Tropical Storm Alberto

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Audrey2Katrina
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#1141 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:43 am

Glad you all are gettin' the much needed rain... just hope that it doesn't sit out there long enough to get much stronger. MHO

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#1142 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:49 am

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#1143 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:50 am

Actually if "Alberto" remains stationary it will probably disappate because of dry air.
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#1144 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:00 am

Tomorrow it will become Hurricane Alberto... landfall in Pasco with 85 mph winds... lol j/k..

Very interesting flare up. I predict landfall with in 50 miles or so of Pasco County with 60 mph winds... totally off? or not
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#1145 Postby Rainband » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:01 am

I love to read through the posts when I come home. Some people are so predictable :lol: Looks like Alberto is heading towards Florida and at least holding his own. :wink:
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#1146 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:21 am

Here is my updated predicted path:
Image

Here is my thoughts on projected impacts:
Image
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#1147 Postby whereverwx » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:36 am

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#1148 Postby Brent » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:52 am

Calamity wrote:"Hi guys! It's me, Alberto!"
http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/9950625/al ... 2.gif.html


This storm is just bizarre. :roll:
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#1149 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:53 am

It's certainly not dead.
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#1150 Postby hriverajr » Mon Jun 12, 2006 1:55 am

Brent wrote:
Calamity wrote:"Hi guys! It's me, Alberto!"
http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/9950625/al ... 2.gif.html


This storm is just bizarre. :roll:
Man this storm is strange.. quite a flareup of convection
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#1151 Postby Bgator » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:02 am

hriverajr wrote:
Brent wrote:
Calamity wrote:"Hi guys! It's me, Alberto!"
http://s8.quicksharing.com/v/9950625/al ... 2.gif.html


This storm is just bizarre. :roll:
Man this storm is strange.. quite a flareup of convection


Yes, this is weird, yet Miami may see no rain....This is nice convection!
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#1152 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:03 am

6z Models were initialized 45kts with a pressure down to 1004mb. Which means this will probably be 50mph storm at 5am.

203
WHXX01 KWBC 120626
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO (AL012006) ON 20060612 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060612 0600 060612 1800 060613 0600 060613 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.8N 87.4W 27.4N 86.5W 28.5N 84.6W 30.0N 82.3W
BAMM 25.8N 87.4W 26.7N 87.5W 26.7N 87.4W 26.9N 87.4W
A98E 25.8N 87.4W 27.0N 86.6W 27.9N 85.4W 29.0N 82.2W
LBAR 25.8N 87.4W 27.1N 86.6W 28.6N 85.3W 30.0N 82.9W
SHIP 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS 50KTS
DSHP 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060614 0600 060615 0600 060616 0600 060617 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.1N 79.3W 38.6N 68.3W 47.4N 55.8W 50.9N 36.6W
BAMM 27.5N 87.0W 29.0N 83.9W 29.1N 76.6W 31.2N 71.3W
A98E 30.5N 79.4W 35.9N 70.0W 43.8N 54.7W 46.5N 34.2W
LBAR 32.0N 79.6W 38.2N 70.9W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 51KTS 52KTS 55KTS 43KTS
DSHP 42KTS 42KTS 46KTS 34KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 25.8N LONCUR = 87.4W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 24.3N LONM12 = 87.8W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 23.1N LONM24 = 87.1W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 200NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
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#1153 Postby hriverajr » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:04 am

This is the first time I actually see the convection building west!
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Rainband

#1154 Postby Rainband » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:11 am

Looks like this may get a bit interesting if this keeps up.
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#1155 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:13 am

I have am having a hard time telling which way this thing is going? Still looks North East. I still think landfall slightly south of NHC path. Rainband wat are your thoughts?
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#1156 Postby robbielyn » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:02 am

take a look at this. major blowup and looks like the llc is trying to get this thing to wrap around. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html Wow. The blow up is bullying or pushing back the dry air as if to say get out of my way. I think Popeye gave him some spinach or something. lol
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#1157 Postby hriverajr » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:15 am

Yep basically a big MCC on the north and east side that has itself some momentum building to the west. We will have to wait and see how long it keeps going. You can see the tremendous inflow on the southside.
Last edited by hriverajr on Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1158 Postby caneman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:15 am

yes ineed Robbielyn. Impressive blowup. Look at the grey in IR. Checked a buoy and down to 29.66. Sustained at 40 mph and gusts to 50. Think winds will be upped at 5. Seas at that buoy are 17 feet. Gulp
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#1159 Postby P.K. » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:16 am

Dvorak says subtropical.

12/0545 UTC 25.6N 87.7W ST2.5/2.5 01L -- Atlantic Ocean
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#1160 Postby ammmyjjjj » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:19 am

I'm new to this & I have a question. I hear yall talking about tropical, subtropical & extratropical. What is the difference? What does this mean? :D
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