
TD1 Track has Shifted from Local Mets early forecasts
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- wxmann_91
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When I first came here I knew nothing and got completely confused by the abbreviations. Then I forced myself to learn them, and now I use the all the time, although there are still countless ones I don't know.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/contract.html
And this could still go either way... but I'm pretty convinced this will get caught by the trough, especially if it intensifies.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/contract.html
And this could still go either way... but I'm pretty convinced this will get caught by the trough, especially if it intensifies.
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- Typhoon_Willie
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- Audrey2Katrina
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And therefrom, UP the Eastern Seaboard, and quite likely some bad weather for the NE, and the maritime provinces.
A2K
A2K
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Looking at this loop you can see TD#1 is still moving NNW way ahead of it's main convection but "trying" to get better organized.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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- Extremeweatherguy
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- Audrey2Katrina
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Bad case of Deja Vu here; fortuntely, this thing is no Katrina.
A2K
A2K
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Flossy 56 Audrey 57 Hilda 64* Betsy 65* Camille 69* Edith 71 Carmen 74 Bob 79 Danny 85 Elena 85 Juan 85 Florence 88 Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21 Francine *24
- Extremeweatherguy
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I'm pretty convinced this will get caught by the trough, especially if it intensifies.
There was a kink in the zonal flow yesterday that looked like it might quickly dig down into the gulf. This morning that feature does not look like it will make it down as far as the coast. The only trof like feature I see in the water vapor loop is back in southern California and does not look like it is advancing east very fast.
I agree if Alberto strengthens slows or goes stationary a trof may pick him up eventually. The timing looks a lot slower this morning and that keeps the door open to other track scenarios.
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I think that throwing out Houston, Texas as a possibility is WAY OFF base.
Toro: I'm not looking for a thank you or anything but I took it upon myself to correct your sentence above. Try not to leave those pesky commas out next time, ok? How's that for being picky?

I'm also from Houston and their is absolutely no way that this storm will effect us.
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- beachbum_al
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- Audrey2Katrina
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beachbum_al wrote:Considering it looks like the track is further to the west than predicted in the beginning do you think we will see the models move it a little more North. Like Alabama and Florida Panhandle? I will I am not an expert.
Haven't seen the latest yet, ... still think it looks poorly organized and could split two ways... but an Arlene-like scenario isn't out of the question.
A2K
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- mvtrucking
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- Audrey2Katrina
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I can see what appears to be NW Cuba in there; but absolutely no other land areas to orient it with regard to.
A2K
A2K
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Flossy 56 Audrey 57 Hilda 64* Betsy 65* Camille 69* Edith 71 Carmen 74 Bob 79 Danny 85 Elena 85 Juan 85 Florence 88 Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21 Francine *24
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