TS Alberto Recon Reports

[cycloneye]

HurricaneHunter 914,Take a DEEP BREATH please,please.

[Thunder44]

Luis, please change the title to include flight level winds.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Do I really lose 2000 posts? I'm kinda scared and embarresed right now.

[cycloneye]

Luis, please change the title to include flight level winds.

Done

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 121316
AF305 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 16 KNHC
1308. 2732N 08524W 00751 5036 119 055 166 166 056 00735 0000000100
1309 2734N 08525W 00736 5034 122 054 166 166 056 00722 0000000100
1309. 2736N 08525W 00716 5030 103 053 164 164 055 00705 0000000100
1310 2738N 08525W 00745 5029 095 056 162 162 057 00736 0000000100
1310. 2739N 08525W 00786 5026 099 055 158 158 055 00780 0000000100
1311 2741N 08525W 00776 5024 088 058 160 160 059 00771 0000000100
1311. 2742N 08526W 00784 5023 087 058 160 160 061 00780 0000000100
1312 2744N 08526W 00777 5021 089 053 160 160 055 00776 0000000100
1312. 2746N 08526W 00779 5019 086 052 160 160 053 00780 0000000100
1313 2747N 08526W 00780 5017 086 047 160 160 049 00783 0000000100
1313. 2749N 08526W 00780 5014 084 046 160 160 047 00785 0000000100
1314 2750N 08526W 00777 5011 080 046 162 162 047 00786 0000000000
1314. 2752N 08526W 00781 5009 075 038 158 158 039 00792 0000000100
1315 2753N 08526W 00779 5006 073 036 160 160 036 00793 0000000000
1315. 2754N 08526W 00781 5002 077 034 158 158 035 00798 0000000000
1316 2756N 08526W 00780 5002 079 029 146 146 031 00798 0000000000
1316. 2757N 08525W 00778 5002 080 030 168 168 030 00795 0000000000
1317 2759N 08525W 00784 5003 087 030 184 184 031 00801 0000000000
1317. 2801N 08526W 00779 5002 096 029 166 166 030 00797 0000000000
1318 2801N 08527W 00779 5003 089 029 162 162 030 00797 0000000000

[Lowpressure]

Do I really lose 2000 posts? I'm kinda scared and embarresed right now.

No, we are all trying to explain the difference of flight level winds and the proper deduction % taken at the surface dependend on the hunter's sample altitude.

[kenl01]

Good Grief ! It's really not a big deal this system. Lots of shearing still in the works. It will likely remain a TS at landfall.

People are all getting worked up for nothing. If I were them, I'd take the day off and go water skiing down there.........

[Dean4Storms]

This is the storm despite the odds that keeps on going. Amazing. So what are the chances that it is going toward the FL panhandle...near Tallahassee. I just got up and I am a little behind on everything.

It is possible that Alberto moves more northward and into the Pnahandle, the NHC track has shifted with the models further northward.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Sorry guys for being annoying earlier in this thread, I was just to excited.

[SouthFloridawx]

Hurricane Hunter You lose 2000 posts for that mistake. Take action Cyclone

Good one!

[Dean4Storms]

Good Grief ! It's really not a big deal this system. Lots of shearing still in the works. It will likely remain a TS at landfall.

People are all getting worked up for nothing. If I were them, I'd take the day off and go water skiing down there.........

Not so true, this is Florida in June, lots of tourists from up north who here in the Pnahandle a few years back when 6 ft. waves were crashing on the beach 18 tourists went out and drowned!!!!!!

[Thunder44]

Luis, please change the title to include flight level winds.

Done

Thanks

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 121326
AF305 0401A ALBERTO HDOB 17 KNHC
1318. 2800N 08529W 00779 5007 089 024 148 148 026 00792 0000000000
1319 2758N 08530W 00782 5006 074 028 158 158 029 00796 0000000000
1319. 2757N 08531W 00778 5005 071 025 176 176 027 00793 0000000000
1320 2756N 08533W 00782 5006 053 029 166 166 031 00795 0000000000
1320. 2754N 08534W 00777 5009 052 035 160 160 039 00788 0000000000
1321 2753N 08536W 00782 5013 058 039 158 158 041 00789 0000000000
1321. 2752N 08537W 00781 5015 059 041 162 162 042 00786 0000000000
1322 2750N 08539W 00779 5018 053 042 166 166 043 00780 0000000000
1322. 2749N 08540W 00773 5022 049 046 160 160 046 00771 0000000000
1323 2748N 08542W 00785 5024 047 047 150 150 047 00781 0000000100
1323. 2746N 08544W 00783 5025 050 045 154 154 048 00777 0000000100
1324 2745N 08545W 00781 5027 049 041 158 158 044 00774 0000000100
1324. 2743N 08547W 00774 5029 046 041 158 158 043 00765 0000000100
1325 2742N 08548W 00781 5030 045 043 160 160 044 00771 0000000100
1325. 2741N 08550W 00780 5032 042 048 160 160 051 00767 0000000100
1326 2739N 08551W 00780 5035 041 051 156 156 052 00764 0000000100
1326. 2738N 08553W 00780 5036 044 053 156 156 053 00764 0000000100
1327 2736N 08555W 00780 5037 042 054 158 158 056 00762 0000000100
1327. 2735N 08556W 00779 5040 042 054 156 156 055 00758 0000000100
1328 2734N 08558W 00779 5045 037 057 160 160 059 00754 0000000100

[CHRISTY]

wrong thread sorry...

[canegrl04]

If Alberto hits the Panhandle,he is a copycat of Arlene in virtually every way.She was a raggedy storm,and she made landfall in the same area. Weird feeling of 2005 deja vu

[HurricaneHunter914]

The convection is actually starting to get sheared off of the center.

[Extremeweatherguy]

68 x .9 = 61.2mph

Alberto is likely a 60mph TS.

[N2FSU]

The 06Z (2:00a.m.) GFDL has Alberto making landfall around Destin:

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... =Animation

[mtm4319]

68 x .9 = 61.2mph

Alberto is likely a 60mph TS.

That's 68 knots, and the multiplier is either .75 or .8 (meaning 51 or 54.4 knots).

[mempho]

68 x .9 = 61.2mph

Alberto is likely a 60mph TS.

Don't you mean 68 x 1.15 x .9= 70mph TS?