Tropical Storm Alberto

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skysummit
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#1321 Postby skysummit » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:19 am

Two tornados already sighted.....

)1 mile east of the Barton Airport

)another just south of that along Hwy 62
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#1322 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:21 am

It's a good thing it is running out of real estate....but it will have a little less than 24 more hours of the GOM. Could we see even more strengthening?
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#1323 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:21 am

Image
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#1324 Postby no advance » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:24 am

How about a tornado thread. Have a detailed map with all the tornadoes noted on it. Might see some pattern?
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#1325 Postby cpdaman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:24 am

this thing is looking a bit more serious it's time to get prepared for a worst case scenario in the big bend area of florida.

any have any opinions of what this worst case scenario could be given the storm could spend almost another day out in the gulf
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#1326 Postby PhillyWX » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:25 am

http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com ... today.html

Updated discussion on Alberto -- thoughts for a 55-60 mph landfall. Storm likely to pass out of Gulf Loop Current (where it's near) and it should help prevent further explosive strengthening in the east quad.
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#1327 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:27 am

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
12/1145 UTC 26.8N 87.2W T2.5/2.5 ALBERTO -- Atlantic Ocean
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#1328 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:28 am

Looks to me like the storm is tracking more ENE than where the forecast plots are....thoughts?
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#1329 Postby SeaBrz_FL » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:29 am

I'm watching the live Florida EOC briefing from Tallahassee and they just received a new update from the NHC that they've decided to issue a hurricane warning for the coast rather the planned Watch.
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#1330 Postby NBCintern » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:32 am

SeaBrz_FL wrote:I'm watching the live Florida EOC briefing from Tallahassee and they just received a new update from the NHC that they've decided to issue a hurricane warning for the coast rather the planned Watch.


Oh F****, what.....
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#1331 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:33 am

Hurricane Alberto?
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#1332 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:33 am

I think it's safe to say the convection is now under the center and Alberto has made a majority of us look silly for counting him out. I hope this is NOT an indication of what type of season we are going to have.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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#1333 Postby angelwing » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:34 am

WTNT21 KNHC 121432
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1500Z MON JUN 12 2006

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO
ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO
BONITA BEACH.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 86.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.6N 85.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.8N 84.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.0N 83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 77.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 38.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 45.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 85.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$

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#1334 Postby TampaFl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:35 am

boca_chris wrote:Looks to me like the storm is tracking more ENE than where the forecast plots are....thoughts?



My thoughts exactly Boca_Chris. Check out the radar. Thoughts


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=TBW&loop=yes



Robert 8-)
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#1335 Postby tampastorm » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:36 am

24 hours is ALOT of time to strengthen. Think of it even 5 mph bump every 5 hours is another 25 MPH!
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#1336 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:38 am

Stormcenter wrote:I think it's safe to say the convection is now under the center and Alberto has made a majority of us look silly for counting him out. I hope this is NOT an indication of what type of season we are going to have.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html


He is still getting Sheared pretty good from the SW
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#1337 Postby SCMedic » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:38 am

Image

Looks like they're not the only ones forecasting Cat1...Now the question is...Where will it go? They're forecasting us to recieve very little rain from the current path, here in Charleston, SC. Saying basically, that all the convection to the east of the LLC will remain offshore...Thoughts?
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#1338 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:40 am

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#1339 Postby Dustin » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:43 am

Now only if this thing would go due north, North GA, would get some well needed rain. Lake Lanier is down 12 feet.. :'(
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#1340 Postby dizzyfish » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:43 am

Gosh darn it!!!!!! I just heard H Warning too. Straight to a warning without a watch. DANG! :eek:
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