Tropical Storm Alberto

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#721 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:11 pm

The center is devoid of deep convection, but it's getting tighter and better defined this afternoon on visible imagery. It appears almost stationary as well. I figure the convection well away of the center will continue to move to the NE and eventually die off. So we just have to see if any more convection forms around closer to the center again, to keep this storm alive through tomorrow. The dirnual max might help out tonight to fire off some convection.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
The_OD_42
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 61
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:35 pm
Location: Odessa, FL (Tampa)

#722 Postby The_OD_42 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:11 pm

Rainband wrote:Yeah, we lost power here and it's pouring.. I have to drive to oldsmar to work :roll:


Gotta love Pasco and its wonderful power grid. :lol:
I'm surprised we haven't lost it yet here...oh wait, it always happens AFTER the storm. lol
0 likes   

User avatar
linkerweather
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 261
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:59 am
Location: tampa bay area

#723 Postby linkerweather » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:11 pm

I am heading back out but we lost 2 trees in our neighborhood. GUst about 50 or so. Sustained during that band around 30 to 35. I will be back into work tomorrow morning.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#724 Postby O Town » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:12 pm

Here is their radar, and it looks like they just got pounded.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
0 likes   

User avatar
Stratusxpeye
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 686
Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2005 10:40 am
Location: Tampa, Florida
Contact:

#725 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:12 pm

The_OD_42 wrote:
Rainband wrote:Yeah, we lost power here and it's pouring.. I have to drive to oldsmar to work :roll:


Gotta love Pasco and its wonderful power grid. :lol:
I'm surprised we haven't lost it yet here...oh wait, it always happens AFTER the storm. lol


O yeah not just pasco but i have withlacooche so we loose power almost on a daily basis. Usually we loos it before it even storms.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#726 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:13 pm

linkerweather wrote:I am heading back out but we lost 2 trees in our neighborhood. GUst about 50 or so. Sustained during that band around 30 to 35. I will be back into work tomorrow morning.


Wow Josh, incredible, nice to hear from you. Even though I moved from Clearwater to South Florida I still check your website for some of the maps you post. :D
0 likes   

Rainband

#727 Postby Rainband » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:14 pm

Hello Josh. 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#728 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:16 pm

Here's an animation I made of satellite/sfc obs from a few hours ago to now:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/albertoanim.gif

Note that the first picture is around 16Z when recon and the buoy and ship reported TS force winds in that squall about 220 miles from the center. The 2nd image is current. Buoy obs in that area are down to about 25 kts and the squalls are about 250 miles east of the center. Winds around the center itself are only about 15 kts.Just got a ship report from next to the center, here's the image showing the report:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/alberto24.gif
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#729 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:18 pm

Looks like the heating of the day is causing some thunderstorm development across the peninsula....lots of reds and oranges along the I-4 corridor.
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#730 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:18 pm

It is evident that the strongest winds are within the convective downbursts well to the east of the center.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#731 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:20 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:It is evident that the strongest winds are within the convective downbursts well to the east of the center.


Tampa is about 400 miles NE of the center. Tropical cyclone feeder bands can easily produce such wind gusts.
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#732 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:22 pm

The Globals such as GFS, CMC, UKMET and NOGAPS at 12z are coming further north with the landfall, most into the Panhandle now.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#733 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:23 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:The Globals such as GFS, CMC, UKMET and NOGAPS at 12z are coming further north with the landfall, most into the Panhandle now.


Can you post an image showing the shift in the models?
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#734 Postby O Town » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:28 pm

I am not finding any new model plots yet. I thought the 18Z came out around 2pm eastern time. 12Z are from this morning. Right?
0 likes   

User avatar
canetracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 751
Age: 62
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2005 8:49 pm
Location: Suburbia New Orleans...Harahan, LA

#735 Postby canetracker » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:32 pm

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_01.gif

The latest model runs I can find are on the cluster map. The runs are at 17 and 18z.
The UKMET looks like it lost its mind!
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#736 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:32 pm

wxman57 wrote:Here's an animation I made of satellite/sfc obs from a few hours ago to now:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/albertoanim.gif

Note that the first picture is around 16Z when recon and the buoy and ship reported TS force winds in that squall about 220 miles from the center. The 2nd image is current. Buoy obs in that area are down to about 25 kts and the squalls are about 250 miles east of the center. Winds around the center itself are only about 15 kts.Just got a ship report from next to the center, here's the image showing the report:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/alberto24.gif


one thing is for sure...this thing has not moved much!
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#737 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:32 pm

0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#738 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:32 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:The Globals such as GFS, CMC, UKMET and NOGAPS at 12z are coming further north with the landfall, most into the Panhandle now.


All those models will focus on the upper level part of Alberto, the high-level steering currents. They won't do well with the remnant low-level swirl. So they'll accurately predict where the squalls will go, not necessarily the center of circulation.
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#739 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:33 pm

canetracker wrote:http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_01.gif

The latest model runs I can find are on the cluster map. The runs are at 17 and 18z.
The UKMET looks like it lost its mind!
I think it is the other runs that have lost their minds. They have the storm currently moving N or NNE when in reality it is either stationary or drifting W//WNW.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#740 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:33 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:The Globals such as GFS, CMC, UKMET and NOGAPS at 12z are coming further north with the landfall, most into the Panhandle now.


All those models will focus on the upper level part of Alberto, the high-level steering currents. They won't do well with the remnant low-level swirl. So they'll accurately predict where the squalls will go, not necessarily the center of circulation.


WxMan is there a possibility of the swirl getting left behind in the GOM since it won't feel the trough come through the north?
0 likes   


Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests