Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0335 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE CONCERNS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FOCUSED FROM THE GREAT BASIN
   INTO THE FOUR CORNERS STATES WHERE VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
   PREVAIL AHEAD OF E PACIFIC UPPER LOW/TROUGH. WINDS WILL START TO
   INCREASE TODAY DUE TO WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE BUT WILL REMAIN LARGELY
   BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER...MDT TO HIGH HAINES WILL PERSIST
   ACROSS A LARGE AREA WITH EXTREMELY LOW RH LEVELS. IN
   ADDITION...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL
   CO...BUT COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO WEAK FORCING AND VERY DRY
   AIR MASS.
   
   FARTHER E INTO THE SRN PLAINS...IT WILL REMAIN HOT WITH INCREASED
   SLY FLOW DUE TO LOWERING PRESSURES OVER NM AND W TX...BUT RH LEVELS
   WILL BE MITIGATED A BIT BY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SE.
   SCATTERED STORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM INTO W
   TX...BUT THESE WILL BE MAINLY WET WITH GUSTY WINDS AND EVEN SOME
   SMALL HAIL. MEANWHILE...UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WITH WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS/LOWER MO VALLEY ON BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WHERE IT HAS
   RAINED RECENTLY.
   
   ...AZ / NM / SRN CO...
   CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR CRITICAL TODAY AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER
   SHORTWAVE DRIFTING EWD OUT OF THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. SUSTAINED
   SWLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
   WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 20 MPH DUE TO STRONG MIXING. IT WILL AGAIN BE
   VERY WARM AND EXTREMELY DRY...WITH RH DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE
   DIGITS. THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE WILL BE BECOME HIGHLY UNSTABLE BY LATE
   AFTERNOON /HIGH HAINES/ WHICH WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
   FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES. SPECIFIC AREAS OF CONCERN WILL BE ACROSS
   SERN UT...SRN CO...NRN AZ AND MOST OF NM...AND ANYWHERE FIRES ARE
   CURRENTLY ONGOING.
   
   ...CENTRAL CO INTO FAR NRN NM / NRN UT...
   STRONG HEATING AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL ALLOW ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM MAINLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL CO.
   PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT WILL REMAIN VERY LOW SO STORMS WILL
   PRODUCE LITTLE IF ANY RAIN. LIGHTNING PRODUCED WITH THESE STORMS MAY
   SPARK NEW FIRES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SRN HALF OF CO AND POINTS
   SOUTH WHERE FUELS ARE DRIEST. A LOWER PROBABILITY EXISTS FOR DRY
   LIGHTNING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL/NRN UT...WITH LIGHT WLY
   UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE WASATCH MTNS.
   
   ...NV INTO WRN UT...
   WINDS WILL BLOW OUT OF THE WEST AT 10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS
   UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES. OVERALL...CONDITIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
   PREVIOUS DAY WITH RH LEVELS FROM 15-20 PERCENT AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS
   OF 15-20 MPH ACROSS NRN UT AND SLIGHTLY LOWER SPEEDS INTO
   UT...ALTHOUGH RH WILL ALSO BE LOWER AT 10-15 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0439 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NV / UT / SRN WY / WRN AND SRN
   CO / NRN AND ERN AZ / NM / FAR SW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FRI...AS
   WRN U.S. TROUGH AMPLIFIES AND DIGS SEWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN. WINDS
   WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE SWRN U.S. AS A RESULT WHILE REMAINING
   VERY WARM AND DRY. FARTHER E...A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST
   FROM TX TO THE CANADIAN BORDER WITH STRONG SLY WINDS. ISOLATED DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AS WELL OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL CO...WITH WET
   STORMS FARTHER E INTO ERN CO SWD INTO FAR ERN NM AND WRN TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NV / UT / SRN WY / WRN AND SRN
   CO / NRN AND ERN AZ / NM / FAR SW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / EXTREMELY LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH
   HAINES INDEX
   
   SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-25 MPH FRIDAY WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH.
   RH WILL REMAIN LOW AND BELOW 15 PERCENT AREAWIDE...WITH MANY
   LOCATIONS BELOW 10 PERCENT. FUELS ARE EXTREMELY DRY GIVEN DROUGHT.
   COMBINATION OF HIGH WINDS...LOW RH AND A HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL
   ALLOW FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE POTENTIAL DURING THE AFTERNOON. RH RECOVERY
   WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHERE
   WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF ERN CO AND NM...AS WELL AS WRN TX...
   CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL FRIDAY DUE TO VERY WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS RH
   LEVELS WILL ONLY DROP TO 20-30 PERCENT E OF THE CRITICAL AREA.
   ALSO...PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
   THEREFORE...MOISTURE LEVELS MAY BE MITIGATING FACTOR...ALTHOUGH
   CRITICAL AREA COULD BE EXTENDED EWD IF PRECIPITATION FAILS TO
   MATERIALIZE AND RH LEVELS LOWER.
   
   ...CENTRAL CO...
   ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE LIKELY FRIDAY DURING THE
   AFTERNOON. AFTER MANY DAYS OF WARM AND DRY WEATHER...IGNITION
   EFFICIENCY OF ANY STRIKES WILL BE HIGH. ALSO...GIVEN CRITICAL
   COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH...ANY NEW FIRES COULD QUICKLY GET OUT OF
   CONTROL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0549 AM CDT THU MAY 25 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   A FEW MORE DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH WRN TROUGH. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE ON
   5/27...WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FROM NRN AZ/NM
   INTO UT AND WRN CO. WINDS WILL DECREASE A BIT ON 5/28 BUT WILL STILL
   REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY OVER ERN NM
   INTO W TX. THEREAFTER...MODELS INDICATE TROUGH LIFTING NWD WITH A
   DECREASE IN WINDS...ALTHOUGH RH WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW WITH WARM
   TEMPERATURES AS UPPER RIDGING TAKES PLACE 5/31 ONWARD.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NV/FAR SERN CA/SRN
   WY/UT/AZ/NM/SRN AND WRN CO/SW KS/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL COLORADO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SINK SEWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND SWRN
   STATES TODAY...INCREASING WINDS AND CAUSING CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS. UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD INTO THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS...WHERE IT WILL BE WINDY AS WELL DUE TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
   ACROSS CO AND WY. SLIGHT COOLING ALOFT WITH UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW
   WEAK INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP OVER CO WHERE SCATTERED DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY.  ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
   TEMPERATURES WARM AND RH MODERATELY LOW ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH EXCEPT
   FOR THE FL PENINSULA WHERE STORMS WILL OCCUR.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NV/FAR SERN CA/SRN
   WY/UT/AZ/NM/SRN AND WRN CO/SW KS/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   A LARGE AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE
   TODAY AS UPPER TROUGH CAUSES A BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER RIDGE. UNDER
   SUNNY SKIES...RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 6-15 PERCENT RANGE.
   APPROACHING TROUGH WILL CAUSE A MARKED INCREASE IN WINDS WITH
   SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER MUCH OF
   NV...WRN UT...SRN WY...AND NRN AZ. SOMEWHAT REDUCED SPEEDS OF 15-25
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL CO INTO SRN AZ AND
   MUCH OF WRN NM. ALTHOUGH NOT AS WINDY...EXTREMELY LOW RH ALONG WITH
   A HIGH HAINES WILL CAUSE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH AND
   SPREAD. FARTHER E INTO THE ERN PLAINS OF NM...W TX...SERN CO AND
   SWRN KS...SPEEDS WILL BE HIGHER FROM 20-30 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH.
   ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER INTO TX FROM 15-25
   PERCENT...VERY HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH WINDS WILL COMBINE TO
   CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. RH RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR IN
   MANY AREAS OVERNIGHT WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS REMAINING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL COLORADO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY LIGHTNING / LOW RH / HIGH HAINES INDEX /
   GUSTY WINDS
   
   SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE
   AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NRN CO AS UPPER TROUGH INFLUENCES
   THE AREA AND PROVIDES EXTRA LIFT. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE VERY
   LOW...BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP DUE TO COOLING ALOFT AND
   HEATING OF THE HIGH TERRAIN. WHEN LIGHTNING DOES OCCUR TODAY...SWLY
   WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AND VERY LOW RH VALUES AROUND 10 PERCENT AS WELL
   AS A HIGH HAINES INDEX SUGGEST ANY FIRE STARTS COULD QUICKLY BURN
   OUT OF CONTROL. ISOLATED STRIKES COULD OCCUR AS FAR SOUTH AS EXTREME
   NRN NM AS WELL...BUT THE BULK OF THE STRIKES WILL BE FARTHER N.
   
   ...WRN KS / OK & TX EAST OF THE DRYLINE...
   IT WILL BE VERY HOT AND WINDY E OF THE DRYLINE FROM WRN KS INTO THE
   OK/TX PANHANDLES...WITH SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. RH VALUES
   WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 25-30 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. THE HIGHER
   MOISTURE LEVELS...ALONG WITH THE PROSPECT OF ISOLATED STORMS...WILL
   MITIGATE OVERALL THREAT SOMEWHAT. BEWARE IF RH LEVELS UNEXPECTEDLY
   DROP LOWER THAN FORECAST.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0529 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF UT/CO/AZ/NM AS WELL AS FAR
   SRN NV/SERN CA...SRN WY...SWRN KS...WRN TX/OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VERY BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL AND WRN U.S. ON
   SAT...PRODUCING CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OVER THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES
   AND SURROUNDING AREAS. WINDS ALOFT WILL PEAK ACROSS UT/WY/CO/AZ
   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND MAY CAUSE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO REACH
   EXTREME LEVELS. SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS...CAUSING VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CENTRAL CONUS
   AS WELL ALONG WITH HOT TEMPERATURES. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL BECOME
   INCREASINGLY WARM ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SERN STATES AS
   UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EWD INTO THOSE AREAS. RH WILL LOWER...BUT WINDS
   WILL BE LIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF UT/CO/AZ/NM AS WELL AS FAR
   SRN NV/SERN CA...SRN WY...SWRN KS...WRN TX/OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HIGH WINDS / VERY LOW RH / AREAS WITH HIGH
   HAINES INDEX / EXTREME DROUGHT
   
   UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE REGION ON DAY 2 WHILE A VERY
   DRY AIR MASS REMAINS AT THE SURFACE. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER THAN
   PREVIOUS DAY...WITH 30-40 MPH SUSTAINED SPEEDS FROM NRN AZ INTO
   UT...CO...AND SRN WY. SPEEDS OF 25-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON
   ELSEWHERE...AND GUSTS WILL EXCEED THESE SPEEDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   STRONG VERTICAL MIXING...ALONG WITH EXTREMELY LOW RH VALUES AND VERY
   STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN A HIGH HAINES INDEX
   ACROSS ALL OF NM AND CO...AS WELL AS SRN WY...ERN AZ...SERN UT AND
   WRN TX. THE EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH VERY LOW RH/HIGH
   WINDS/ AND A MDT TO HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY EXTREME
   FIRE BEHAVIOR. SOME AREAS COULD BE UPGRADED TO EXTREME IN NEXT DAY 1
   OUTLOOK.
   
   ...SERN WY / NERN CO INTO WRN NEBRASKA / NRN KS...
   NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE WITH STRONG 20-30 MPH
   WINDS AND RH AROUND 25 PERCENT. MAIN MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE
   POSSIBLE CLUSTER OF STORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THESE AREAS LATE
   FRI INTO EARLY SAT...WHICH WOULD MOISTEN FUELS. IF LITTLE OR NO RAIN
   IS RECEIVED...THEN CRITICAL AREA WOULD LIKELY BE EXTENDED FARTHER NE
   INTO NEBRASKA.
   
   ...MS/AL/GA/NRN FL...
   PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT IN VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
   90S...WHICH WILL RESULT IN MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 35-40
   PERCENT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...BUT GIVEN RECENT
   DROUGHT...A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT MAY EXIST DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0634 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST
   THROUGH 5/29 ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AND SRN HIGH PLAINS WITH
   UPPER TROUGH OVERHEAD. MODELS BEGIN MOVING THE TROUGH OUT AFTER
   5/29...BUT DIFFER IN THEIR TIMING. THUS...IT APPEARS THERE IS A HIGH
   PROBABILITY OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AT LEAST THROUGH 5/29...AND
   POSSIBLY ONE MORE DAY ACROSS ERN NM DEPENDING UPON WHICH SCENARIO
   VERIFIES. REGARDLESS...IT WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY AFTER 5/30 AS
   UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE ROCKIES.
   
   ELSEWHERE...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
   GA/CAROLINAS/NRN FL WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF RAIN FROM ABOUT 5/30-6/01.
   ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD...SUCH A
   PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES
   MAY PROVE TO YIELD CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS IN TIME AS KBDI VALUES
   RISE.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST UT/WESTERN
   CO/WESTERN NM AND NORTHERN/EASTERN AZ...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST CA/SOUTHEAST NV/MUCH OF
   UT/SOUTHERN WY/CO/AZ/NM INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN STATES
   TODAY...WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS WY/UT/NV. STRONG
   WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH AND A WARM/DRY AIRMASS AHEAD OF
   THE COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO A HIGH FIRE DANGER FROM THE LOWER CO
   RIVER VALLEY/EASTERN GREAT BASIN TO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN STATES.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTHEAST UT/WESTERN
   CO/WESTERN NM AND NORTHERN/EASTERN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARM
   TEMPERATURES/VERY LOW RH VALUES
   
   DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY FROM THE
   LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/EASTERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
   AREA. IN ASSOCIATION WITH EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF WESTERN STATES
   TROUGH...A BELT OF STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL SPREAD
   FROM THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/SOUTHWEST DESERTS INTO THE FOUR
   CORNERS AREA AND CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY.
   
   ALONG/AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS UT/SOUTHERN NV...IN
   PRESENCE OF WARM TEMPERATURES AND A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY
   LAYER/STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...AFOREMENTIONED STRONG BELT OF
   MID LEVEL WINDS WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE BY LATE MORNING IN MOST
   LOCALES. VERY STRONG SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE
   LIKELY...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH POSSIBLE. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH
   VALUES WILL GENERALLY DROP TO 7-10 PERCENT...WITH VERY POOR RH
   RECOVERIES EXPECTED TONIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTHEAST CA/SOUTHEAST NV/MUCH OF
   UT/SOUTHERN WY/CO/AZ/NM INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HOT TEMPERATURES/LOW
   RH VALUES
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   WILL EXIST ACROSS A BROAD EXPANSE FROM THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY
   ACROSS A LARGE PORTION THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...INTO THE
   CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS OF WESTERN NEB/KS/OK/TX. ALTHOUGH
   REMOVED FROM THE CORE OF STRONGEST MID LEVEL WINDS...STRONG/GUSTY
   SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ WILL NEVERTHELESS
   EXIST ACROSS THE CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA. ASIDE FROM THE GUSTY
   WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES/LOW RH VALUES AND DEEP MIXING WILL YIELD A
   HIGH FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
   
   ...NORTHERN FL AND GA/AL...
   IN PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...WARM TEMPERATURES
   WILL REACH THE LOWER 90S ACROSS NORTHERN FL AND MUCH OF GA/AL THIS
   AFTERNOON. THIS MAY RESULT IN MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 35-40
   PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
   LIGHT...BUT GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT...A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT MAY EXIST
   DURING THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD YIELD NEW FIRE STARTS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0436 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN AZ/FAR SOUTHEAST
   UT/SOUTHERN CO/NM INTO WEST TX/OK PANHANDLE/FAR SOUTHWEST KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MEAN UPPER TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON
   SUNDAY...WITH PRIMARY IMPULSE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
   NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
   WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST UT/NORTHERN AZ INTO
   CO/NORTHERN NM.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EASTERN AZ/FAR SOUTHEAST UT/SOUTHERN
   CO/NM INTO WEST TX/OK PANHANDLE/FAR SOUTHWEST KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST-WEST WINDS AND WARM
   TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   WITHIN WESTERN STATES TROUGH...BELT OF MODERATELY STRONG
   WEST-SOUTHWEST MID LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON SUNDAY. WITH A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER/STEEP
   LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...RELATIVELY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE AGAIN
   LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE
   SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-35 MPH ARE
   ANTICIPATED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN CO AND MUCH OF NM. GUSTS
   MAY REACH 40-45 MPH. OTHERWISE...THE AMBIENT AIRMASS ACROSS THE
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS /WEST OF THE DRYLINE/
   WILL BE RATHER WARM WITH LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND HIGH HAINES
   INDICES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0510 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   WITH PERSISTENCE OF WESTERN STATES UPPER TROUGH...HOT AND DRY
   WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE DAY 3 PERIOD 5/29 ACROSS
   THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. CONTINUANCE OF CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS APPEARS LIKELY 5/29 ACROSS NM AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
   CO/OK/TX...AND POSSIBLY INTO 5/30. THEREAFTER...IT WILL REMAIN WARM
   AND DRY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE ROCKIES THROUGH
   THE END OF MAY/EARLY JUNE.
   
   ELSEWHERE...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS GA/NRN FL
   AND CAROLINAS THROUGH THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD. ALTHOUGH MODEST
   SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL GENERALLY EXIST...A PROLONGED
   PERIOD OF AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES MAY PROVE
   TO YIELD PERIODIC CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0332 AM CDT SUN MAY 28 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/SOUTHEAST UT/EASTERN AZ AND
   SOUTHERN/EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN KS/OK PANHANDLE/WEST TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   OVERALL LARGE SCALE PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS REMAINS CHARACTERIZED
   BY A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WITH AN EXPANSIVE UPPER
   RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN STATES. ALONG/AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
   MOVING ACROSS CO/SOUTHEAST UT/NORTHERN AZ INTO NM...WIND FIELDS
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN STATES TROUGH WILL KEEP A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE WEATHER DANGER ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE
   CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NM/SOUTHEAST UT/EASTERN AZ AND
   SOUTHERN/EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN KS/OK PANHANDLE/WEST TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARM
   TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   WITHIN LARGE SCALE TROUGH...MODERATE BELT OF 40-60 KNOT MID LEVEL
   WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE
   CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. IN COMPARISON TO SATURDAY...WINDS MAY
   BE SOMEWHAT LIGHTER ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA...HOWEVER
   RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS WILL NEVERTHELESS KEEP CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS IN PLACE TODAY. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS
   SOUTHEAST UT/NORTHERN AZ...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE LIKELY
   INTO MUCH OF CO/NM...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS TO 40-50 MPH. MINIMUM
   RH VALUES WILL BE 8-12 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...STRONG AND GUSTY
   SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP WEST OF THE DRYLINE. THE
   STRONGEST WINDS ARE LIKELY IN A CORRIDOR FROM NORTHEAST NM INTO THE
   TX/OK PANHANDLES AND WESTERN KS/NORTHWEST OK. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
   OF 25-35 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO
   40 MPH. WITHIN A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY WEST OF THE DRYLINE...HOT
   TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 90S ARE LIKELY...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
   AS LOW AS 10-15 PERCENT.
   
   ...FL...
   IN SPITE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 90S...A
   SUFFICIENTLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL LIKELY KEEP AFTERNOON RH VALUES FROM
   REACHING CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AS
   WELL. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES THIS AFTERNOON COULD YIELD NEW FIRE
   STARTS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0333 AM CDT SUN MAY 28 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CORE OF UPPER TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO CANADA
   ON MONDAY...WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND UNIFORM MID/UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY
   FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES. UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL REMAIN PREVALENT OVER THE EASTERN STATES.
   
   ...FOUR CORNERS/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO CANADA...IN COMPARISON TO THIS PAST
   WEEKEND...WEAKER WIND FIELDS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS ON MONDAY.
   THIS SUGGESTS A DIMINISHED FIRE DANGER OVER MUCH OF THE
   REGION...ALTHOUGH NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR ACROSS
   SOUTHERN/EASTERN NM.
   
   ...FL/GA...
   WITH PERSISTENCE OF UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...SLIGHTLY
   DRIER AIR MAY DEVELOP INTO NORTHERN FL/SOUTHERN GA ON MONDAY.
   HOWEVER...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AS RH VALUES
   SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY HIGH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   OTHERWISE...AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
   FL PENINSULA COULD YIELD NEW FIRE STARTS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0333 AM CDT SUN MAY 28 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   SIMILAR TO THE DAY 2 SCENARIO...MODEST WIND SPEEDS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
   A CONTINUANCE OF NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS NM ON
   TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE WARM AND DRY AS THE UPPER RIDGE
   BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
   POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE INTO THE
   MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/FOUR
   CORNERS AREA.
   
   WARM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTHERN FL/GA AND THE CAROLINAS
   THROUGH THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT LEAST
   MARGINALLY LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES MAY YIELD OCCASIONAL
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0358 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CORE OF UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO
   SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA TODAY...WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND WESTERLY
   MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL
   RESULT IN LIGHTER WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY.
   UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT OVER THE
   EASTERN STATES.
   
   ...FOUR CORNERS/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO CANADA...IN COMPARISON TO THIS PAST
   WEEKEND...WEAKER WIND FIELDS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS TODAY.
   THIS SUGGESTS A DIMINISHED FIRE DANGER OVER MUCH OF THE
   REGION...ALTHOUGH NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   EASTERN/SOUTHERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX GIVEN THE MODEST WIND SPEEDS
   OF 15-20 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ AND PERSISTENCE OF WARM/DRY
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FL/GA...
   IN PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...SLIGHTLY
   DRIER AIR MAY DEVELOP INTO NORTHERN FL/SOUTHERN GA TODAY.
   HOWEVER...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS RH VALUES
   SHOULD ONLY APPROACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR A SHORT DURATION THIS
   AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STRIKES COULD YIELD NEW
   FIRE STARTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA AND FL
   PANHANDLE.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0457 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LOW AMPLITUDE WESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
   THE WESTERN STATES ON TUESDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS/MODEST WINDS
   PREDOMINANT. IN THE EAST...EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN
   PREVALENT. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ALONG A
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
   PLAINS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST STATES/TENNESSEE
   VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC STATES BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE.
   
   ...NM...
   OVERALL SCENARIO WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE FROM MONDAY. WITH MODEST
   WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...HOT/DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
   NM ON TUESDAY. WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH MINIMUM RH
   VALUES AS LOW AS 8-12 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ...FL...
   ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM IN THE LOWER 90S...CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE MET AS RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
   SUFFICIENTLY HIGH. WIND SPEEDS OF 10-15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
   AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY
   ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH THE
   MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH STEADILY WARMING TEMPERATURES.
   INITIALLY...NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE INTO
   WEDNESDAY ACROSS NM...HOWEVER WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE MODEST.
   POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE/DEVELOP
   WESTWARD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE/LATTER PART
   OF THE WEEK.
   
   WARM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS FL INTO GA/SC/AL THROUGH THE DAY
   3-8 OUTLOOK PERIOD. PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE
   INITIALLY...BUT BEGIN TO DAMPEN INTO LATE WEEK. A PROLONGED PERIOD
   OF AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES MAY YIELD
   OCCASIONAL/LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS FL.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0244 AM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER PATTERN CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ZONAL IN THE WEST AS
   INTERMOUNTAIN TROUGH LIFTS NEWD TODAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
   BRING ANOTHER DAY OF DRY...WARM...AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS TO
   THE SOUTHWEST DESERTS. IN THE EAST...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IS
   CENTERED OVER THE APPALACHIANS WITH A WARM AND RELATIVELY HUMID
   AIRMASS OVER MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS. SCATTERED
   SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FROM THE TEXAS GULF COAST TO
   NEW ENGLAND...AND ALONG A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE
   GREAT LAKES REGION TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
   
   ...NEW MEXICO...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS WEAKENING
   UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. FULL
   SUNSHINE AND A DEEP...WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BRING ANOTHER
   WARM AND DRY DAY TO THE REGION. MINIMUM RH WILL FALL TO ABOUT 5
   PERCENT NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND ABOUT 15 PERCENT IN THE
   NORTH. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH
   THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS
   SHOULD IMPROVE RATHER QUICKLY FOLLOWING SUNSET.
   
   ...FLORIDA...
   EAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND A MARGINALLY DRY AIRMASS OVER
   NORTHERN FLORIDA /MINIUM RH BETWEEN 35 TO 40 PERCENT/ RESULT IN NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 05/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0333 AM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO REBUILD OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BRINGING WARMER
   TEMPERATURES AND A VERY DRY AIRMASS TO MUCH OF THE WEST. IN THE
   EAST...UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS TROUGH MOVES FROM THE
   NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   EXTENDS FROM QUEBEC TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
   AND THUNDERSTORMS REACHING FROM NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
   AND INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
   
   ...NEW MEXICO...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...
   ALTHOUGH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES SHOULD
   RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LESS WIND AND TEMPERATURES 2 TO 4 DEGREES WARMER
   THAN TUESDAY. MINIMUM RH WILL AGAIN FALL TO BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT
   AS AFTERNOON WINDS RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH.
   
   ...NORTHERN FLORIDA...
   EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS /10 TO 15 MPH/ AND A MARGINALLY DRY LOW LEVEL
   AIRMASS REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH MINIMUM RH IN FAR
   NORTHERN FLORIDA AGAIN FALLING TO BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM /MAX AROUND 90 DEGREES/ WITH THE BEST
   CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTION
   OF THE STATE.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 05/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0431 AM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH DAY 3 /THU/
   BRINGING A VERY DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS TO THE INTERIOR
   WEST. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS THEN SHOW ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH MOVING
   INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON DAY 4 /FRI/ USHERING IN A PERIOD OF
   BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
   THROUGH DAY 6 /FRI THROUGH SUN/.
   
   GFS BASED MEDIUM RANGE ENSEMBLE SHOWS THREE MEMBERS FORMING A
   DEEP...RELATIVELY STRONG TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GREAT
   BASIN ON DAYS 5 AND 6 /SAT AND SUN/. SUCH A SCENARIO WOULD CERTAINLY
   BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE INTERIOR WEST
   BEGINNING ON DAY 4 /FRI/ AND LASTING INTO DAY 6 /SUN/. HOWEVER...
   MOST ENSEMBLE MEMBERS PREDICT A MORE PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM THAT
   FLATTENS THE RIDGE BUT DOES NOT NECESSARILY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT OF THIS
   UNCERTAINTY...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT
   THIS TIME.
   
   ELSEWHERE AROUND THE NATION...A LONGWAVE TROUGH IS FOUND OVER THE
   CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS PATTERN SUGGESTS
   A MINIMAL THREAT OF WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR
   THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE NATION.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 05/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0207 AM CDT WED MAY 31 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD AGAIN OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BRINGING A
   WARMING/DRYING TREND OVER MUCH OF THIS REGION TODAY. IN THE
   EAST...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN WITH THE APPROACH OF AN
   UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH THIS UPPER SYSTEM...A
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT A
   WARM/MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE PRESENT OVER MUCH OF THE SRN/ERN HALF OF
   THE NATION PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ...NEW MEXICO...
   A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WWD INTO CENTRAL NM EARLY IN THE PERIOD AIDED
   BY OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS LAST NIGHT. THIS
   FRONT WILL BRING WITH IT INCREASING LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
   CENTRAL AND WRN MTNS. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING MOISTURE AND
   AMPLE HEATING WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCT TSTM COVERAGE. ON THE WRN
   EDGE OF THIS INCREASING MOISTURE...TSTMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE
   MAINLY DRY. GIVEN ONLY ISOLATED-SCT COVERAGE...A DRY THUNDERSTORM
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/31/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 AM CDT WED MAY 31 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE INTERIOR WEST
   TOMORROW. ANOTHER HOT/DRY DAY WILL RESULT OVER MUCH OF THIS REGION.
   TO THE WEST OF THE UPPER RIDGE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
   PAC NW. SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN AS A
   RESULT. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN 20 MPH.
   CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL NM ON DAY ONE WILL SUPPORT A WWD PUSH OF
   LOW-MID LVL MOISTURE INTO FAR ERN AZ EARLY IN THE PERIOD. OVER THE
   ERN HALF OF THE NATION...UPPER TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP. AN ASSOCIATED
   AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP SWD THROUGH THE PLAINS
   LEADING TO A COOLING/DRYING TREND.
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
   ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE INCREASING LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE AIDED BY
   CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS ON DAY ONE...ISOLATED-SCT TSTMS ARE ANTICIPATED
   TO DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE AFTERNOON HRS BEFORE MOVING
   SLOWLY SWWD INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS DURING THE EVENING HRS. HIGH CLOUD
   BASES WILL SUPPORT MAINLY DRY TSTMS. OVERALL COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR A CRITICAL DRY TSTM THREAT.
   
   ...NRN NV...ERN ORE/WRN ID...
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT OWING TO
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE PAC NW COAST. VERY WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S/90S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15
   PERCENT. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO GENERALLY REMAIN LESS
   THAN 20 MPH PRECLUDING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/31/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0336 AM CDT WED MAY 31 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING
   INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON DAY 4 /SAT/ USHERING IN A PERIOD OF
   BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
   THROUGH DAY 6 /MON/. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN REGION ON DAYS
   4-6 WITH THIS SYSTEM. IN ADDITION...MID LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD MOVE
   AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE /CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
   CORNERS/ AND AID IN ISOLATED DRY TSTMS OVER SRN AZ ON DAY 3. SOME OF
   THIS MID LEVEL MOISTURE MAY INTERACT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH ON DAYS
   4-5 SOUTH OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT TO SUPPORT ISO-SCT DRY TSTMS OVER
   THE NRN GREAT BASIN. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS LOW
   ATTM.
   
   ELSEWHERE AROUND THE NATION...A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BE FOUND OVER
   THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS PATTERN WILL
   BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR BENEFICIAL RAINS TO RE-DEVELOP OVER FLA.
   THIS...ALONG WITH GREEN-UP CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER THE HIGH
   PLAINS SUGGESTS A MINIMAL THREAT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE NATION.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/31/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT THU JUN 01 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WRN UPPER RIDGE/ERN UPPER TROUGH PATTERN WILL BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED
   ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THE END OF DAY ONE. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
   THE UPPER RIDGE...NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST OVER MUCH
   OF THE INTERMTN REGION. LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE WWD INTO
   PORTIONS OF ERN AZ ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE WRN UPPER RIDGE.
   THIS MOISTURE WILL AID IN DEVELOPMENT OF SCT TSTMS...MANY DRY...OVER
   THIS AREA. UPSTREAM OF THE UPPER RIDGE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
   APPROACH THE PAC NW COAST. SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NRN
   GREAT BASIN...BUT WILL NOT REACH CRITICAL LVLS. FURTHER EAST...A
   COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SWD EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS
   INTO THE ERN LAKES REGION AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH. AHEAD
   OF THIS FRONT...SCT-NMRS TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. BEHIND THE
   FRONT...DRIER AIR WILL FILTER SWD THROUGH THE NRN/CENTRAL
   PLAINS...BUT NLY WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT.
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE WWD INTO THE WHITE/CHIRICAHUA MTNS
   TODAY AIDED BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM TSTMS OVER SRN NM YESTERDAY.
   SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF STRONG DAYTIME
   HEATING AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT. CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE SWWD
   OFF HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. A VERY
   WARM/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS SUGGESTS THAT
   MOST TSTMS WILL BE DRY...POSING A THREAT FOR GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND
   POTENTIAL FIRE STARTS. OVERALL COVERAGE OF TSTMS WILL REMAIN LOW
   ENOUGH THAT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD OF THE REGION TODAY AS AN
   UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE PAC NW COAST. DEEPENING SFC LOW PRESSURE
   OVER INTERIOR WA/ORE AND STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL
   SUPPORT INCREASING SLY WINDS AT THE SFC. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM 15-20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. MIN
   RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 10-15 PERCENT. LACK OF STRONGER WINDS
   WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT THU JUN 01 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW WILL GRADUALLY DE-AMPLIFY AS IT
   CROSSES THE NRN ROCKIES AND ENCOUNTERS A STRONG UPPER RIDGE CENTERED
   OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. THE RESULTANT PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
   WILL AID IN NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NRN/ERN
   GREAT BASIN AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NRN ROCKIES. ON THE SRN
   PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE...MID LEVEL MOISTURE  ABOVE A VERY
   WARM/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL SUPPORT MAINLY DRY TSTMS OVER
   PORTIONS OF SCENTRAL/SERN AZ AND SWRN NM. COVERAGE OF DRY TSTMS IS
   ANTICIPATED TO BE BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. ELSEWHERE A DEEPENING UPPER
   TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN
   THIS AREA.
   
   ...SRN AZ/SWRN NM...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY ADVECT WWD AGAIN EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD AIDED BY OUTFLOW FROM DAY ONE CONVECTION. ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR
   RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW ELEVATIONS WILL SUPPORT MAINLY
   DRY TSTMS AS CONVECTION MOVES OFF HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON.
   
   ...NRN/ERN GREAT BASIN...LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NRN ROCKIES...
   AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE LEE
   SIDE OF THE NRN ROCKIES. MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH
   MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF SUSTAINED SFC
   WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH FROM NRN NV/UT INTO WRN
   MT/ERN ID AND WRN WY. LOW RH READINGS WILL EXIST OVER MOST OF THE
   AREA...AS NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. LACK OF STRONGER
   UPPER SYSTEM AND SFC WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0601 AM CDT THU JUN 01 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   MOVING INTO THE PAC NW ON DAY 4 /SUN/ AND MOVING THROUGH THE NRN
   ROCKIES ON DAY 5 /MON/. MODERATE SWLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
   DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   POSSIBLE FROM THE NRN GREAT BASIN INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. ANOTHER
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY APPROACH THE PAC NW LATE IN THE PERIOD /DAY 7
   OR 8/...BUT CONFIDENCE IN STRENGTH OR TIMING OF THAT SYSTEM IS NOT
   HIGH ENOUGH TO OUTLOOK AN AREA ATTM.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CDT FRI JUN 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN LOCATED OVER THE INTERMTN WEST
   TODAY...WITH A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS. A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE PAC NW TODAY WILL AID IN
   INCREASING SFC SWLY WINDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. HOWEVER WINDS SPEEDS
   ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. UNDER THE PRESENCE OF
   THE UPPER RIDGE...NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH VERY LOW
   RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/ WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MOST OF THE
   SWRN/GREAT BASIN STATES. ISOLATED DRY TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP A LITTLE
   FURTHER WEST INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SERN/ECENTRAL AZ TODAY AS MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ROTATE WWD AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE
   CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
   
   ...SERN/ECENTRAL AZ...
   LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE HAS MOVD WWD INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING AIDED
   BY OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION YESTERDAY 0VER FAR SERN AZ/SWRN NM.
   ANOTHER DAY OF ISOLATED-SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN/ECENTRAL AZ AND FAR WRN NM. A DEEPLY MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERY LOW RH READINGS/NEAR RECORD HIGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST OVER THE AREA TODAY. THUS TSTMS THAT DEVELOP
   WILL LIKELY BE DRY AS THEY MOVE FROM THE MTNS INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS
   WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/ERRATIC WINDS AND FIRE STARTS. THE
   OVERALL COVERAGE OF TSTMS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH
   FOR A CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
   MPH THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL BE MOVING
   ACROSS THE PAC NW. NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH
   LOW DWPTS TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER SFC WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0408 AM CDT FRI JUN 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE OVER THE INTERMTN WEST WILL BEGIN TO BREAKDOWN SLIGHTLY
   TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO
   THE PAC NW. WELL ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN EXIST
   OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN/DESERT SWRN STATES UNDER THE PRESENCE
   OF THE UPPER RIDGE WHICH WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS.
   ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF
   REMNANT LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER ERN/SRN AZ AND SRN NM. FURTHER
   NORTH...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE NRN
   GREAT BASIN IN RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS IN ADVANCE OF THE
   UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...UPPER TROUGHING WILL
   REMAIN OVER THE ERN CONUS...PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AIDING IN A
   WARMING TREND AND LOWERING RH READINGS. RECENT PRECIPITATION OVER
   THIS REGION SUGGESTS THAT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
   SUB-CRITICAL.
   
   ...SRN/ERN AZ AND SRN NM...
   AS THE UPPER RIDGE BECOMES SLOWLY DE-AMPLIFIED DURING THE
   PERIOD...MID LEVEL WARMING/SUBSIDENCE WILL MOVE SWD INTO ECENTRAL
   AZ/WCENTRAL NM AND SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THESE
   AREAS. HOWEVER...TSTMS SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF SRN AZ
   INTO SRN NM. THE DRIEST/DEEPEST MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL EXIST OVER
   SCENTRAL/SERN AZ...WHERE ISOLATED DRY TSTMS ARE LIKELY. COVERAGE
   SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...NRN GREAT BASIN...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN
   IN RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS OCCURRING IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER
   TROUGH. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OVER 20 MPH MAY OCCUR FOR A COUPLE HR
   PERIOD OVER NRN/ERN NV AND NERN UT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
   DESPITE VERY LOW RH READINGS /5-10 PERCENT/ MODERATE WIND CONDITIONS
   DO NOT APPEAR TO LAST LONG ENOUGH GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LATE ARRIVAL
   OF THE UPPER TROUGH TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0532 AM CDT FRI JUN 02 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
   WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN ROCKIES ON DAY 3 /SUN/ THEN EWD INTO THE NRN
   PLAINS ON DAY 4 /MON/. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE STRONGEST
   SFC-MID LEVEL WINDS WILL RESIDE WELL NORTH OF THE WARMEST/DRIEST
   CONDITIONS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER ANTICIPATED IN THE NRN GREAT BASIN ON DAY 3
   OR DAY 4.
   
   DRY TSTMS DO NOT APPEAR LIKELY ON DAY 3 OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES AS
   THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY SEWD AND MID LEVEL
   WARMING/SUBSIDENCE ENSUES. HOWEVER...AS THIS RIDGE MOVES SEWD IT
   APPEARS THAT A FETCH OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE /FROM CONVECTION OVER THE
   MTNS OF NWRN MEXICO/ MAY MOVE NWWD FROM MEXICO INTO THE GREAT
   BASIN/FOUR CORNERS REGION BEGINNING DAY 4. MID LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN
   MAY BE AIDED BY AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH THAT MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
   HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN SHOWING MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST ON DAYS
   5-6. GIVEN THE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT SHOULD CONTINUE
   OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMTN WEST ...LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
   RETURN...AND INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...A CRITICAL DRY TSTM
   EVENT IS POSSIBLE DAY 5 OR 6 /TUE-WED/ OVER PORTIONS OF THE FOUR
   CORNERS AREA/GREAT BASIN. IN ADDITION...SWLY WINDS WILL LIKELY
   INCREASE OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER
   TROUGH...BUT THERE EXISTS A GOOD DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY ATTM ON THE
   STRENGTH OF THESE WINDS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 06/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0428 AM CDT MON JUN 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
   ACROSS NCNTRL MT. IN THE EAST...LARGE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO
   AFFECT MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS. MAIN FIRE CONCERNS TODAY ARE FOCUSED
   ACROSS NCNTRL FL...WHERE A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL BE REINFORCED
   TODAY BY FRONTAL SURGE. ISOLD DRY TSTMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR DRY
   LIGHTNING ACROSS MAINLY SE AZ AND PORTIONS OF NM. OTHERWISE...SFC
   WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE PLAINS INVOF DEEPENING LEE TROUGH IN
   THE PLAINS.
   
   ...NRN FL/SRN GA...
   ANOTHER SURGE OF DRIER AIR WILL AFFECT THE AREA AS COLD FRONT NOW
   ACROSS CNTRL GA MOVES SOUTH TODAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SFC
   DEWPOINTS MAY FALL INTO THE MID/UPPER 50S WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AS
   LOW AS 25-30 PERCENT. BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BECOME WELL MIXED TO
   AROUND 6000-7000 FEET...AND HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
   80S/LOWER 90S.
   
   ...SE AZ INTO NM...
   ISOLD HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY. THERE HAS BEEN A
   STEADY DECREASE IN STORMS FROM DAY TO DAY ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL
   WARMING AND SUBSIDENCE WITH THE UPPER RIDGE. A SLIGHTER BETTER
   CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL EXIST FOR TUE. ANY STORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE
   OR NO WETTING RAIN...SO DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN
   TODAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 AM CDT MON JUN 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST WILL AMPLIFY ON TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF
   ERN PACIFIC TROUGH. MORE RECORD HIGHS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   THE WEST. IT APPEARS MORE MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ADVECTED ACROSS
   AZ...WHICH MAY RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY LATE TUE AFTN.
   SFC COLD FRONT ACROSS NRN NM WILL WASH OUT BY EVENING...BUT STRONG
   UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   INCREASED SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS THE ERN ROCKIES. SOME OF THESE STORMS
   COULD CONTAIN STRONG/SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS OVER NERN NM/ERN CO.
   ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE WITH STORMS ACROSS SERN AZ/MOGOLLON
   RIM.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0603 AM CDT MON JUN 05 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS THE WEST
   ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BEGINNING
   THURSDAY AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
   ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS ARE FORECAST TO BE
   STRONG...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN SD AND THE NEB PANHANDLE. THESE AREAS
   WILL BE JUST EAST OF DEEPENING LEE TROUGH. INCREASING MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF AFTN/EVENING MAINLY DRY
   TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM THROUGH FRIDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN WITH
   WINDIER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0408 AM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST WILL AMPLIFY AND SHIFT EWD
   TODAY...IN RESPONSE TO ERN PACIFIC WAVE. AN ELY WAVE WAS NOTED IN
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS MOVING TOWARD THE GULF OF CA. THIS
   DISTURBANCE WILL BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THE LARGE RIDGE NOW OVER THE
   SOUTHWEST...BRINGING ADDITIONAL MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS SRN CA
   INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ISOLD DRY TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SRN CA
   MTNS THROUGH THE SIERRA AND GREAT BASIN/SW UT. A HIGHER PROBABILITY
   FOR TSTMS EXISTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM INTO THE SRN ROCKIES.
   BECAUSE OF THE AMBIENT DRY CONDITIONS...ANY ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKE
   POSES A FIRE WEATHER THREAT. AIRMASS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REMAINS
   VERY DRY AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS AFTN
   WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS.
   
   ...SRN AL/SRN GA/PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE...
   SFC DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S FROM MOBILE
   THROUGH TALLAHASSEE TO GAINESVILLE...AND WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE
   UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 25-35
   PERCENT. KBDI VALUES ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 500 ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE
   AND PORTIONS OF SRN GA. FIRE THREATS WILL BE MITIGATED BY LIGHTER
   WINDS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0411 AM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE UNDERWAY BY WEDNESDAY...AS NEXT UPPER TROUGH
   MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. MID LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AS SUBTROPICAL IMPULSES MOVE AROUND THE
   PERIPHERY OF FOUR CORNERS UPPER RIDGE. LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL BE
   FOCUSED ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/NRN ROCKIES ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
   LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE PAC NW UPPER TROUGH. GIVEN INCREASED
   FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   MORE NUMEROUS ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. ISOLD DRY
   LIGHTNING AND STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO A FIRE
   WEATHER HAZARD.
   
   ...SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN...
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST HIGH BASED TSTMS WILL FORM ON WEDNESDAY
   ACROSS MUCH OF AZ AND NM AND PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN/UT AND THE
   SIERRA. IN GENERAL...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL RANGE FROM
   AROUND .50 TO .65 INCHES SUGGESTING THAT LITTLE WETTING RAIN WILL
   ACCOMPANY STORMS. CALIBRATED PROBABILITY OF A DRY TSTM PROVIDED BY
   SREF GUIDANCE WOULD INDICATE SLIGHTER HIGHER CONCENTRATIONS OF
   STORMS FROM SERN AZ NWWD TO THE MOGOLLON RIM...AND NERN NV.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0600 AM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS BY THURSDAY WITH
   A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN BRITISH COLUMBIA.
   MODELS SUGGEST UPPER TROUGH IN THE WEST WILL BE A MAIN INFLUENCE
   ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTING THE PLAINS. ALTHOUGH WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
   STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...OVERALL PATTERN MAY REMAIN
   BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLD.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0454 AM CDT WED JUN 07 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN UT/WRN CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL HIGH WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS.  ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...GENERALLY MOIST MID-LEVEL
   S/SE FLOW...ALONG WITH SUBTROPICAL IMPULSES WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
   TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
   MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW...LEADING TO INCREASED TSTM
   COVERAGE ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. LIGHT WINDS AND VERY
   WARM/DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NRN FL...WITH A SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN PLACE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN UT/WRN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   
   SCATTERED TSTMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO LOW-LEVEL
   HEATING AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE/LIFT FROM SUBTROPICAL
   IMPULSES ROTATING NWD TO THE W OF THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL HIGH ACROSS
   THE SRN HI PLAINS. TUESDAY EVENING SOUNDINGS INDICATED A VERY DRY
   SUB-CLOUD AIR MASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...WITH MORNING SURFACE
   ANALYSES INDICATING A POCKET OF SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE 30S. WITH
   TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 80S AND 90S...SURFACE RH VALUES SHOULD
   FALL TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH GENERAL SE LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS
   AND WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO SLOW MOISTENING...THE ANTECEDENT DRY
   AIR MASS SHOULD STILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR HIGH-BASED TSTMS AND
   INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS.
   
   ...ERN NV/WRN UT...
   FURTHER W OF THE CRITICAL AREA...THE DRY TSTM THREAT SHOULD BE
   MODULATED BY THE DEGREE OF INSOLATION AND LOWER TSTM COVERAGE. AN
   EXPANSIVE CIRRUS PLUME WILL LIKELY ROTATE N/NW OUT OF AZ/SRN NV AND
   LIMIT SURFACE HEATING TODAY. THIS WILL SERVE TO WEAKEN THE
   INSTABILITY AND SHOULD PROVIDE LOWER TSTM COVERAGE. GIVEN THE
   AMBIENT DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL
   LIFT/MOISTURE FROM THE AZ IMPULSE...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED DRY
   TSTMS SHOULD STILL OCCUR.
   
   ...FAR ERN AZ/WRN NM...
   MODEST WIND SPEEDS AND MARGINALLY LOW RH MAY PROVIDE BRIEF CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL
   MOISTENING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS FROM TUESDAY EVENING
   TSTMS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S AND
   90S...DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S WOULD KEEP MIN RH VALUES
   ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WILL
   OCCUR TODAY AS DEEP S/SELY FLOW CONTINUES TO THE W OF THE LARGE
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL HIGH OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. ANOTHER ROUND OF
   SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
   EVENING...WITH WETTING RAINS MORE LIKELY COMPARED TO AREAS FURTHER
   N.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0457 AM CDT WED JUN 07 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE ON DAY 2...WITH A LARGE
   HIGH ANCHORED ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...AND TROUGHS ACROSS THE NW
   AND NE. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN NEAR THE NEB
   PANHANDLE. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
   STRENGTHENING SW FLOW ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...ERN CO/WRN KS/SW NEB...
   TO THE S OF THE SURFACE LOW NEAR THE NEB PANHANDLE...WILL EXIST AN
   AREA WHERE HOT TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE WINDS MAY LEAD TO CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE INTENSITY/PLACEMENT OF THE LOW
   AND ITS EFFECT ON THE PRESSURE GRADIENT/WINDS PRECLUDES A CRITICAL
   AREA ISSUANCE ATTM. TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S WILL
   COMBINE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 30S BEHIND THE DRYLINE TO ALLOW RH
   VALUES TO FALL TO AROUND 10 PERCENT. LARGER UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH
   THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS. THE STRONGEST SURFACE WINDS ARE
   GENERALLY FORECAST TO OCCUR AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE IN THE MOIST SECTOR
   UNDER THE LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS. ALTHOUGH SOME MODELS FORECAST A
   TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE DRY LINE...WHICH MAY LEAD TO
   SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0547 AM CDT WED JUN 07 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH DAY 5 SUGGESTS THE LARGE UPPER RIDGE
   ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WILL BE SUPPRESSED SWD AS IMPULSES FROM A
   POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW SHIFT EWD. WITH
   PREVAILING W/SWLY FLOW...MUCH OF THE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
   SWRN CONUS WOULD BE ADVECTED EWD. MOST MODELS ALSO INDICATE A
   RETROGRESSION/DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE CA COAST
   AROUND SUNDAY/MONDAY. A PERIOD OF STRONGER WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
   THIS TROUGH...WOULD POTENTIALLY BRING CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO
   PORTIONS OF THE SWRN CONUS. HOWEVER...MORE DISAGREEMENT EXISTS WITH
   THE FURTHER EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH AND THE TIMING OF ITS EJECTION
   EWD.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CDT THU JUN 08 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SERN CO/FAR WRN KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO
   FLATTEN AS SHORTWAVES EJECT OUT AHEAD OF A TROUGH IN THE PACIFIC NW.
   IN RESPONSE AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED IN THE
   NEB PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A TRAILING PRESSURE TROUGH SWD
   ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. SCATTERED TSTMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN CONUS WITH CONTINUED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE. THE
   THREAT FOR DRY TSTMS WILL BE MITIGATED BY SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED
   NEAR-SURFACE MOISTURE FROM SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24
   HOURS. IN THE SOUTHEAST...WARM AND RATHER DRY CONDITIONS WILL
   CONTINUE AHEAD OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN
   LIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SERN CO/FAR WRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES / MODERATE WINDS / LOW RH /
   LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   A NARROW ZONE OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN
   VICINITY OF A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH S OF A SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE NEB
   PANHANDLE. THIS ZONE WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH AN AXIS OF MODERATE
   WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES. HOT TEMPERATURES REACHING THE UPPER 90S TO
   LOWER 100S COMBINED WITH DEW POINTS MIXING INTO THE LOWER 40S WILL
   ALLOW RH VALUES TO FALL TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. A MODERATE SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW SUSTAINED SLY WINDS TO ONCE AGAIN
   REACH 20 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
   THROUGH THE EVENING AS A LOW-LEVEL JET FORMS...AND THEN DECREASE
   OVERNIGHT AS THE JET MOVES E. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
   DRY TSTMS TOWARDS EVENING ACROSS THE WRN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0444 AM CDT THU JUN 08 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE GREAT PLAINS UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DEAMPLIFY WITH
   IMPULSES EJECTING EWD OUT AHEAD OF A PACIFIC NW TROUGH. MID-LEVEL
   MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED SCATTERED TSTMS WILL SHIFT EWD AS WELL IN
   THE WRN CONUS...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS RETURNING TO THE GREAT BASIN.
   AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE SHOULD BE CENTERED NEAR NWRN KS...WITH
   A TROUGH DRAPED SWD ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. WARM/GENERALLY DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN MUCH OF THE SE...BUT WITH CONTINUED
   LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...ERN NV/SWRN UT...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS
   E/SEWD. THIS WILL HELP STRENGTHEN SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW SLIGHTLY
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...TO AROUND 30 MPH ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
   STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL HELP MIX THESE WINDS TOWARDS THE SURFACE
   WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS APPROACHING 20 MPH. THE MID AND LOW-LEVEL
   MOISTURE CURRENTLY PRESENT IN THIS REGION SHOULD BE SHUNTED EWD AS
   WELL...ALLOWING RH VALUES TO DROP TO NEAR CRITICAL VALUES ON FRIDAY.
   
   
   ...FAR SERN CO/SWRN KS...
   ALTHOUGH MODERATE S/SWLY WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY
   OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...SPEEDS SHOULD BE A TAD LOWER
   COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY DUE TO A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT. SUSTAINED
   SPEEDS SHOULD APPROACH 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE QUITE WARM WITH READINGS IN THE
   UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S. RH VALUES SHOULD TUMBLE TO AROUND 15 TO 20
   PERCENT WITH DEW POINTS MIXING INTO THE 40S.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0547 AM CDT THU JUN 08 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE A RETROGRESSION/AMPLIFICATION
   OF A LONGWAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE NWRN CONUS TO ALONG THE
   PACIFIC COAST THIS WEEKEND. AGREEMENT ALSO CONTINUES WITH THE EWD
   MOVEMENT OF MID AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN/FOUR
   CORNERS AREA....AND A SUBSEQUENT RETURN TO WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.
   MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO INCREASE IN VICINITY OF THE AMPLIFYING
   TROUGH AND WOULD LIKELY BRING A PERIOD OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
   PREDICTABILITY ON THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE STRONGER
   WINDS IS STILL RATHER UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS PLAUSIBLE THAT
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP SOMEWHERE IN THE OUTLOOK AREA EARLY
   NEXT WEEK. GREATER DIVERGENCE OF MODEL SOLUTIONS EXISTS WITH THE
   EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE CRITICAL
   AREA MAY BE EXPANDED EWD AND IN TIME IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0340 AM CDT FRI JUN 09 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WILL DEAMPLIFY AS
   IMPULSES EJECT EWD OUT AHEAD OF A PACIFIC NW TROUGH. MID-LEVEL
   MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED SCATTERED TSTMS WILL SHIFT EWD AS WELL IN
   THE WRN CONUS...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS RETURNING TO THE GREAT BASIN.
   SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED IN ERN NEB THIS
   AFTERNOON...WITH A TROUGH DRAPED SWWD ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   ISOLATED DRY TSTMS SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THIS TROUGH LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN GA/NRN
   FL...BUT WITH CONTINUED LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...SERN NV/SWRN UT/NWRN AZ...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS
   E/SEWD. A BAND OF MODEST SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE
   TROUGH AXIS...WITH SPEEDS AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
   STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL HELP MIX THESE WINDS TOWARDS THE SURFACE
   WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS APPROACHING 20 MPH. LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
   WILL BE SHUNTED NEWD TODAY AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW RH VALUES TO FALL
   TO NEAR CRITICAL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON /AROUND 15 PERCENT/. ALTHOUGH
   RECENT HIGH RH/SCATTERED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS RAISED
   10/100-HR FUEL MOISTURE VALUES IN MOST LOCATIONS...AREAS WHICH HAVE
   NOT RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE MAY ENDURE BRIEF CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ...SWRN KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH SHOULD RESULT
   IN A LOCALIZED CRITICAL THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. S/SWLY WINDS WILL
   CONTINUE OUT AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. A MODEST
   SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALLOW SUSTAINED WINDS TO APPROACH 20
   MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE VERY WARM WITH READINGS TOPPING
   OUT IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S. AS DEW POINTS MIX INTO THE MID
   40S...RH VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. ISOLATED DRY TSTMS
   MAY ALSO OCCUR TOWARDS EVENING AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS ALONG THE TROUGH
   AND SPREADS NEWD.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0429 AM CDT FRI JUN 09 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO DEAMPLIFY
   WITH SEVERAL IMPULSES CROSSING THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. CONTINUED
   MODERATE W/SWLY FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/CNTRL ROCKIES
   TO THE S/SE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE PACIFIC NW. THIS WILL
   LEAD TO DRIER CONDITIONS AS MID-LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES E/NEWD. AT THE
   SURFACE...A COOL FRONT WILL SINK SLOWLY SWD ACROSS THE CNTRL
   PLAINS...WITH LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR SWRN KS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
   A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WITH
   MODERATE S/SW WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. VERY WARM/DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH LIGHT WINDS IN SRN GA/NRN FL.
   
   ...SRN UT/NWRN AZ...
   LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM DAY 1 OTHER THAN A
   SLOW EWD PROGRESS OF MODEST SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF AN
   UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NW. THIS FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
   DRY OUT THE AREA WHICH HAS BEEN SUBJECT TO RECENT HIGH RH/RAINFALL.
   AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S AND 90S...RH VALUES WILL FALL TO
   BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
   20 MPH MAY PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS DURING THE
   AFTERNOON.
   
   ...TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO NWRN OK...
   A LOCALIZED CRITICAL THREAT MAY EXIST SATURDAY AFTERNOON...UNDER A
   NARROW AXIS OF LOW RH AND MODERATE WINDS. A MODEST SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT TO THE S OF A SWRN KS LOW...SHOULD HELP PRODUCE SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR INTO THE UPPER 90S AND
   LOWER 100S...WITH DEW POINTS MIXING INTO THE 40S AHEAD OF A LOW
   PRESSURE TROUGH. RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 15 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0522 AM CDT FRI JUN 09 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A
   RETROGRESSION/AMPLIFICATION OF A LONGWAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM
   THE NWRN CONUS TO ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
   AFTER THAT TIME...POOR PREDICTABILITY EXISTS WITH THE HANDLING OF
   THIS TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT UPPER-RIDGE LOCATION IN THE W-CNTRL
   CONUS. WILL MAINTAIN THE PREVIOUS CRITICAL AREA...AS WARM AND DRY
   CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE FOUR
   CORNERS AREA NEXT WEEK. THE STRENGTH OF THE MID-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF
   THE TROUGH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A PERIOD OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
   HOWEVER...EXACT TIMING OF STRONGER FLOW...AND FURTHER EWD EXTENT IS
   STILL RATHER UNCERTAIN.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS RESULTING IN A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE... WHILE HUMIDITIES FALL TO
BETWEEN 15 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO
NEAR 100 DEGREES.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
   ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS WITH BELT OF MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW
   REMAINING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL
   EXIST FROM THE DESERT SW EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS WITH NEAR CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF THE AREA DUE TO GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS...HOT
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH. FARTHER E...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT AND
   DRY ACROSS THE SERN STATES UNDER UPPER RIDGE...WITH LOW RH DURING
   THE AFTERNOON BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN UT INTO NWRN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / LOCALLY STRONG WINDS / POSSIBLE FIRE
   STARTS
   
   MODERATE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER SHORTWAVE
   THAT BROUGHT HIGH WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA YESTERDAY.
   ENOUGH MIXING IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS NEAR 20
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
   COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH WILL CAUSE LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO
   EXIST...WITH POTENTIAL FOR NEW FIRES FROM PREVIOUS DAYS LIGHTNING
   STRIKES OVER UT.
   
   ...WRN AND SRN CO / NRN NM / WRN OK AND NW TX...
   CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
   LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES. THERMALLY DRIVEN LOW
   PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS SW KS INTO WRN TX...WITH TEMPERATURES
   EXCEEDING 100 F. PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH A BELT OF MDT WLY
   WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE ACROSS CO INTO NM AND WILL CAUSE
   LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG WITH LOW RH OF 10-15 PERCENT. RECENT
   PRECIPITATION AND GREENUP WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
   
   FARTHER E...PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND A HIGH TO THE SE WILL
   CAUSE 15-20 MPH SLY WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IT WILL BE VERY HOT
   WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 100S AND RH OF 20-25 PERCENT.
   AGAIN...GREENUP WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT...ALTHOUGH PERSISTENT HOT
   TEMPERATURES AND VERY SHORT TERM DROUGHT WILL BEGIN TO CURE FUELS.
   
   ...MS AL NRN FL SRN GA SC...
   IT WILL BE VERY HOT TODAY BENEATH UPPER RIDGE WITH TEMPERATURES OF
   95-100 F. RH WILL DECREASE AT PEAK HEATING WITH VALUES OF 25-35
   PERCENT. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
   LITTLE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY WILL INCREASED FIRE THREAT WITH
   MODERATELY HIGH KBDI VALUES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0456 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN
   AZ AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AS PACIFIC TROUGH
   SWINGS SEWD TOWARD THE PACIFIC COAST AND UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS
   OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND SRN PLAINS. IN BETWEEN THE TWO...WINDS WILL
   BE LOCALLY STRONG ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WHERE IT WILL REMAIN VERY
   DRY. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS EWD INTO
   THE SERN STATES...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER AND MORE MOIST OVER THE
   FL PENINSULA DUE TO INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE.  MEANWHILE...A
   COLD FRONT WILL SAG SWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS
   VALLEY...WITH MUCH COOLER AIR N OF THE BOUNDARY WITH NELY WINDS.
   UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
   OF SERN WY INTO CO...AND ALTHOUGH HOT AND DRY...STORMS WILL LIKELY
   CONTAIN WETTING RAIN AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF SERN NV / SWRN UT / NWRN AZ
   AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL BE DRAWN NWD AHEAD OF AMPLIFYING UPPER
   TROUGH WHICH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
   LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON
   WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...WHILE RH FALLS TO 10-15 PERCENT. RH VALUES
   BELOW 10 PERCENT WILL OCCUR IN FAR SRN AREAS. WITH VERY WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND DEEP MIXING....HAINES INDEX WILL BE MDT TO HIGH.
   THUS...DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MATERIALIZE BY AFTERNOON...AND
   WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH POOR RH RECOVERY. WINDS WILL ALSO
   REMAIN QUITE STRONG IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES
   E.
   
   ...SC / GA / AL / MS...
   IT WILL REMAIN HOT AND DRY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE.
   WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT TO AROUND 10 MPH OUT OF THE SW WHILE RH
   DROPS TO 25-35 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. PERSISTENT HOT AND DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO RAISE KBDI VALUES INTO THE HIGH CATEGORY
   WITH INCREASING FIRE DANGER. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA WILL BE OVER
   SC AND GA WHERE WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGEST. IF SPEEDS END UP CLOSER
   TO 15 MPH...AREA COULD BE UPGRADED TO CRITICAL DUE TO LOW RH WIND
   AND VERY HOT CONDITIONS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0551 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF WRN U.S. TROUGH
   WHICH WILL PROVIDE WIND ENERGY FOR SEVERAL DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS. THE FOCUS WILL BE MAINLY ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...BUT
   ALSO POINTS S INTO AZ AND THE DESERTS OF SRN CA. THREAT WILL EXPAND
   NEWD INTO WRN CO AND WY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS TROUGH LIFTS NE.
   CRITICAL THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS LATER IN
   THE PERIOD AROUND 6/15 AS UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN FROM THE NW
   ALLOWING WINDS TO INCREASE. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN DRY OVER MUCH
   OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH WITH NLY WINDS
   AND WARM TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL SYSTEM
   ENTERING THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL HAVE A MARKED IMPACT ON FIRE DANGER
   WITH RISING RH LEVELS AND POSSIBLY HEAVY RAIN WITH HIGHEST
   PROBABILITY OF IMPACT OVER FL/GA/CAROLINAS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
552 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

...HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE HOT TODAY WITH HIGHS AROUND 100 DEGREES
ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 25 MPH ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA... WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE INTENSE HEAT AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY AND STRESSED
VEGETATION RESULTING IN FIRE DANGER IN THE HIGH TO VERY HIGH
CATEGORIES. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN OVER NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA WHERE VEGETATION IS THE DRIEST.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0325 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND SRN NV...SWRN
   UT...NWRN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE SRN AND
   SWRN PORTIONS OF THE NATION UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE. TO THE
   WEST...UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST AND WILL CAUSE
   INCREASED WINDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE
   ACROSS THE SERN STATES WILL KEEP CONDITIONS HOT AND DRY...WITH
   CONTINUED HOT SLY WINDS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON WRN EDGE OF HIGH
   AND E OF SRN HIGH PLAINS THERMAL LOW.
   
   ELSEWHERE...HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM KS
   EWD INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS...AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE ON THE RISE
   ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA WITH TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE VICINITY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL AND SRN NV...SWRN UT...NWRN
   AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WIND GUSTS / VERY LOW RH AND HOT
   TEMPERATURES
   
   SLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TODAY IN RESPONSE TO
   AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH ENTERING THE WRN GREAT BASIN. STRONG HEATING
   AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL HELP BRING RH DOWN TO AROUND 10 PERCENT
   IN THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE CLOSE TO 20 MPH...BUT
   GUSTS WILL BE STRONGER FROM 20-30 MPH DUE TO DEEP MIXING. MDT TO
   HIGH HAINES WILL ENHANCE DEEP FIRE PLUME POTENTIAL AS WELL.
   OVERNIGHT...RH RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR MOST AREAS WITH GUSTY WINDS
   NEAR RIDGE TOPS AS TROUGH NEARS.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND ERN AZ INTO WRN NM...
   AN EXTREMELY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY BENEATH UPPER
   RIDGE WITH RH LEVELS OF 5-10 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   THIS...ALONG WITH VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL MAXIMIZE LOW TO MID
   LEVEL INSTABILITY WITH AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR PLUME DOMINATED
   FIRES BY LATE IN THE DAY /HIGH HAINES INDEX/. ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ARE BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS ON THE LARGE
   SCALE...LOCALIZED AREAS IN AND AROUND ONGOING WILD FIRES SHOULD BE
   TREATED AS CRITICAL DUE TO POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH OF ONGOING FLAMES.
   
   ...GA AND SC...
   A VERY HOT AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ALBEIT
   BENEATH A WEAKENING UPPER RIDGE DUE TO IMPINGING TROUGH TO THE NORTH
   AND WEAK TROPICAL SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH. NEVERTHELESS...TEMPERATURES
   WILL NEAR 100 DEGREES WHICH WILL BRING RH LEVELS DOWN INTO THE 20
   PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER TODAY THAN PREVIOUS DAY DUE TO
   A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPING INTO THE CAROLINAS SOUTH OF A
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL BE COMMON...BUT
   SOME HIGHER GUSTS OVER 20 MPH MAY OCCUR DUE TO STRONG AND DEEP
   MIXING LAYERS. GIVEN THESE FORECAST PARAMETERS...CONDITIONS WILL BE
   NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES AND
   RH WILL EXIST INTO AL AND MS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER.
   
   ...WRN OK INTO NWRN TX...
   A THERMALLY INDUCED LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE OK/TX
   PANHANDLES SWD INTO SWRN TX UNDERNEATH UPPER RIDGE AXIS. E OF THIS
   AXIS...SURFACE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT SLY WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM TX INTO OK. IT WILL BE VERY HOT IN THESE
   AREAS WITH TEMPERATURES OF 96-104 AND MIN RH OF 20-25 PERCENT. A
   NEAR CRITICAL THREAT MAY EXIST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON IN AREAS
   THAT HAVE HAD RELATIVELY LITTLE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ AND
   SERN CA DESERTS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE FAR WRN STATES
   BRINGING INCREASING WINDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN WHERE IT WILL REMAIN
   VERY HOT AND DRY. THIS SAME AIR MASS WILL EXTEND EWD INTO THE
   CENTRAL AND SRN ROCKIES AS WELL AS THE SRN PLAINS BENEATH BUILDING
   UPPER RIDGE.  MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SERN STATES AS
   TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES NWD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ AND SERN
   CA DESERTS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / HIGH HAINES
   
   WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER ON MONDAY...BRINGING FIRE DANGER TO
   EXTREME LEVELS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY ALONG
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS WHILE RH REMAINS VERY LOW FROM THE UPPER SINGLE
   DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS. IN ADDITION...HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH OVER
   MOST OF THE CRITICAL AREA. WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG OVERNIGHT
   IN THE HIGH TERRAIN WITH POOR RH RECOVERY.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF AZ...MUCH OF NM...WRN CO...
   NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST DUE TO CONTINUED VERY HOT AND
   DRY CONDITIONS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES DURING THE
   AFTERNOON WITH HIGH HAINES INDEX. MAIN UPPER TROUGH ENERGY WILL
   REMAIN TO THE W...BUT STRONG MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR LOCALLY STRONG
   AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH WHILE SUSTAINED SPEEDS REMAIN AT
   OR BELOW 15 MPH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...


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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0519 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT
   BASIN FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EWD.
   VARIOUS MODELS DIFFER ON EXACT TIMING OF MAIN UPPER JET MAX AS IT
   SHIFTS NEWD ACROSS NV/UT...BUT IT APPEARS THAT EXTREME FIRE
   CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ON EITHER 6/13 OR 6/14...DEPENDING UPON
   THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THE MAIN WIND CORE MOVES OUT OF THE
   GREAT BASIN...A SECONDARY AND WEAKER SYSTEM MAY MOVE THROUGH AROUND
   6/15. ALTHOUGH TIMING IS UNCERTAIN IN REGARD TO WHICH DAY WILL BE
   THE MOST CRITICAL...IT IS ALMOST CERTAIN THAT CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   WILL OCCUR EVERY DAY THROUGH AT LEAST 6/15 DUE TO HIGH WIND AND LOW
   RH. THEREAFTER...MODELS SHOW ANOTHER BROADER UPPER TROUGH AFFECTING
   THE PACIFIC NW AND PERHAPS THE GREAT BASIN...BUT TIMING OF THIS
   FEATURE IS QUITE UNCERTAIN.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
513 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

...HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REACH HIGHS AROUND 100 DEGREES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL NOT BE
AS STRONG AS THOSE SEEN ON SATURDAY. MOST WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE
10 TO 20 MPH. THE INTENSE HEAT WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY AND
STRESSED VEGETATION...RESULTING IN A HIGH TO VERY HIGH CATEGORY
FIRE DANGER.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
   CO...SERN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT
   BASIN AND SWRN DESERTS AS WINDS INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WRN
   TROUGH. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY HOT AND DRY OVER THE CENTRAL AND
   SRN ROCKIES AS WELL AS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE
   WHERE WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT. ELSEWHERE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   WILL EXTEND FROM OK EWD TO THE CAROLINAS...WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH
   OF THE SERN STATES AS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS NWD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV...UT...NRN AZ...WRN
   CO...SERN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   
   MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS UPPER HEIGHT
   GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN UPPER RIDGE AND WRN TROUGH. STRONG
   HEATING...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP AFTERNOON
   MIXING AND STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH
   WILL OCCUR OVER NV...WRN UT...AND NWRN AZ WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 30-40
   MPH ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. RH WILL BE VERY LOW DROPPING
   TO 7-12 PERCENT. FARTHER E...WINDS WILL BE WEAKER OVER ERN UT...WRN
   CO...AND NERN AZ FROM 15-20 MPH. HOWEVER...HAINES INDEX WILL BE HIGH
   WITH EXTREMELY LOW RH...COMBINING TO PRODUCED CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   ESPECIALLY NEAR ONGOING FIRES. OVERNIGHT...RH RECOVERY WILL AGAIN BE
   POOR WITH GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING NEAR RIDGE TOPS IN NV WRN UT AND
   NWRN AZ.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF ERN AZ...NM...SRN CO...
   LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST IN VICINITY OF ONGOING FIRES
   WITH POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATION LATE IN THE DAY DUE TO A HIGH
   HAINES INDEX. MARGINAL...BUT LOCALLY GUSTY SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
   IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG HEATING AND MIXING WHICH WILL COMBINE
   WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH LEVELS TO PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   ELSEWHERE AS WELL.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND SWRN TX INTO SERN NM...
   IT WILL AGAIN BE VERY HOT BENEATH UPPER RIDGE TODAY WITH
   TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 100-105 AND RH OF 10-20 PERCENT...EXCEPT NEAR
   20-30 PERCENT NEAR I-35. SELY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH.
   THUS...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY IN AREAS THAT HAVE
   RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN IN THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0454 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN
   CA DESERTS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   TUESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY...WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
   GREAT BASIN AND A VERY HOT AND DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER MOST OF
   THE SWRN STATES. WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER AS TROUGH CONTINUES TO
   PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD
   FRONT WHICH WILL EXTEND FROM WRN ID INTO WRN NV AND A FEW WILL BE
   DRY WITH GUSTY WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD...WITH SHIFTING
   WINDS TO WLY ACROSS N CENTRAL NV. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN VERY
   HOT AND DRY FROM TX INTO NM AND SRN AZ UNDER UPPER RIDGE. WARM AND
   DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS WELL WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NV AND UT...NRN AZ...SERN CA
   DESERTS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SLY WINDS / LOW RH / ISOLATED DRY STORMS
   AND WIND SHIFT (NV)
   
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGER ON TUE AS MAIN ENERGY WITH UPPER TROUGH
   ENTERS THE WRN GREAT BASIN. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF NV AND SWRN
   UT...WITH LESSER SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH AND GUSTY ACROSS NRN AZ AND SERN
   CA. AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COOL...AND
   ALLOW CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT WHICH
   WILL EXTEND FROM SERN OREGON INTO NWRN NV. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL RESULT...AND THEY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY ACROSS NV. PARTICULARLY
   GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH ANY STORMS AS WELL. RH LEVELS MAY BE
   HIGHER ACROSS NV AND UT THAN PREVIOUS FEW DAYS...BUT IT WILL STILL
   REMAIN CRITICALLY LOW NEAR 15 PERCENT.
   
   ...SRN AZ / NM/ CO / CNTRL AND WRN TX...
   ANOTHER VERY HOT AND DRY DAY IS IN STORE UNDERNEATH THE UPPER RIDGE.
   WINDS WILL MAINLY BE AT OR BELOW 15 MPH...BUT LOCALIZED GUSTS IN
   COMPLEX TERRAIN ARE LIKELY. HIGH HAINES WILL AGAIN FAVOR PLUME
   DOMINATION BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER AZ AND NM.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEY AND
   WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. MEANWHILE...ALBERTO...OR REMNANTS THEREOF
   WILL BRING RH LEVELS UP OVER MUCH OF FL AND GA. THE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE NLY WINDS
   NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW
   FROM 30-40 PERCENT. GIVEN DROUGHT CONDITIONS...MARGINAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR A FEW HOURS NEAR PEAK HEATING.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...


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   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0632 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON DAY THREE - 6/14 - ARE LIKELY AS UPPER
   JET/TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH
   WILL OCCUR OVER NV UT AND NRN AZ. FARTHER E WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER
   BUT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF CO
   AS WELL AS ERN UT FAR NRN NM NERN AZ AND SRN WY. BECAUSE OF DRY LOW
   LEVELS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY...STORMS WILL CONTAIN LITTLE RAIN
   AND ANY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL HAVE A HIGH IGNITION
   PROBABILITY....ALONG WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUED
   WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER SRN UT...MUCH OF AZ WRN
   NM AND WRN CO ON DAY FOUR - 6/15 - ALTHOUGH MODELS DIFFER IN
   STRENGTH OF FLOW ALOFT. BEYOND DAY FOUR...MODELS DIVERGE WITH TROUGH
   EVOLUTION...BUT THERE IS SOME CHANCE OF CONTINUED CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS ACROSS AZ AND VICINITY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...