Wave system at C.Carib.,Sat. Images,Comments,Discussion #1

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
MiamiensisWx

Wave system at C.Carib.,Sat. Images,Comments,Discussion #1

#1 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:11 pm

OK, this is the general discussion thread for the wave system in the eastern Caribbean south of Puerto Rico and it's chances for development down the road.

Infra-red imagery

Visible imagery

Water vapor imagery

Discuss it here and it's chances you think it has down the road.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#2 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:12 pm

capeverdewave i think there is a thread for this already.
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2149
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#3 Postby Steve H. » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:12 pm

Don't know about down the road, but the wave SE of Puerto Rico has a twist to it now, and some convection is blowing up a bit. We'll see.
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#4 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:13 pm

Its actually a thread for all Tropical Waves that form
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

MiamiensisWx

#5 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:13 pm

That was for posting the advisories for the islands in the Caribbean on the system, CHRISTY. This is for the general discussion this system and it's developmental chances anyone may think it has down the road.
0 likes   

User avatar
mvtrucking
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 698
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:01 am
Location: Monroe,La

#6 Postby mvtrucking » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:15 pm

Is this the same wave that was mentioned in the thread this am, that concerned the folks at Eglin, AFB? They mentioned it could end up in the Tx/La area?
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#7 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:15 pm

guys the lastest GFS run gives me chills.between the strong bermuda high setup and the strong tropical waves rolling off africa this is looking more like september then june.

HERE'S THE LINK...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146203
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#8 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:15 pm

Actually CapeVerdeWave is right to make this thread because the Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics,Models one is for waves between Africa and the Lesser Antilles and this one is for the Caribbean wave.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

MiamiensisWx

#9 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:16 pm

CHRISTY, that is for ALL tropical waves. Post that in the thread on all the tropical waves. This thread is for a specific tropical wave axis system south and south-southeast of Puerto Rico.
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#10 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:17 pm

I think this thread name will soon be Invest 91L IMO.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#11 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:18 pm

CHRISTY wrote:guys the lastest GFS run gives me chills.between the strong bermuda high setup and the strong tropical waves rolling off africa this is looking more like september then june.

HERE'S THE LINK...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation


Love the part showing FL under high pressure we need it. 8-)
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#12 Postby O Town » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:18 pm

Good idea CVW it gets confusing in the other thread talking about all 3 out there.

This wave just keeps growing and growing with covection. Seems like there is a bit of shear to the north of the system though.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146203
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#13 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:19 pm

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO... LOCATED INLAND NEAR VALDOSTA GEORGIA.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... MUCH OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES... AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY THAT COULD BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND
HISPANIOLA AS THE WAVE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

#14 Postby whereverwx » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:21 pm

It's a nice looking wave, but I don't think it will develop; rain will probably be the biggest concern.

Image
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#15 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:21 pm

Its moving so fast it will barley have time to strengthen even if it did become a Tropical Cyclone.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#16 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:22 pm

Its nice to be back, it must be Hurricane Season. TWO says conditions are unfavorable for development - I hope they say that all season long - but doubt it.

TX sure could use a weak tropical system - otherwise I dont think its going to rain againi until October. :(
0 likes   

User avatar
The Hurricaner
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Tue Jun 13, 2006 3:59 pm
Location: Miami, FL

#17 Postby The Hurricaner » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:23 pm

When it says unfavorable for development of a tropical cyclone...
does it mean now and there or later and in the central-eastern carribean?
0 likes   

Johnny
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1428
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:35 pm
Location: No Snow For You, Texas

#18 Postby Johnny » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:23 pm

This wave looks to be holding its own in a hostile area. Once it move into the western caribbean it should go IMO. Interesting times ahead.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#19 Postby O Town » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:24 pm

Shear tendency.

Image
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#20 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 13, 2006 4:24 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:guys the lastest GFS run gives me chills.between the strong bermuda high setup and the strong tropical waves rolling off africa this is looking more like september then june.

HERE'S THE LINK...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation


Love the part showing FL under high pressure we need it. 8-)


really how did u figure that out?remember that is also what also drives storms towards the US.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Kazmit, MetroMike, tolakram and 38 guests