Tropical Storm Alberto

[NONAME]

I say it will maintain strength today and strengthing tonight like last night.+

[gatorcane]

I say it will maintain strength today and strengthing tonight like last night.+

I disagree - it is getting close to land and will start sucking in dry air more and more from the NW - also the SSTs are about 5 degrees lower than where it was last night.

[gatorcane]

Here is a buoy located in the GOM loop current - water temp is near 83F and that is even after some "upwelling" caused by Alberto passing by - alot warmer in the loop current:

Wind Direction (WDIR): SSW ( 210 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 19.4 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 23.3 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 14.4 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 11 sec
Average Period (APD): 8.2 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWDIR): SSE ( 168 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.75 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.09 in ( Rising )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.6 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.8 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 78.1 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 87.8 °F

[whereverwx]

Here's an impressive 30 frame AVN imagery loop of the flare up of convection since this morning: Download link

[Noles2006]

looking at radar, is it back to moving North or are my eyes going crazy?

[HurricaneGirl]

Here's an impressive 30 frame AVN imagery loop of the flare up of convection since this morning: Download link

Saved it. Thanks! Pretty impressive blow up of convection.

[gatorcane]

A pretty impressive feeder band is getting ready to move ashore the coastal areas of Pinellas County - should be the first real winds Pinellas sees from Alberto. Should come ashore within the next 1 hour or so.

[HurricaneGirl]

Hey Chris! Stay safe.

[gatorcane]

Hey Chris! Stay safe.

Hey I'm watching from the sidelines here in Boca Raton - you stay safe yourself in Jax - its all heading your way...

[CrazyC83]

I think it is at or near its peak. If it is to become a hurricane, I'd say it has to do so by the 5:00 pm advisory.

[curtadams]

The center is still well off radar. Call up any of the SSD image loops and turn on "radar" and "trop pts" (current and forecast locations) You'll see the LLC is many miles from the edge of the radar. Even when you start to see something, it'll be high altitude because of the curve of the earth. Remember because of high and variable shear the higher levels are displaced from the LLC and moving around to boot.

[skysummit]

Right now the radar beam out of Tampa is appx. 27,000 feet high near the center....waaaay to high for accurate observations.

[HurricaneHunter914]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

[all_we_know_is_FALLING]

This storm reminds me of Arlene. I think it'll peak at 70 or 75 and weaken before landfall. Still a danger to central and northern FLA, and definitely interesting for something this early in the season.

[gatorcane]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Well maybe - we do know shear is on the increase and the SSTs are getting lower where Alberto is headed...we'll just have to wait and see.

[Scorpion]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Well maybe - we do know shear is on the increase and the SSTs are getting lower where Alberto is headed...we'll just have to wait and see.

It was expected to die last night. It didn't.

[JamesFromMaine2]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Well maybe - we do know shear is on the increase and the SSTs are getting lower where Alberto is headed...we'll just have to wait and see.

It was expected to die last night. It didn't.

Your forgetting who was expecting it to die last night! The NHC wasn't the ones who were expecting it to die it was people on this forum who were!

[NBCintern]

You guys do realize that Alberto is now at 70 mph winds and is expected to become a hurricane?

Yes, HurricaneHunter914, we realize that. We have heard you basically scare yourself about it. Now, run for the hills..

[seaswing]

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1142 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-040-GAZ162-163-130345-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TI.W.0001.060612T1542Z-060614T1000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
MARION-ECHOLS-CLINCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JASPER...LIVE OAK...LAKE CITY...
MACCLENNY...LAKE BUTLER...STARKE...TRENTON...GAINESVILLE...
OCALA...STATENVILLE...HOMERVILLE
1142 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE FLORIDA BIG BEND LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS ARE ON
THE EAST SIDE OF ALBERTO AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT THE REGION MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE UNTIL ALBERTO
MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. BE SURE TO HAVE A WELL STOCKED SUPPLY
KIT...POTABLE WATER...FLASHLIGHTS AND A TRANSISTOR RADIO.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.

I posted this on a couple of other threads ---FYI and planning North and N. Central Florida

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

Alberto is getting that comma-like appearance on SAT, even though its sheared the organization of Alberto looks really impressive for a June Storm. Lets just hope that it isn't a sign that Alberto is stronger than Arlene. (Well almost).