Watching the BOC

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The Hurricaner
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#21 Postby The Hurricaner » Thu Jun 15, 2006 3:22 pm

Where would this thing go if it developed? It looks like its just gonna go on land very soon and not turn into anything.
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#22 Postby tailgater » Thu Jun 15, 2006 4:00 pm

The lady with bad hair RIP. :blowup:
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#23 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jun 15, 2006 4:40 pm

The Hurricaner wrote:Where would this thing go if it developed? It looks like its just gonna go on land very soon and not turn into anything.


Energy from the Wav should be pulled into the BOC/GOMEX
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#24 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Jun 15, 2006 4:49 pm

Not a whole lot of moisture out there to work with. I don't see anything becoming of any of the waves for now.
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#25 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Jun 15, 2006 5:14 pm

Just give me some rain to cool off this hot weather over here. Oh yes and to water my dying plants.

Assuming we are talking about that big blob in the GOM
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#26 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:23 pm

Chief Met Frank B. (Chan. 2 Houston) just said that the upper level low currently over Brownsville could move into the Gulf tomorrow and become a TD and head toward TX. This is the first time I have heard of a scenario like this, anyone else have any thoughts? I guess all it would really need to do for this to happen is:

-work down to the surface
-be over water

Looks like the moisture and low shear are already in place.

I guess we will have to watch closely tomorrow, and I actually hope he is right. A nice TD or weak storm could greatly help out with the drought.

EDIT: I just checked the reporting stations near Brownsville and many have seen sustained winds over 20mph and gusts up to near 30mph this afternoon. I wonder if this is a sign of this thing trying to work down to the surface?
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#27 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:32 pm

Don't know about it becoming a TD, but perhaps a short lived one... I did notice that convection in the SW GOM and around that area, but figured it'd just get dragged along and not amount to much. I nice little TD that would hopefully move from there to OVER HERE, would be welcome, I think we all could use the rain, and certainly cooler temps.

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#28 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:35 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Chief Met Frank B. (Chan. 2 Houston) just said that the upper level low currently over Brownsville could move into the Gulf tomorrow and become a TD and head toward TX. This is the first time I have heard of a scenario like this, anyone else have any thoughts? I guess all it would really need to do for this to happen is:

-work down to the surface
-be over water

Looks like the moisture and low shear are already in place.

I guess we will have to watch closely tomorrow, and I actually hope he is right. A nice TD or weak storm could greatly help out with the drought.

EDIT: I just checked the reporting stations near Brownsville and many have seen sustained winds over 20mph and gusts up to near 30mph this afternoon. I wonder if this is a sign of this thing trying to work down to the surface?


Honestly looking out there now I highly doubt it - Alberto was supposed to be a BOC storm too but ended up a Florida storm. I was questioning why many were calling the BOC when absolutely nothing was in the BOC at the time - same this time.
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#29 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:36 pm

Here is the latest water vapor:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Looking at this, I do not know if the MLL/ULL will be able to get east and have enough time to develop. The BOC/western Gulf may have to wait a little longer for an organized system, but either way...heavy rains look likely.
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#30 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:44 pm

bay of campeche right now looks favorable development, lets see how this thing turns out after a while.
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#31 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:46 pm

heavy rains look likely.


Right now, I can deal with that! :cheesy:

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#32 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 15, 2006 6:49 pm

Looks like the Gulf Coast States are going to get some very needed rain pretty soon.
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#33 Postby Noah » Thu Jun 15, 2006 7:39 pm

Can someone post a map that shows BOC and the lesser antillies..spelling :oops: So i know where they are and can sticky it to my pc.. thanks :D
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#34 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jun 15, 2006 7:56 pm

Noah wrote:Can someone post a map that shows BOC and the lesser antillies..spelling :oops: So i know where they are and can sticky it to my pc.. thanks :D


Here's a decent pair of maps that have everything clearly labeled:

http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/coun ... xcolor.gif

http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/coun ... ribnew.gif
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#35 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Thu Jun 15, 2006 8:00 pm

http://www.theweatherwatch.com/avn.jpg

some one correct me if I am wrong!
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#36 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Thu Jun 15, 2006 8:34 pm

If you're referring to the circled "BOC"... as well as the "Lesser Antilles" that's pretty much it... The Greater Antilles are the BIG Islands like Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba... while the arc of smaller ones are the "Lesser".

Sure do hope that convection off the coast of SW Louisiana heads up this way and cools/wets us up a bit.

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#37 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jun 15, 2006 8:44 pm

I know I'm probably wrong but I have a hunch that we have not seen the end of the carribean wave Near Jamaica.
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#38 Postby Noah » Thu Jun 15, 2006 9:11 pm

clfenwi wrote:
Noah wrote:Can someone post a map that shows BOC and the lesser antillies..spelling :oops: So i know where they are and can sticky it to my pc.. thanks :D


Here's a decent pair of maps that have everything clearly labeled:

http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/coun ... xcolor.gif

http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/coun ... ribnew.gif


Thank you very much!
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#39 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Jun 15, 2006 9:20 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:I know I'm probably wrong but I have a hunch that we have not seen the end of the carribean wave Near Jamaica.


I think my sleep deprivation is just starting this summer. :eek:
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#40 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jun 15, 2006 9:27 pm

beachbum_al wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:I know I'm probably wrong but I have a hunch that we have not seen the end of the carribean wave Near Jamaica.


I think my sleep deprivation is just starting this summer. :eek:


yup
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