops too long need to come back later and look with fresh eyes.

[JPmia]

So is the idea from the 5 am NHC advisory of a potentially split system with one part hitting Florida and a low level center migrating into the western GOM still viable?

i believe the Euro and another model predicted just that yesterday.

[NONAME]

nope sry havent seen you mommie lol

[The_OD_42]

Question- Is there any chance that when (or if) Alberto starts to turn to the NE that the center of circulation would "catch up" to the convection since it would no longer be moving against the shear? I don't know if this is even possible, but it just popped into my head.

[MississippiHurricane]

JUST FOUND THIS:



Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
757 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-111815-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
757 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS BEYOND 20 NM THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS AND DEVELOPING SEAS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER ONE IS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO THIS MORNING. SQUALL BANDS EXTENDING WELL NORTH OF THE CENTER
INTO THE MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF GENERATING WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE AND LOCALLY ROUGH
SEAS IN THEIR VICINITY. INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER ONE. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES FROM THE EAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS AND A LARGE SWELL TRAIN FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NUMBER ONE.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

What kind of weather can this area expect and how far north?

[Dean4Storms]

One thing is possible, if Alberto begins to make the turn toward the NE he may have a small window of opportunity to strengthen as he moves more in line with the direction of the shear from the SW. By moving along with the shear he could lessen its impact by 10mph or more.

[MississippiHurricane]

HERE WE GOOOOOOOO!

[dixiebreeze]

the flood watches should be issued soon. as with the Tropical Storm Watches.

Flood watch thread posted couple hours ago. Starts later this afternoon for WC Fla.