What the Tampa Area Can Expect

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Stratusxpeye
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#41 Postby Stratusxpeye » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:00 am

I would belive with the new track and the new forecast points, after the center has been relocated, would mean less conditions for tampa. I'm not sure but I wouldnt seem to think frances like conditions would be felt but merely TS Gusts and lots of rain. Could be sustained tropical storm force winds as well but I wouldnt see much more than that.
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#42 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:00 am

This is my new prediction for the Tampa area:
-Worst winds: 30 to 50mph sustained with gusts to 50 to 70mph (especially right at coast).
-Rains: 3-8" likely
-Damage: widespread minor damages likely to branches, small/weak trees, mobile homes, and signs. Isolated shingle damage is also possible.
-Power: Scattered power loss.

If the track shifts further north = reduce wind speeds by 5-15mph.
If track shifts further south = increase wind speeds by 5-15mph.
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#43 Postby Loring » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:20 am

floridahurricaneguy wrote:Personally I think NHC's track is to far north... what do you all think?


yep, id agree with you on that one.
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#44 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:23 am

Why are there so many people say no... track going North. its seems the NHC is usually right in the beginning. I clearly see east jog. I still think Tampa Bay and north will get worst weather.
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#45 Postby jasons2k » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:24 am

Well they are now under a hurricane warning. I think we got our answer from the NHC with the last adv.
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#46 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:25 am

jschlitz wrote:Well they are now under a hurricane warning. I think we got our answer from the NHC with the last adv.


Hurricane warning for Tampa - wow. That loop current is some powerful stuff. It could actually be a little worse than what Frances brought - have to wait and see.
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#47 Postby gtalum » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:26 am

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Frances-like conditions are not that hard to pull off in a tropical system. Tampa saw some weak to moderate TS sustained winds and gusts into the 60s from Frances, really that is not that hard to achieve.


You're right I take it back, they could see Frances-like effects. But not Category 1 effects.
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#48 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:27 am

gtalum wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Frances-like conditions are not that hard to pull off in a tropical system. Tampa saw some weak to moderate TS sustained winds and gusts into the 60s from Frances, really that is not that hard to achieve.


You're right I take it back, they could see Frances-like effects. But not Category 1 effects.


Hey qtalum how would you like your crow served? :lol:
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#49 Postby gtalum » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:29 am

No crow necessary, sorry. There will not be Category 1 winds in Tampa.
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#50 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:30 am

that darn shield
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#51 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:32 am

gtalum wrote:No crow necessary, sorry. There will not be Category 1 winds in Tampa.


You kept arguing yesterday that it would just bring the Tampa area lots or rain and little wind...... :D

I don't think Sarasota will see winds of 60mph+ though...
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#52 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:34 am

http://www.abcactionnews.com/
LIVE GOVENOR NEWS CONFERANCE
click the botton the right
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#53 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:35 am

^Thanks watching it now
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#54 Postby gtalum » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:45 am

boca_chris wrote:You kept arguing yesterday that it would just bring the Tampa area lots or rain and little wind...... :D


Well that's still what it's goign to get. Just depends on yoru definition of "a little wind" :lol:

Okay, I guess I do deserve a small helping of crow for that, but I stand by my statement that Tampa won't see category 1 winds.

I don't think Sarasota will see winds of 60mph+ though...


Agreed. We will likely see some TS stuff though.
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#55 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:10 am

Hey qtalum no hard feelings ;) - stay safe this season :D
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#56 Postby gtalum » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:30 pm

I'd say Alberto is pretty much done with Tampa now. Radar and satellite both show nothing much left to go through the area.
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#57 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:31 pm

gtalum wrote:I'd say Alberto is pretty much done with Tampa now. Radar and satellite both show nothing much left to go through the area.


There is a convective flare up now SE of the center with extremely cold cloud tops that is headed in the general direction of the Tampa Bay area...
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#58 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:02 pm

Yeah, it looks to be heading more NE. If the current trend continues, then 20-30mph winds with gusts to 40mph may be all Tampa gets.
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#59 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:05 pm

Honestly, I don't think ANYONE will get above 40 mph sustained winds from Alberto...
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#60 Postby melhow » Mon Jun 12, 2006 3:29 pm

Breezy and overcast in Largo, no rain presently, but from the looks of this

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TBW&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Maybe some nasty squalls setting up for rush hour in Tampa...
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